| Latest Forum Topics / M1 |
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M1
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sgtrader18
Veteran |
14-Sep-2017 13:54
Yells: "dont buy if you cant lose - i'm no shortist, i'm a realist." |
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any idea when new telco will be in?   |
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pasttime
Supreme |
13-Sep-2017 22:49
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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looks like the forces behind is stabalising price between 1.775 to 1.825 looks like will range here for a while.   |
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jack2906
Veteran |
13-Sep-2017 20:36
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lets go short then~
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n3wbie
Elite |
13-Sep-2017 20:27
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Maybank initiated with a " Sell" and TP of $1.59. An Unenviable Position We initiate coverage with a SELL rating M1 is the most exposed to Singapore wireless competition risk. Management is not standing still and has been building a fixed broadband and enterprise segment franchise but we nonetheless forecast a painful transition period. Share price has de-rated but there is reason to believe there is still downside from here. A healthy balance sheet will support payout, partially through debt, offsetting returns risk temporarily. On TP of SGD1.59, M1 trades on a FY18E dividend yield of 3.4%. Building a wall will come at a cost M1 and the incumbents are likely to use the upcoming release of new smartphones to accelerate recontracting postpaid subscribers to 2-year contracts. We have assumed this will come at the cost of unprecedented, elevated subsidies and depressed profits for the next two years. We assume wireless service revenues will only decline at a 1%, 3-year CAGR due to the industry wide defensive manoeuvre. Making the adjustments We forecast fixed network revenues led by fibre broadband and enterprise services will grow at a 13%, 3-year CAGR as management focuses on building scale and relationships to tap growth opportunities in the face of wireless sector risks. With enterprise in particular coming from a low base, contract wins in the corporate space and/or Smart Nation initiative projects can make a material impact on earnings and outlook. Looks can be deceiving Despite undergoing a substantial de-rating over the past 12 months, M1 will trade at a premium to its 5-year and 10-year mean P/E valuations even if it trades down to our lower-than-consensus, DCF-based target price of SGD1.59 per share. In our view, it is too early to say that the negatives are all priced in. Successful recontracting without a material increase in costs with no tariff war is the upside risk to our target price and forecast.  |
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sgtrader18
Veteran |
13-Sep-2017 19:23
Yells: "dont buy if you cant lose - i'm no shortist, i'm a realist." |
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Temasek took in a bit then sell even more today. I wonder why. | ||||
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john_ric
Supreme |
13-Sep-2017 16:06
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manage to recoup lost ground. 1.78 proved to be strong support. | ||||
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john_ric
Supreme |
13-Sep-2017 10:25
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still no reason for m1 to reverse up. | ||||
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sgtrader18
Veteran |
13-Sep-2017 08:29
Yells: "dont buy if you cant lose - i'm no shortist, i'm a realist." |
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after the market see dbs sell they will most likely avoid also? | ||||
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SgYuan
Supreme |
12-Sep-2017 19:59
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Quite unlikely for this ew, but still possible.
Ew5 1760-1855 Wa 1855-1770 Wb 1770-1830? (less than 1855) Wc 1830?-1760? After this ew, maybe.
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sgtrader18
Veteran |
12-Sep-2017 19:17
Yells: "dont buy if you cant lose - i'm no shortist, i'm a realist." |
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dbs sold 175k shares after ocbc upgrade to hold? even bank dont listen to banks. haha http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/_Form%203_Temasek.ashx?App=Announcement& FileID=470383 |
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Tommy12356
Master |
12-Sep-2017 18:41
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TP 1.90
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investingsgx
Member |
12-Sep-2017 17:42
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so little. | ||||
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investshare
Supreme |
12-Sep-2017 17:37
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Temasek selling | ||||
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TenPips
Veteran |
12-Sep-2017 14:27
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Thank you. Maybe still can go up. I am just playing it safe. 
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SgYuan
Supreme |
12-Sep-2017 13:54
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Well done again.
U enter at wave b beginning and close at wave b ending. So far ur record very good.
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sgtrader18
Veteran |
12-Sep-2017 13:44
Yells: "dont buy if you cant lose - i'm no shortist, i'm a realist." |
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so long ah
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TenPips
Veteran |
12-Sep-2017 13:43
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Closed position. Thank you, M1. 
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SgYuan
Supreme |
12-Sep-2017 12:37
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Px 1815
Ew5 1760-1855 Wa 1855-1770 Wb 1770-1820? Wc 1820?-1760? Now at ending of corrective wave b. Then it will go for wave c. |
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laksaman57
Supreme |
12-Sep-2017 10:57
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http://sgx.i3investor.com/m/blog/sgxstockwarrant/30304.jsp | ||||
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sgtrader18
Veteran |
12-Sep-2017 10:17
Yells: "dont buy if you cant lose - i'm no shortist, i'm a realist." |
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Do take note it affects the telco differently: Moreover, 55% of Starhub and 88% of M1' s H1 revenues are derived from Singapore' s mobile segment. starhub cable also isnt doing good due to online tv and boxes. The competition has more impact on the two telcos over Singtel, with the mobile segment consisting only 4% of its total revenue.
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