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Super Coffee
spore1
Supreme
20-Jun-2014 20:47     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Yup Gd choice .After rally for 2days more likely to retreat lower

pineapple123      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 20:25) Posted:

this is clearly a long term play..load up at the next dip and just sit back
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pineapple123
Member
20-Jun-2014 20:25     
 
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 Alert Admin 		this is clearly a long term play..load up at the next dip and just sit back
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rlong8288
Master
20-Jun-2014 19:57     
 
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1.7 is good enough for me, 1.7 x 2= 3.4

tormater      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 17:30) Posted:

I would be very happy if it reaches 1.8.

hassanatwah      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 15:51) Posted:



was vested @ 2.98 before bonus issue! ride the waves!!


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tormater
Senior
20-Jun-2014 17:30     
 
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 Alert Admin 		I would be very happy if it reaches 1.8.

hassanatwah      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 15:51) Posted:



was vested @ 2.98 before bonus issue! ride the waves!!

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tonylim
Master
20-Jun-2014 16:01     
 
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Good move.... target for it to reach $2

hassanatwah      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 15:51) Posted:



was vested @ 2.98 before bonus issue! ride the waves!!

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hassanatwah
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20-Jun-2014 15:51     
 
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was vested @ 2.98 before bonus issue! ride the waves!!
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tonylim
Master
20-Jun-2014 15:29     
 
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One Thailand is back to normal, it should shine back to its previous glory.

genting^2      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 13:27) Posted:



From the strength shown today and yesterday, it should move upwards.

My prediction abt the squeeze is quite spot on. maybe i am lucky.

 

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genting^2
Master
20-Jun-2014 13:27     
 
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From the strength shown today and yesterday, it should move upwards.

My prediction abt the squeeze is quite spot on. maybe i am lucky.

 
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rlong8288
Master
20-Jun-2014 12:21     
 
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Well is good to see SUPER moving where it should belong and in the next coupe of days, we should see buyback from those SGX for folks who short earlier in the week... 

teeth53      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 11:13) Posted:

It is back where it should belong. Opportunities or sell into strength...?. Last done, $1.495c.

teeth53 - Oni for short term trading, sharing n promoting shr trading interest in SJ.

teeth53      ( Date: 29-May-2014 08:55) Posted:



For rest of this week trading..." Players will sell into strength, will mean near to half price" , which mean " equivalent to $3/-"

Just sharing my thot  n promoting stk /shr trading interest in SJ.


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teeth53
Supreme
20-Jun-2014 11:13     
 
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Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life "
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 Alert Admin 		It is back where it should belong. Opportunities or sell into strength...?. Last done, $1.495c.

teeth53 - Oni for short term trading, sharing n promoting shr trading interest in SJ.

teeth53      ( Date: 29-May-2014 08:55) Posted:



For rest of this week trading..." Players will sell into strength, will mean near to half price" , which mean " equivalent to $3/-"

Just sharing my thot  n promoting stk /shr trading interest in SJ.

teeth53      ( Date: 23-May-2014 23:05) Posted:



https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=S10.SI  on Super Group...Historical Prices.

Come Monday.  Players will sell into strength, will mean near to half price. While volume will increase.

Just a wild guess, opening high of 1.50c - 1.60 range  which equivalent to $3/- to $3.20 range. 


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tradingwomen
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20-Jun-2014 11:13     
 
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this is like timing the market. i believe more in fundamentals than timing. This happen last 1-2 month for thaibev as well. same situation as super experiencing now. both company are cash rich with good fundamentals, so should not be disturbed by the noises of the market. 

morningstar13      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 10:46) Posted:



This is quite normal too. Many will sell if bought at high prices and then, buy back at lower prices, especially if the company is fundamentally good.

Super Group is at a 52-Week Low: Opportunity or Time to Flee?

By - June 18, 2014


The aroma from the Super  Classic Charcoal Roasted White Coffee is tantalizing my senses &ndash I had just made myself a cuppa joe to keep me awake throughout the day. And for me, there&rsquo s no better instant coffee than the ones from Super Group (SGX: S10).

