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risktaker Supreme	23-Jul-2016 07:20        risktaker About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Flexible   Mood: Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise "
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Hillary is set to be the next US president....so likely market no crash liao only minor correction
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earlybird14 Supreme	22-Jul-2016 19:21        earlybird14 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Doesn't matter just swing for the time being. When gbp drop, it give a lot of strength to ftse. Last few day gbp up, ftse skip all the rally. It become the relationship between yen and Nikkei, one up and one down. tiancai007      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 17:26) Posted: It looks like bad news is good news for the market.  earlybird14      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 07:00) Posted: About there. Ftse gonna blocked at 6730-6740, about time to drop
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tiancai007 Master	22-Jul-2016 17:26        tiancai007 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	It looks like bad news is good news for the market.  earlybird14      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 07:00) Posted: About there. Ftse gonna blocked at 6730-6740, about time to drop. tiancai007      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 00:03) Posted: No rate cut from ECB. So left only Fed and BoJ this mth. I believe the pump is coming to an end. Waiting for the dump to happen. Wait for durian to drop now.
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earlybird14 Supreme	22-Jul-2016 07:00        earlybird14 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	About there. Ftse gonna blocked at 6730-6740, about time to drop. tiancai007      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 00:03) Posted: No rate cut from ECB. So left only Fed and BoJ this mth. I believe the pump is coming to an end. Waiting for the dump to happen. Wait for durian to drop now.  earlybird14      ( Date: 21-Jul-2016 16:20) Posted: So long as Italian still the head, policy should be same. Still fall on Fed decision, almost all countries maintain low bond rate due to U.S. bond rate is still 0.5%
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jayarumah Master	22-Jul-2016 02:14        jayarumah About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	More than 1 million visitors to Shanghai Disneyland in just 1 month. Just tickets revenue alone : 1 mil x US$ 75 per day entry = US$75 mil F & B + Hotel spending = US$ 25 mil Revenue per month = at least US$ 100 mil Revenue per year = US$ 1.2 billion This is most conservative est. figure. Astonishing ! I wont be surprised if Disney is on the drawboard planning Disneyland No.2 in mainland China. jayarumah      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 02:01) Posted: Just returning from a business trip in China. China domestic economy is doing great. China is building infrastructure China housing is booming China consumers are both saving and spending China cars ownership are sky-rocketing 1.4 billion people 2 Child Policy Now I wonder who says the demand for commodities are slowing ? Ridiculous to say so. It is Pure Common Sense. sriramanv      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 01:35) Posted: i agree with you...the sgng is a crap...always trying to create fear...we saw his credibility in brexit...
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jayarumah Master	22-Jul-2016 02:01        jayarumah About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Just returning from a business trip in China. China domestic economy is doing great. China is building infrastructure China housing is booming China consumers are both saving and spending China cars ownership are sky-rocketing 1.4 billion people 2 Child Policy Now I wonder who says the demand for commodities are slowing ? Ridiculous to say so. It is Pure Common Sense. sriramanv      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 01:35) Posted: i agree with you...the sgng is a crap...always trying to create fear...we saw his credibility in brexit... jayarumah      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 01:17) Posted: Signs of a Super Bull : 1. If in July, global markets are still doing well, means August, September will be super good and bullish 2. When both the World No 1 and No 2 biggest economies (US and China) are recovering. You know the Super Bull Run and Rally is really here. Both US and China recovering economies shall stimulate the global economic growth. When Oil rebounds to more than US$ 60, Big BIG RALLY. Coming soon.
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sriramanv Master	22-Jul-2016 01:35        sriramanv About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	i agree with you...the sgng is a crap...always trying to create fear...we saw his credibility in brexit... jayarumah      ( Date: 22-Jul-2016 01:17) Posted: Signs of a Super Bull : 1. If in July, global markets are still doing well, means August, September will be super good and bullish 2. When both the World No 1 and No 2 biggest economies (US and China) are recovering. You know the Super Bull Run and Rally is really here. Both US and China recovering economies shall stimulate the global economic growth. When Oil rebounds to more than US$ 60, Big BIG RALLY. Coming soon.
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jayarumah Master	22-Jul-2016 01:17        jayarumah About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Signs of a Super Bull : 1. If in July, global markets are still doing well, means August, September will be super good and bullish 2. When both the World No 1 and No 2 biggest economies (US and China) are recovering. You know the Super Bull Run and Rally is really here. Both US and China recovering economies shall stimulate the global economic growth. When Oil rebounds to more than US$ 60, Big BIG RALLY. Coming soon.
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sgng123 Supreme	22-Jul-2016 00:16        sgng123 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Big durian drop? 30% crash lol
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tiancai007 Master	22-Jul-2016 00:03        tiancai007 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	No rate cut from ECB. So left only Fed and BoJ this mth. I believe the pump is coming to an end. Waiting for the dump to happen. Wait for durian to drop now.  earlybird14      ( Date: 21-Jul-2016 16:20) Posted: So long as Italian still the head, policy should be same. Still fall on Fed decision, almost all countries maintain low bond rate due to U.S. bond rate is still 0.5%. tiancai007      ( Date: 21-Jul-2016 15:22) Posted: So ECB decision tonight. I guess is No Action Talk Only (NATO), same like BoE. What say you?
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earlybird14 Supreme	21-Jul-2016 16:50        earlybird14 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	First poor indicator from UK. Retail sales fall from 0.9% to -0.9%.
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earlybird14 Supreme	21-Jul-2016 16:20        earlybird14 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	So long as Italian still the head, policy should be same. Still fall on Fed decision, almost all countries maintain low bond rate due to U.S. bond rate is still 0.5%. tiancai007      ( Date: 21-Jul-2016 15:22) Posted: So ECB decision tonight. I guess is No Action Talk Only (NATO), same like BoE. What say you?
