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YZJ Fin Hldg
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YZJFH - potentially rewarding
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volvo125
Master |
05-Jul-2025 01:48
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@pkli899, @HVRRVH, @GoldenPig (the guy who first started this thread), @Ayahiro, @Nippon72, @Unclebond &hellip and myself were among the earliest holders of YFH from the YSB 2022 spin off. I was probably the first one who converted all YSB to YFH within 2 weeks after the spin off. Most early long investors chose to hold both. It seems very wrong then on hindsight in 2023, and more so especially in 2024 when YSB had 3x to ~$3.30 while YFH had slumped to just ~$0.32. YFH was still reasonably profitable YOY and its balance sheet was consistently highly net cash, or in layman&rsquo s term Bomb Proof. At just ~0.3x NAV, I was convinced that it was a very deeply discounted rare gem waiting to be uncovered and I added a lot more between $0.31~0.37. YFH profit track was adversely derailed by the China property crisis, T Rowe Price dumped all its SSH shares, NPLs shot through the roof ... etc. VT had his strength and credential in asset management, but he was certainly not the right guy to run the show. However, VT did make some very positive and significant contribution to really enhance long term shareholder value through aggressive and substantial SBB at ultra deep discounts to NAV, this is an area where I feel the current management under RenYL has not done enough in the past 1 year to exploit the attractive arbitrage. Regardless, Boss RenYL taking back the driver seat was the turning point for YFH and the commencement of the China stimulus steroid in mid Sept 2024 provided the catalyst fuel. Today on hindsight with YSB being knocked back down to $2.22, and YFH at $0.895 and seems still climbing, the decision then for the full conversion seems not a bad one after ~3 years of patience, though holding on to both YSB and YFH from the onset with consistent buying would also reap very solid returns.   Many Long investors, such as @UncleBond, had already left the train during the $0.40~0.70 run up. Some exited even much earlier at below $0.40 for a 10~20% gain if they bought at $0.33~0.37. For those of you who are still onboard, let&rsquo s seat back and enjoy the wild uphill roller coaster ride. STI at > 4000 now is providing a very positive and bullish mood to boost all the running trains. The 2 FOMC rate cuts expecting in the 2H25 will further provide the rocket fuel to power the bullish mood.   Between a probable 0.84x to 1.16x NAV, and depending on your nerve tolerance and risk attitude, it is your call to time your exit or even hold your position firm into the spin off.
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stonkmaster
Veteran |
04-Jul-2025 22:00
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1 -2 years ago. everybody so gloomy. now everyone so happy. should have accumulated 1mil shares that time and now i can retire.
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 21:17
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Congratulate Big Bro pkli899, volvo125, HRVVRH, you three are Huat big time this round!
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pkli899
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 20:49
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Really happy for volvo125. He got the strongest believe inYZJFH. And he walk the talk......accumulated big time. He is rewarded and rightfully so. |
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pkli899
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 20:44
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Price moved from 74 to 89.5 in 3 days. That is almost 21% up. Can it go further without pause, to reach 92 - 98, before the actual announcement of spin-off? Better to take a breather then up again. |
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pkli899
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 20:37
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In excess of 6 m! Huat big time for him.
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 17:16
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Seems this will happen very soon liao! 0.92 ~ 0.98
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Elf2000
Elite |
04-Jul-2025 16:57
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See got chance to buy back at 89 and 885 or not...
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 16:45
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895 ate more than sold at 895 + 890 !
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stonkmaster
Veteran |
04-Jul-2025 15:59
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wow how many shares did he buy during the bear?
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tofudidi
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:54
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Big hand exchanging 895. Bull fight | ||||
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Elf2000
Elite |
04-Jul-2025 15:53
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It seem like the big leg is selling at 89.5... | ||||
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tofudidi
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:46
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Probably close above 90c later.
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:43
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Between 84% ~ 116% NAV, It is really up to the individual investor to decide on his exit point or even go on to participate on the spin off, depending on his risk attitude and appetite. Price 0.98 ~ 1.35.  
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:34
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Read again Bro Volvo' s message : Taking reference from the earlier 2022 YSB spin off exercise, YSB NAV was $1.96, the highest price closed was $1.64 (or 84% of NAV), and the last day closed price was $1.54 just before ex-date spin off (or 78.5% of NAV). Now with YFH NAV at $1.17 and STI in a very bullish mood > 4000, the highest price could well probably be > > $0.98 (> > 84% NAV) and the last day close might be > > 0.92 (> > 78.5% NAV).
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tofudidi
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:30
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$1 will come? strong | ||||
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treetops
Elite |
04-Jul-2025 15:29
Yells: "Moments Today, Memories Tomorrow!" |
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Will go beyond $1 by next week. | ||||
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tankoksee
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:21
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NTA $1.16 OTOT
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Jul-2025 15:21
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Wow, 895 now! Almost 6% advance every day for 3 days already!
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treetops
Elite |
04-Jul-2025 14:37
Yells: "Moments Today, Memories Tomorrow!" |
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There' s still room for advancement. | ||||
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