Unfortunately, even though Super&rsquo s instant coffee might be very enjoyable for some, the company&rsquo s share price movement of late has been anything but.

Currently, shares of Super are going at S$1.355 apiece, just a tad bit higher than its 52-week low of S$1.35. This also translates into a 47% fall from Super&rsquo s 52-week high of S$2.525 that was seen last August.

Year-to-date, the stock is down 30%. Comparatively, Singapore&rsquo s share market in general, as represented by the Straits Times Index (SGX: ^STI), is up 3% for the year. What has caused Super&rsquo s fall from grace? But before we delve into that, let&rsquo s take a look at what the company&rsquo s business entails.

Super is a leading instant food & beverage brand owner and has a strong market presence in Southeast Asia (SEA). For instance, it has a market share for instant beverages of around 45% in Myanmar.

The firm operates in two main business segments &ndash Branded Consumer (BC) and Food Ingredients (FI). The BC segment takes care of the sale of instant coffee mixes, instant tea, cereals, etc. Under the segment, the company owns brands such as Super, Owl and NutreMill, among others. Meanwhile, the FI segment is involved in the manufacture of various beverage-ingredients for sale to other beverage manufacturers.

Falling knife, scalding coffee

One of the main reasons for Super&rsquo s pitiful share price performance is its poor first quarter result that was released about a month ago. During the quarter, total revenue fell 6% year-on-year to S$124.6 million on the back of 6% drops in sales for both the company&rsquo s BC and FI segments.

The BC segment had suffered due to lower sales in Southeast Asia, most notably in Thailand as a result of civil unrest in the country. The Land of a Thousand Smiles is the largest BC market for Super, accounting for almost 30% of the segment&rsquo s sales. In Thailand, Super&rsquo s distributors and wholesalers had held back on stocking activities amid poorer consumption and social unrest. Meanwhile, the FI segment&rsquo s revenue drop had happened due to slower sales in Southeast Asia, especially in the Indonesian market.

Around a week after the release of Super&rsquo s first quarter result, the Thai military launched a coup in Thailand, causing more fear amongst investors. The troika of 1) dismal first quarter results, 2) the military coup, and 3) high valuation of Super&rsquo s shares to begin with (at Super&rsquo s 52-week high, it was selling for almost 30 times trailing earnings), have been major factors contributing to its poor share price performance.

So, to reiterate the question asked in the title of this article: Is this an opportunity for interested investors to get a bite of the company or should investors flee and never look back?

To answer that, investors should first ask if the company is going through a short-term problem or have its business-fundamentals turned for the worst, permanently. Here&rsquo s some food-for-thought on the topic.

Who wants discounted coffee?

The civil unrest in Thailand happening at the moment is beyond the control of the company. But, military coups are a common occurrence in Thailand and the country has done fine in the grand scheme of things. When the latest political crisis in Thailand cools over, is it reasonable to expect sales of Super&rsquo s products in Thailand to pick-up when consumer demand rebounds?

At a current trailing price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of around 16 and a dividend yield of 3.3%, investors should also ponder if Super&rsquo s valuation makes sense. In fact, the average PE ratio of Super&rsquo s peers is around 25, more than 9 points higher than the company&rsquo s.

Furthermore, at 16 times its earnings for the last 12 months, an investor is buying into a capable management team, a well-known brand that was valued at US$150 million in 2013 (a value that&rsquo s not reflected in the company&rsquo s balance sheet) and future growth drivers.

Yes. There are future growth drivers as Super&rsquo s not resting on its laurels. Some of these drivers include the opening of new production facilities such as those for botanical herbal extraction and production of liquid glucose syrup solids and nutritional oil powders. These new facilities are scheduled to come online between the second half of 2014 and 2015. These businesses are classed under Super&rsquo s FI segment and for an idea of how fast management has scaled that part of its business, consider this: FI sales were a mere S$3 million in 2007 by 2013, sales had ballooned to S$192 million.