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tiancai007 Master	21-Jul-2016 15:22        tiancai007 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	So ECB decision tonight. I guess is No Action Talk Only (NATO), same like BoE. What say you?
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investor7 Senior	21-Jul-2016 08:42        investor7 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Agree. And the current bullishness is pricing in ' no rate hike' for the next few months i think, due to Fed' s worry of exterrnal shocks from outside US (europe, china, other Emerging Mkts), as well as from US' s own domestic problems (Presidential election, racial killing, debt, debt, n debt). However, VIX doesn' t suddenly reverse course (unless a black swan appears suddenly), but rather, it takes time to wear out its exuberance/extremes. Current level of 11 is near historical low, it' s a good opportunity to start to buy some VIX, short some dow/S& P, sell our weak stocks, take profit. But the exuberance can still go on a bit longer until all the good news of stimulus are over by next week. Buy in anticipation, sell on news. But with expectations that central banks will always come to the rescue, corrections hv become buying opportunities, until finally a full blown global financial crisis explodes, but it' s not happening yet.  Ironically, this strong V shape rally from 23 June Brexit could hv been propelled by crowded shorting trades. U see, when shortists keep shorting & setting a stop loss at a higher level, the stop loss is in effect a bid to buy at a higher level, which becomes filled as the computers eat its way up the price ladder. ie, the more people are shorting, while others r falling over each other to buy up, shortists are helping to fuel the rally.
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Qanghoo Supreme	21-Jul-2016 07:07        Qanghoo About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	My view is VIX is only a barometer of exuberance or otherwise of the past, not the future cos  VIX can very quickly reverse course either way.  Also, do note that FED is not on steroid mode.  Granted, it has wavered in timing of next rate hike.  But that is not equal to loosening mode.  But, yes, other CBs n monetary authorities seem to be trigger-happy puming steroid, viagra n what have u,  even though these efforts  seem to have virtually no impact so far in stimulating growth in their respective countries. investor7      ( Date: 20-Jul-2016 18:38) Posted: For US mkts, we can use VIX ( the fear indicator) for reference. When VIX is now at all time low with a reading of 12.xx only, shows v little fear in the US mkt, and complacency, thus Dow, S& P can continue higher after every dip, as buyers rotate from sector to sector, with little sign of them taking off positions and going to the sidelines. Too much liquidity. S& P is now 2172. 2200, even 2250 is possible. However, as Aug approaches, if S& P starts to drop below 2135 (this rally' s breakout point) and doesn' t recover above 2135 anymore, then it' s a sign this rally may be over.
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earlybird14 Supreme	20-Jul-2016 21:50        earlybird14 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	After first interest hike from us, jam 2016 immediately went through 1 big correction. Will interest rate hike coming week? Market is preparing for that, usd up, gold down, oil down hard commodity price all down, obviously market shift the bet.
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earlybird14 Supreme	20-Jul-2016 20:15        earlybird14 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Seem like pick the right one. Up little down fast. earlybird14      ( Date: 20-Jul-2016 16:16) Posted: Shorted 6730 for ftse. Cut loss at 6745. Hopefully 6740 don't break. earlybird14      ( Date: 20-Jul-2016 12:37) Posted: 27 July fed will decide. Still has 1 week to go. I will wait till day mid bollinger come closer and short. Look at ftse now, make me regret my early decision on shorting which cost me 5 digit loss. But I will short ftse if the pump fail to surpass 6750 since day chart mid bollinger line is closer at 6580. Compared to Nasdaq and Dow, this is nearer and easy to touch and break. The chart just make me to recall last Nasdaq downtrend which last close to 5-7 days sideline till day mid bollinger come closer, bear push and break it and form bear trend which made me earn. So now target ftse
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investor7 Senior	20-Jul-2016 18:38        investor7 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	For US mkts, we can use VIX ( the fear indicator) for reference. When VIX is now at all time low with a reading of 12.xx only, shows v little fear in the US mkt, and complacency, thus Dow, S& P can continue higher after every dip, as buyers rotate from sector to sector, with little sign of them taking off positions and going to the sidelines. Too much liquidity. S& P is now 2172. 2200, even 2250 is possible. However, as Aug approaches, if S& P starts to drop below 2135 (this rally' s breakout point) and doesn' t recover above 2135 anymore, then it' s a sign this rally may be over.
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investor7 Senior	20-Jul-2016 18:26        investor7 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Bro jackson, thks and have a blessed trip in HK. May everyone here make this forum as constructive and fruitful together. we can succeed together.
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jackson5 Master	20-Jul-2016 18:18        jackson5 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Bro Investor7 , just feel DJ had hit records and any time correcton may just come , hope to buy back  lower than i sold and go for another rpund pf profit taking , just hoping only. Anyone going to HK can PM me , I will be there till end sept. But will still long in to SJ without fail. investor7      ( Date: 20-Jul-2016 17:49) Posted: Hi bros tiancai, eb, jackson, risktaker, the uptrend is still intact, no point shorting. no guessing how high this uptrend can still go. A trend usually take weeks/months to complete, unless disrupted. and dont hope for another sudden black swan event eg brexit to suddenly make the charging bull u-turn, not yet. Imagine how much more profits and less stress if we had done long instead, from the days after Brexit. Mkts now go on steroid from promises of stimulus from BOE, ECB (tomorrow), FOMC Fed (next wk 26-27 Jul), and BOJ (29 Jul).  But there likely be good shorting opportunities in Aug to Sep, because all the abv steroid is over, and we start to face the impact of brexit, wobbly european banks, and credit bubbles all over the world. Hope you' ll also find it useful to read mkt updates Kelvin Wong' s blog and Robin Ho' s blog. All the best to you all. The trend is our friend. Dont go against it.
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