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OLAM_OLAM
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 10:25
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http://www.mitsubishicorp.com/jp/en/pr/archive/2015/html/0000028412.html The reasons why MC bgt Olam.   Letter to their sharholders Mitsubishi Corporation Acquires Stake in Olam International
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 10:16
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It was a competitive bidder exercise...so there were more than one bidders..... perfect partnership,,,,Japan strong in Indonesian and vietnam particular myanmar....vs Olam Africa muddy water...water under the bridge now
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 10:06
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2015-08-28/olam-ceo-mitsubishi-deal-will-create-opportunities |
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 10:04
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http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/8058:JP Mitsubishi Corp went up by 7.45% today....some related to mkt sentiments but mainly because of the the news.   Mkt love this purchase |
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nqing87
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28-Aug-2015 10:04
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yea, if compare the p/e ratio in sg market vs foreign exchanges, we are like undervalue, especially small/mid caps.. have to thanks sgx for not giving confidence in investing sg market.. who will dare to play sg market, when u can anytime get short seller to give negative report to wack down the share price, or suddenly have fraud claims in the company balance sheet.. so what happen to muddy waters? did olam take any legal actions against them or the whole saga just sweep under the carpet?
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sun233
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 09:56
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Fair value 2.50 but with Archer Daniels deal this stock will be higher.
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sun233
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 09:54
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Ytoh1688. Thanks for post.  |
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ytoh1688
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 09:47
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Singapore: Olam International (OLAM SP)                   HOLD Price/Tgt: S$1.91/1.95         Mkt Cap: US$3.3b         Avg Val: US$0.9m   Hi/Lo: S$2.69/1.69 New Strategic Partnership With Mitsubishi Corporation  
What&rsquo s New: o         Olam International (OLAM SP) announced a strategic partnership with Mitsubishi Corporation (MC) with the issuance of 332.73m new shares to MC at S$2.75/share to raise S$915m.     o         MC will also acquire 222.0m secondary shares from the Kewalram Chanrai Group (KC).   o         Post exercise MC will hold 20% stakes in Olam.   On The Transaction: o         S$2.75/share translate into 2015F/2016F PE of 18x/16x and PB of 1.6x/1.4x.   o         Share base will be enlarged by 13.6%, and base on our estimation o         10% earnings dilution o         Neutral to book value Implication: o         The 50% premium over  Wednesday  closing price is a show of confidence on Olam to create long term value for MC. o         Potential synergy: new capital for growth (instead of raising debt) and penetration into Japanese market through MC (expansion of clientele base). o         Institutionalize the shareholding structure with reputable and strong strategic shareholders is positive to improve market confidence for better corporate governance and transparency.   This should translate into better valuation.     Recommendation/Valuation: o         Recommendation and target price under review pending analyst briefing for more details on this JV. o         Current target price of S$1.95 is pegged to 11.2x 2016F PE, or 1SD below its 5-year mean of 19.2x.   At mean PE, the fair value would be S$2.50.   Figure 1: Shareholding Structure: Pre & Post Transactions
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sun233
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 09:40
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Agree no chance to take it private now but don' t forget the largest deal is coming from Archer Daniels. That will add more value to stock. Just hope that they conclude the deal fast.
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 09:32
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they can now take over Noble and some of the commodities player where things are   very cheap now |
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hlfoo2010
Master |
28-Aug-2015 09:27
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IF i shift my left pocket $$ to right pocket , does this move increase my S$??????? Then you keep on shift pocke .   MAD lah  ??? |
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ytoh1688
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 09:24
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Think taking in private will not happen they already pre-agreed on arrangement and holding structure...so they have to honour their words...plus japanese...zero % chance this will happen big boys and big boys club....KC group is India co...so we have India/Japan/Singapore partnership.....just waiting for Chinese to come in than this will get people' s attention.   |
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FATABA
Supreme |
28-Aug-2015 09:16
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Wld not be surprise....MC can continue to scoop up more shares in the market ...below its 2.75 and then with other largest shareholders take it private. The amount of shares circulating is limited...with Temasek and MC alrdy having over 70%
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 09:16
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analyst all scrambling to give new TP for Olam....but fairvalue seem to be 2.50 at the moment   |
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ytoh1688
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28-Aug-2015 09:05
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at a time when commodities are like toilet paper, MC can pay 2.75.   Tells you that its all strategic decision for 10 yrs or 20 yrs temasek got good vision? |
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sun233
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 08:39
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Good point. Happy Investing. 
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Heero78
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28-Aug-2015 08:31
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Shortlist die hard liao | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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FATABA
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28-Aug-2015 08:30
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One more point ...the large cash ( 900m if I am not wrong will up OLAM cash flow ) and will inprove the whole financial of OLam. IF MC pays 2.75 ...what do you think the Jpanese think OLAM is worth ?  In the next few Q , the result will tell and the stock price will tell. :))
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niteowl68
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 08:27
Yells: "God Bleess You" |
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IMAGINED OPENING BID 2.75.. HUAT 88 ! |
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sun233
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 08:23
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That said the value is very very good.   Key point................ don' t sell. See it grow. The deal is going to be completed very soon as early as end Sept. After that earnings will propel this further. I was a bit puzzled when they paid out dividends earlier this year as compared to previous years and was a little worried when they paid much less than last year but am not worried anymore. I won' t say Happy trading for this stock but Happpy Investing. Cheers.
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