Foolish Bottomline

The father of value investing, Ben Graham, has been quoted as saying that in the short-term, the stock market behaves like a voting machine, but in the long-term it acts like a weighing machine. In the short-term, the market is punishing Super for its recent troubles &ndash its year-to-date share price performance is a testament to that fact. But, there&rsquo s a chance that things aren&rsquo t as dire over the long-term with the company. It&rsquo s up to  you to decide if my last statement is valid.

 

tradingwomen      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 09:14) Posted:



if you look at the trading volume, you will reliase that people are heavily buying back all the stocks they sold previously, the fear is dissipated. 


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spore1
Supreme
20-Jun-2014 11:06     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Wait for it to go down to 1,40 & below then Buy
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morningstar13
Member
20-Jun-2014 10:46     
 
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This is quite normal too. Many will sell if bought at high prices and then, buy back at lower prices, especially if the company is fundamentally good.

Super Group is at a 52-Week Low: Opportunity or Time to Flee?

By - June 18, 2014


The aroma from the Super  Classic Charcoal Roasted White Coffee is tantalizing my senses &ndash I had just made myself a cuppa joe to keep me awake throughout the day. And for me, there&rsquo s no better instant coffee than the ones from Super Group (SGX: S10).

Unfortunately, even though Super&rsquo s instant coffee might be very enjoyable for some, the company&rsquo s share price movement of late has been anything but.

Currently, shares of Super are going at S$1.355 apiece, just a tad bit higher than its 52-week low of S$1.35. This also translates into a 47% fall from Super&rsquo s 52-week high of S$2.525 that was seen last August.

Year-to-date, the stock is down 30%. Comparatively, Singapore&rsquo s share market in general, as represented by the Straits Times Index (SGX: ^STI), is up 3% for the year. What has caused Super&rsquo s fall from grace? But before we delve into that, let&rsquo s take a look at what the company&rsquo s business entails.

Super is a leading instant food & beverage brand owner and has a strong market presence in Southeast Asia (SEA). For instance, it has a market share for instant beverages of around 45% in Myanmar.

The firm operates in two main business segments &ndash Branded Consumer (BC) and Food Ingredients (FI). The BC segment takes care of the sale of instant coffee mixes, instant tea, cereals, etc. Under the segment, the company owns brands such as Super, Owl and NutreMill, among others. Meanwhile, the FI segment is involved in the manufacture of various beverage-ingredients for sale to other beverage manufacturers.

Falling knife, scalding coffee

One of the main reasons for Super&rsquo s pitiful share price performance is its poor first quarter result that was released about a month ago. During the quarter, total revenue fell 6% year-on-year to S$124.6 million on the back of 6% drops in sales for both the company&rsquo s BC and FI segments.

The BC segment had suffered due to lower sales in Southeast Asia, most notably in Thailand as a result of civil unrest in the country. The Land of a Thousand Smiles is the largest BC market for Super, accounting for almost 30% of the segment&rsquo s sales. In Thailand, Super&rsquo s distributors and wholesalers had held back on stocking activities amid poorer consumption and social unrest. Meanwhile, the FI segment&rsquo s revenue drop had happened due to slower sales in Southeast Asia, especially in the Indonesian market.

Around a week after the release of Super&rsquo s first quarter result, the Thai military launched a coup in Thailand, causing more fear amongst investors. The troika of 1) dismal first quarter results, 2) the military coup, and 3) high valuation of Super&rsquo s shares to begin with (at Super&rsquo s 52-week high, it was selling for almost 30 times trailing earnings), have been major factors contributing to its poor share price performance.

So, to reiterate the question asked in the title of this article: Is this an opportunity for interested investors to get a bite of the company or should investors flee and never look back?

To answer that, investors should first ask if the company is going through a short-term problem or have its business-fundamentals turned for the worst, permanently. Here&rsquo s some food-for-thought on the topic.

Who wants discounted coffee?

The civil unrest in Thailand happening at the moment is beyond the control of the company. But, military coups are a common occurrence in Thailand and the country has done fine in the grand scheme of things. When the latest political crisis in Thailand cools over, is it reasonable to expect sales of Super&rsquo s products in Thailand to pick-up when consumer demand rebounds?

