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Alignment
Elite |
06-Jun-2026 21:21
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It' s performing badly because the market previously overvalued it. The simple explanation is often the correct one. | ||||
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coco66
Member |
05-Jun-2026 09:45
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Courtesy of @Bart23 Why Is CLI ( 9CI.SI...) Performing Badly?I asked AI Claude for advise whether I should put some money in CLI Why Is CLI ( 9CI.SI...) Performing Badly? 1. The China Drag CapitaLand Investment' s net income for FY2025 slumped 70% to S$145 million, with valuation losses in its largest market, China, still weighing heavily on profit. The company incurred a fair value loss of S$545 million in China amid " challenging leasing conditions" hitting most of its asset classes, with office occupancy there dipping to around 80%. The firm has written down about S$1.6 billion in China valuations over the last five years &mdash an average decline of 12%. 2. Revenue & Earnings Decline In 2025, CLI' s revenue was S$2.13 billion &mdash a decrease of 24% compared to the previous year' s S$2.82 billion. Earnings fell 69.73%. Total PATMI (profit after tax and minority interests) was S$145 million, lower year-on-year, mainly due to higher revaluation losses from China and lower portfolio gains. StockAnalysisCapitalandinvest 3. Fewer Divestments, Capital Recycling Slowed Capital recycled in FY2025 was S$3.1 billion, significantly down from S$5.5 billion in FY2024, due to fewer divestments as a larger proportion of remaining assets are in China &mdash where market conditions make selling difficult. Capitalandinvest 4. High Interest Rate Environment An earlier-than-expected pivot in interest rates would boost CLI' s capital recycling efforts and help it achieve its goal of being asset-light sooner. Interest rates that are higher for longer make it more difficult for the group to raise new funds and grow profitability. Morningstar 5. Revenue Loss from Platform Restructuring CLI' s first-quarter 2026 revenue fell 2% year-on-year because of the absence of contribution from the exited and deconsolidated Synergy platform following its merger with SilverDoor in August 2025. Morningstar 6. Dividend Cut (Relative) The ordinary dividend per share for FY2025 was 12 Singapore cents &mdash the same as FY2024, but FY2024 also included a special dividend of 6.5 Singapore cents. So effective total income returned to shareholders dropped materially year-over-year. Capitalandinvest Global FUM Breakdown by Country/Region (as at end-2025, S$125B total FUM) CLI does not always publish exact percentages in text form, but from multiple investor presentations and management commentary, here is the best available picture: MarketApprox. % of FUMApprox. S$ AmountChina~30&ndash 37%~S$37&ndash 46BSingapore~27&ndash 30%~S$34&ndash 37BIndia~7&ndash 8%~S$9&ndash 10BRest of Southeast Asia~5&ndash 7%~S$6&ndash 9BAustralia / NZ~4&ndash 5%~S$5&ndash 6BJapan / Korea~3&ndash 5%~S$4&ndash 6BUSA / Europe~3&ndash 5%~S$4&ndash 6BOther markets~0.3%~S$0.4B Key notes on the geographic mix: CLI' s target allocation for China is 30&ndash 40% of total FUM, while the company is actively recycling assets and repositioning its China exposure. Minichart India comprised about 7% of total FUM as of mid-2024, up from just 3.5% in 2019, and CLI plans for India' s growth trajectory to outpace all other markets. business-standard CLI has stated it will rebalance its portfolio to grow India and Southeast Asia, optimise China, leverage M& A to grow in Japan, Korea and Australia, and then look to ex-Asia developed markets like the US and Europe. Aperia CLI' s capital allocation in India, Australia, Japan, and Korea grew 60% year-on-year to S$1.3 billion, reflecting a strategic pivot away from China toward these markets. Minichart |
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coco66
Member |
02-Jun-2026 13:27
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You can phrase it anyway you like If anyone wants to look ahead blindly, it is up to them. |
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Andrewtan18
Senior |
02-Jun-2026 12:13
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Your cynicism is amazing. Best to detach yourself from human civilisation because nothing can be trusted.
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eddyeddy
Master |
02-Jun-2026 08:52
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their investment in China are getting hit very badly ! See no light yet . | ||||
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coco66
Member |
02-Jun-2026 08:26
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It happens. my point remains.
