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Rex International
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danger
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13-Oct-2020 09:31
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bro better has a 12 month target price of 60cents | |||||||||
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TigerPlay
Master |
13-Oct-2020 09:29
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Told u yesterday, now got chance even to buy lower at 14.6 laiow
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ADS2200
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 23:17
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one day closer. today' s vol 40,701,100 is lower than last Friday 73.891,100 while short sell vol 10,995,800 increased 2,890,600 which means 27% imho that is quite a huge amount of short sell in relation to the vol traded. the closing price is 14.8c is there sth they know that we do not ? ... keep watching   
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ADS2200
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 17:00
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vol has came down substantially from the kind of vol from the start $200m today is only 40m. reduced by 80-90% from the peak hmmm ... |
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danger
Supreme |
12-Oct-2020 16:46
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WE ALL KNOW BRO BETTER IS PISSED WITH SCI BECAUSE OF SUCCESSFUL DEMERGER .. THE SCM RIGHTS ISSUE GOT YOU SLAUGHTERED BADLY | |||||||||
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danger
Supreme |
12-Oct-2020 16:43
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because you posted 12mths target price for SCM is  60 cents .. I impressed ! |
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better
Elite |
12-Oct-2020 16:42
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SCI is in a very matured business. It can be argued that almost anyone can run a power plant nowadays. You can get the contract only when you are willing undercut your competitors substantially and agree to take on a huge debt to finance or fund the project. SCI has close to $10 billion debt and make only $200-300 million on a good year. The need of a Temasek led rights issue to recapitalise SCI is high based on its current trajectory. That' s why SCI need to do an India IPO urgently to avert an impending cash crunch. If you ever deal with India Indians before, you would know that it is not easy to make money from them. SCI' s debt to equity ratio will worsen to about 250% after SMM rights issue. The $1.5bil subordinated loan to SMM, which was previously classified as an asset in SCI' s book, will have to be written off. It is like a bank writing off a bad debt. Not even making a loss provision but actually writing it off.  From the accounting standpoint, it is like SCI making an $1.5 billion extraordinary loss (equivalent of 6-7 years of their net profit). If you have studied the breakdown of SCI' s H1 results, you would have noticed that they are actually making a net loss even if we exclude SMM' s contribution. The main reason of the demerger is because SCI over committed itself to bill out SMM last year by offering them a $2 billion subordinated loan.  SCM drew $1.5 billion from it but SCI would likely would be in a cash crunch if SMM draw down the remaining $500 million. Therefore, the rights issue is to get SCI off the hook for the remaining $500 million and also to maximise Temasek' s direct holding in SMM. The rights issue flooded SMM with more than ample liquidity but place SCI in a worse financial shape. It is impossible for them to get further bank loan. Rolling over existing debts may be on more stringent terms.  You know how bad SCI' s cashflow is when they have to announce to the world recently that they managed to secure a meagre $40 million loan to fund a solar contract.  Many SCI retail shareholders is willing to sell their free SMM shares because they calculated that 4.9*14.7 + 1.33 = $2.05 is about 10% higher than SCI share price before the distribution. Once the selling by SCI retail shareholders start to dry up in the coming weeks/ months, SCI would likely drop back towards the $1 mark. JMHO (Just my humble opinion). Might be nonsense....reader beware |
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better
Elite |
12-Oct-2020 16:39
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At this point, low 20s to breakeven. What about you? | |||||||||
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better
Elite |
12-Oct-2020 16:37
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Rising cost of living has been a hot topic over the past decade. To say yes to higher Sembcorp profit is like saying yes to higher utility bills for all Singaporeans. Not likely to happen soon until they win back Aljunied and Seng Kang GRC. The opening up of the Singapore electricity market is another stab on utility players&rsquo chest.  Bear in mind that Hyflux went under when they try to get into the highly competitive and volatile " electricity" business. |
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danger
Supreme |
12-Oct-2020 16:34
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bro better how you handled pre rights issue loading at such high price ? what price you need to breakeven ? I reckon around 45 to 50 cents ? |
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better
Elite |
12-Oct-2020 16:33
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While SCI' s biz is quite diverse, a lot of it is still cantered around the Singapore utilities market, electricity, water, waste etc. SCI' s profitability is more of a political decision rather than a commercial outcome. In short, the Singapore government does not allow Sembcorp and other utility players to make more than a sustenance margin. |
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better
Elite |
12-Oct-2020 16:31
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Just to clarify some misconceptions on this forum: SCI has nothing to do with SMM and vice versa after the rights issue exercise. SCI owns 0% of SMM now and SMM owns 0% of SCI. 2 distinct biz entities. Temasek currently owns 42.6% of SMM and 49.9% of SCI. Though this is the wrong thread to comment about SCI, but quite frankly, I would not buy SCI now even at $1. |
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better
Elite |
12-Oct-2020 16:17
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Breaking news: Natural gas futures surged 6% today to $2.9+/-    Was trading at $1.8+ just a month ago. | |||||||||
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danger
Supreme |
12-Oct-2020 16:11
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he went into shock and coma already  
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ADS2200
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 16:07
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few hundred lots at 17c, probably hibernating.  look at today' s trades 
patience, massive accumulation.  ICXGOLD smart, went to rest
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danger
Supreme |
12-Oct-2020 15:52
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our friend ICXGOLD DISAPPEARED BANKRUPT AFTR LOADING FEW HUNDED LOTS AT 17c 1 MONTH AGO | |||||||||
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Trader1987
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 15:49
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$0.147 more to go
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Trader1987
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 15:47
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Cover back his 700 short @ $5.00 few years back 😂 😂
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ADS2200
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 15:17
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i like whoever bought 700 @ 14.8c fierce accumulation. i have contributed my tiny part 😅   |
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ADS2200
Veteran |
12-Oct-2020 14:59
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sell down is also more tailored and cautious. who knows what 😜 .... your guess is as good as mine ☝ ️ 🙏 | |||||||||
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