At a current trailing price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of around 16 and a dividend yield of 3.3%, investors should also ponder if Super&rsquo s valuation makes sense. In fact, the average PE ratio of Super&rsquo s peers is around 25, more than 9 points higher than the company&rsquo s.

Furthermore, at 16 times its earnings for the last 12 months, an investor is buying into a capable management team, a well-known brand that was valued at US$150 million in 2013 (a value that&rsquo s not reflected in the company&rsquo s balance sheet) and future growth drivers.

Yes. There are future growth drivers as Super&rsquo s not resting on its laurels. Some of these drivers include the opening of new production facilities such as those for botanical herbal extraction and production of liquid glucose syrup solids and nutritional oil powders. These new facilities are scheduled to come online between the second half of 2014 and 2015. These businesses are classed under Super&rsquo s FI segment and for an idea of how fast management has scaled that part of its business, consider this: FI sales were a mere S$3 million in 2007 by 2013, sales had ballooned to S$192 million.

Foolish Bottomline

The father of value investing, Ben Graham, has been quoted as saying that in the short-term, the stock market behaves like a voting machine, but in the long-term it acts like a weighing machine. In the short-term, the market is punishing Super for its recent troubles &ndash its year-to-date share price performance is a testament to that fact. But, there&rsquo s a chance that things aren&rsquo t as dire over the long-term with the company. It&rsquo s up to  you to decide if my last statement is valid.

 

tradingwomen      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 09:14) Posted:



if you look at the trading volume, you will reliase that people are heavily buying back all the stocks they sold previously, the fear is dissipated. 

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john_ric
Supreme
20-Jun-2014 10:44     
 
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last month dump . now pump.

so not anyhow sell hor.

hold your finger dont touch  keyboard.
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morningstar13
Member
20-Jun-2014 10:34     
 
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It' s just a matter of time, considering how oversold Super was and that fundamentals have not really changed. With the temporal risks in Thailand, and the track records of its strong management team and ability, Super should rise again.

tormater      ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 09:43) Posted:

Super frenzy now. How much can it go up?
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genting^2
Master
20-Jun-2014 10:03     
 
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Super Group Ltd.

  • Potential Downside▼ 0.0%▼ 11.9%

  • Potential Upside▲ 0.0% ▲ 11.9%

  • Potential Upside▲ 11.9%

  • Last Traded Price (19 Jun 14)SGD1.450

  • Consensus Target PriceSGD1.623

  Market: SGX | Industry: Food Processing






 


Financial Summary

BRIEF: For the three months ended 31 March 2014, Super Group Ltd. revenues decreased 6% to SP$124.6M. Net income decreased 19% to SP$17.8M. Revenues reflect a decrease in demand for the Company' s products and services due to unfavorable market conditions. Net income also reflects Foreign exchange gain decrease of 94% to SP$150K (income), General and administrative expenses increase of 11% to SP$13.5M (expense).


{C}

Summarized Financial Statement

Standarized in SGD &lsquo mln
  FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Income Statement
Total Revenue 296.26 351.83 440.97 519.27 557.01
Cost of Revenue (192.86) (220.43) (298.90) (337.84) (347.55)
Gross Profit 103.41 131.40 142.08 181.43 209.46
Operating Expenses (61.73) (65.10) (70.49) (89.93) (94.85)
Operating Income 41.68 66.30 71.59 91.49 114.61
Others, Net 1.13 2.83 (1.41) (0.20) (0.11)
Income before Taxes 42.82 69.13 70.18 91.30 114.51
Tax (2.37) (9.79) (6.31) (8.73) (11.14)
Extraordinary Items and Adjustments (0.21) (0.98) (1.97) (3.52) (3.45)
Net Income 40.24 58.36 61.90 79.04 99.92
           