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luckyguy3
Master |
29-May-2026 17:57
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what happened? afternoon was 2.61-2.62, then after 3pm i go out never monitor, come abck 2.54.. anyone knows what happened? |
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Alignment
Elite |
28-May-2026 21:45
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What you are describing is potentially illegal (which does not mean it does not happen). Henry Blodget was a famous test case when the dotcom bubble burst. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Blodget |
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coco66
Member |
28-May-2026 15:01
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Someone suggested if analyst say sell = they buying if analyst say buy = they offloading to you if you are receiving the report for free, you are the product |
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JurongW
Elite |
22-May 18:12
Yells: "Earnings give weight, Chart give wings" |
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Either break out, break down or continue to move sideways from the triangle next week. |
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JurongW
Elite |
22-May-2026 15:42
Yells: "Earnings give weight, Chart give wings" |
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Local targets won' t cut it. CLI needs JPM' s stamp of approval. Just look at Keppel one JPM upgrade, and the price took flight. |
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seanpent
Supreme |
22-May 17:28
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Into 3rd day of consolidation since 19 May 26, after running up almost 10cts from previous day.
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Delvyss
Elite |
22-May-2026 11:50
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Analyst Reiterates Buy on CapitaLand Investment, Maintains S$4.19 Target on Resilient Fee-Based Growthhttps://www.tipranks.com/news/ratings/analyst-reiterates-buy-on-capitaland-investment-maintains-s4-19-target-on-resilient-fee-based-growth-ratings-news |
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seanpent
Supreme |
21-May-2026 10:03
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2.78 
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JurongW
Elite |
20-May-2026 16:47
Yells: "Earnings give weight, Chart give wings" |
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Delvyss
Elite |
19-May-2026 10:38
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There is a possibility.
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seanpent
Supreme |
15-May-2026 14:50
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Hope it will move towards gap covering from 30 Apr 2026 (closed $2.78)
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Delvyss
Elite |
15-May-2026 14:40
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Wall Street ends higher on tech rally investors eye Beijing talkshttps://www.reuters.com/world/china/sp-500-nasdaq-futures-rise-new-highs-nvidia-jumps-2026-05-14/ |
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Delvyss
Elite |
15-May-2026 11:23
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" more big mandates" => CLI anticipates securing additional large-scale, third-party contracts to manage real estate portfolios, following its $2.4 billion deal with Income Insurance in April 2026 | ||||
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Joelton
Supreme |
15-May-2026 11:05
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CapitaLand Investment expects more big mandates after S$2.4 billion Income Insurance win Under new mandate, CLI to oversee Income Insurance&rsquo s portfolio and refresh assets through deals [SINGAPORE] CapitaLand Investment ( CLI : 9CI -0.38%) expects to win more large institutional mandates after securing a S$2.4 billion real estate portfolio from Income Insurance last month, a senior executive said. Patricia Goh, CapitaLand Investment&rsquo s CEO for South-east Asia and global head of logistics and self-storage, told Reuters earlier this month that large private capital commitments typically follow years of engagement. &ldquo When private capital partners commit S$500 million to S$1 billion in equity, it&rsquo s actually after years of engagement,&rdquo Goh said. &ldquo The expectation is that we will be able to convert more investors who we have been trying to get to understand us over the past few years.&rdquo Goh said CapitaLand Investment won the Income mandate due to its local presence, tenant relationships and track record in buying, managing and selling assets across sectors. Under the mandate, CapitaLand Investment will manage Income Insurance&rsquo s portfolio and pursue new investments and refresh the assets through divestments and acquisitions, she said. It can separately generate portfolio management, divestment and acquisition fees for CapitaLand Investment, she said. Some investors are considering shifting more capital from the US and Europe to Asia-Pacific, Goh said, adding that Singapore remains attractive as property transactions have continued through high interest rates, geopolitical conflict and market stress. CapitaLand Investment will look for opportunities where it has an edge, including logistics, retail, offices, mixed-use projects and self-storage, Goh said. Its self-storage platform with APG owns about 110 facilities across six markets and is valued at about S$700 million. Goh said it could grow to more than S$1 billion hopefully by next year. |
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