Balance Sheet          
Cash and Short Term Investments 73.56 145.02 124.53 115.17 100.87
Total Receivables, Net 64.33 73.95 86.91 102.29 116.69
Other Current Assets 56.97 77.43 95.10 84.88 108.44
Total Current Assets 194.86 296.41 306.53 302.34 325.99
Property/Plant/Equipment, Net 102.82 101.21 166.22 211.71 250.64
Other Long Term Assets 67.10 49.48 29.70 28.82 22.48
Total Assets 364.78 447.10 502.45 542.86 599.11
Payables and Accrued Expenses 48.92 75.30 86.02 92.32 86.39
Other Current Liabilities 13.05 19.58 25.66 28.50 19.00
Total Current Liabilities 61.98 94.88 111.68 120.83 105.39
Total Long Term Debt 1.99 0.33 0.58 0.38 0.16
Other Liabilities 23.59 22.14 23.28 22.74 26.63
Total Liabilities 87.55 117.35 135.54 143.95 132.18
Common Equity 142.52 163.54 163.54 163.54 163.54
Retained Earnings (Accumlated Deficit) 145.48 183.38 214.13 261.70 322.16
Other Equities (10.77) (17.17) (10.76) (26.32) (18.76)
Total Equity 277.23 329.75 366.91 398.92 466.93
           
Cash Flow Statement          
Cash Flow From Operations Activities 66.44 55.42 57.16 85.93 65.89
Cash Flow From Investing Activities (6.50) 17.89 (45.99) (57.99) (40.64)
Cash Flow From Financing Activities (14.76) 1.58 (31.30) (33.77) (41.90)
Currency Translation Adjustments (0.35) (4.03) 1.26 (4.54) 3.62
Net Change in Cash 44.84 70.85 (18.87) (10.37) (13.02)
           
Ratios & Other data          
ROA (%) 11.41 14.62 13.45 15.80 18.10
ROE (%) 15.27 19.23 17.77 20.64 23.08
DPS (SGD) 0.0130 0.0270 0.0290 0.0355 0.0450
EPS (SGD) 0.0374 0.0533 0.0555 0.0709 0.0896
 




    Selected data supplied by
   


 
  • Potential Downside▼ 0.0%▼ 11.9%
  • Potential Upside▲ 0.0% ▲ 11.9%
  • Potential Upside▲ 11.9%
  • Last Traded Price (19 Jun 14)SGD1.450
  • Consensus Target PriceSGD1.623&Dagger
  • Phillip Research Target PriceSGDN/A&Dagger

Business Summary

Super Group Ltd (Super) is a Singapore-based investment holding company. The Company is an integrated instant F& B brand owner of instant food and beverage with market in Southeast Asia. The Company operates in three principal geographical areas, Singapore, Southeast Asia and East Asia. The Company manufactures and distributes branded consumer products, primarily instant coffee, instant cereals and instant tea mixes products. The Company has developed over 300 instant beverages and convenient food products. Some of the Company&rsquo s brands include Super, Owl, Super Power, Cafe Nova, YeYe, Coffee King, Gold Eagle, Negresco and Eagle King. Effective March 10, 2014, Super Group Ltd acquired a 50.1% interest in Great Wall Motors SA (Pty) Ltd. In April 2014, Super Group Ltd announced that its subsidiary, Owl International Pte Ltd incorporated a subsidiary in Vietnam under the name of Owl International Viet Nam Co Ltd.
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spore1
Supreme
20-Jun-2014 09:48     
 
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when it was at 1.38 nobody hardly wants to buy . now go up then ppl int to buy
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tormater
Senior
20-Jun-2014 09:43     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Super frenzy now. How much can it go up?
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tradingwomen
Member
20-Jun-2014 09:14     
 
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if you look at the trading volume, you will reliase that people are heavily buying back all the stocks they sold previously, the fear is dissipated. 
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spore1
Supreme
19-Jun-2014 20:56     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Is better to take some profit off the table .u never know what will b after a sudden up !

spore1      ( Date: 19-Jun-2014 10:43) Posted:

Hit the Jack pot .into profit liao

spore1      ( Date: 15-Jun-2014 12:24) Posted:



A good value play + decents dividends giving out every year. More importantly debts free.

sporeshare.blog spot.sg/2014/05/super-group.html


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