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MrBear12
Supreme |
24-Apr-2024 07:19
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0 Alert Admin |
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/singapore-dollar-outshines-peers-with-40-advance-under-pm-lee
Strong Sing dollar under pm Lee. Helped us cope with inflation for some time. Helped our stock market too. Now let us give thanx |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
17-Apr-2024 22:04
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-inflation-rate-slows-32-march-2024-04-17/
Interest rates cuts expected to be later in the UK. Inflation in UK is 3.2%, significantly higher than the target 2% |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
17-Apr-2024 21:56
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
https://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/rssEconomyNews.htm?id=0
Another indication of stubbornly high inflation that refuses to come down quickly, this in the UK. High interests rates still needed to fight inflation in these countries. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
16-Apr-2024 21:14
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
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Another consideration raised in the article below was the strong USD which the author opined could be the final blow to US stocks and lead it to a deeper pullback. I am not convinced that a strong USD will by itself drag the SP500 or tech stocks. I see the greenback as a safe haven for unwinding of risky assets and carry trades. But as long as US companies earnings continue to hold, I see US stocks continue to become more dear and the DOW resuming its upward trend towards 40,000 pts. How many waves is required? I simply do not know. But the US economy is expected to be robust this year and US stocks should do well too. I certainly hope so.
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MrBear12
Supreme |
16-Apr-2024 20:54
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0 Alert Admin |
Economy (sharejunction.com) This article on Share Junction Main page is valuable for lessons learnt on effects of Currency fluctuations on markets with special reference to the Chinese Yuan. It reminds me of 2015 when the Yuan was suddenly devalued and markets tumbled. Not to say this is the same scenario now, but there are risks of a weak Yuan on our regional stock markets. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-Apr-2024 15:55
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0 Alert Admin |
More economic data for country. Good stuff.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/singapore-gdp-grows-faster-pace-2024-first-quarter-4257751 |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-Apr-2024 08:33
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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Published Date: 12 April 2024
MAS Monetary Policy Statement - April 2024 12 April 2024 INTRODUCTION 1. In the January 2024 Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), MAS maintained the rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER) policy band, with no change to the width of the band or level at which it was centred. Since then, the S$NEER has continued to strengthen in the upper half of the appreciating policy band. Chart 1 S$ Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (S$NEER) GROWTH BACKDROP 2. Global economic growth remained resilient at the turn of the year. In the near term, growth in Singapore?s major trading partners is expected to be tempered by the impact of past monetary policy tightening and withdrawal of previous expansionary fiscal policies. Towards the later part of 2024, final demand should pick up in line with the anticipated easing of global monetary policy. Global manufacturing should also remain on its recovery path. This outlook is subject to uncertainties, including around the pace and timing of monetary policy easing and the intensity of ongoing geopolitical conflicts. 3. MTI?s Advance Estimates show that growth in the Singapore economy came in at 0.1% on a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis in the first quarter of 2024, down from 1.2% in Q4 2023. Manufacturing and modern services activity saw some slowing in Q1 2024 after having expanded strongly in the preceding quarters. Growth in the consumer-facing sectors picked up in Q1, reflecting in part the boost from an increase in tourist arrivals. 4. Prospects for the Singapore economy should improve over the course of 2024, with GDP growth forecast to come in between 1?3%. The recovery in the manufacturing and financial sectors should resume, supported by the upturn in the electronics cycle and anticipated easing in global interest rates. Meanwhile, growth in the domestic-oriented sectors is projected to normalise, slowing towards pre-pandemic rates. INFLATION OUTLOOK 5. MAS Core Inflation [1] averaged 3.4% y-o-y in Jan?Feb. The increase from 3.3% in Q4 2023 was lower than expected. Inflation edged up due to the step-up in the GST rate, higher electricity & gas tariffs from the carbon tax hike, as well as increases in essential services fees amid higher input and labour costs. However, inflation for food and travel-related services slowed and was more modest than anticipated. Both non-cooked food and food services inflation declined in Jan?Feb, while hotel room rates abroad also fell sharply after surging late last year. Excluding the impact of the GST increases, underlying inflation is estimated to have been unchanged in Jan?Feb from Q4 last year. 6. Meanwhile, CPI-All Items inflation fell to 3.1% y-o-y over Jan?Feb, from 4.0% in the preceding quarter, underpinned by the further reduction in private transport and accommodation inflation. The slower pace of increase in car prices and residential property rents was due to a greater supply of COE quotas and completed housing units, respectively. 7. Core inflation is forecast to stay elevated in the immediate quarters ahead, before stepping down more discernibly in Q4 2024 and into 2025. In the near term, core inflation will remain around current levels as water prices rose in April while prices of certain services, such as education and healthcare, will continue to catch up to higher costs. Nevertheless, as imported and domestic cost pressures continue to abate, underlying inflation should moderate further. Although crude oil prices rose over the last three months, global prices of most food commodities as well as intermediate and final goods remain subdued. On the domestic front, wage growth has eased and should moderate this year as labour market tightness dissipates. Productivity is also expected to pick up. Consequently, unit labour costs will increase at a significantly slower pace compared to the preceding two years. 8. For 2024 as a whole, both MAS Core Inflation and CPI-All Items inflation are projected to come in at an average of 2.5?3.5%. Excluding the impact of the increases in the GST rate, core and headline inflation are forecast at 1.5?2.5%. 9. Both upside and downside risks to the inflation outlook remain. Shocks to global food and energy prices, or stronger-than-expected demand for labour in the domestic economy, could bring about additional inflationary pressures. However, an unexpected weakening in the global economy could induce a faster easing of cost and price pressures. MONETARY POLICY 10. The Singapore economy is expected to strengthen over 2024, with growth becoming more broad-based. The slightly negative output gap is projected to narrow further in H2 2024, even as underlying inflationary pressures gradually dissipate. MAS Core Inflation is likely to remain elevated in the earlier part of the year but should stay on its broadly moderating path and step down in Q4, before falling further into 2025. 11. Accordingly, current monetary policy settings remain appropriate. The prevailing rate of appreciation of the policy band is needed to keep a restraining effect on imported inflation as well as domestic cost pressures, and is sufficient to ensure medium-term price stability. 12. MAS will therefore maintain the prevailing rate of appreciation of the S$NEER policy band. There will be no change to its width and the level at which it is centred. MAS will closely monitor global and domestic economic developments, and remain vigilant to risks to inflation and growth. *** [1] MAS Core Inflation excludes the costs of accommodation and private transport from CPI-All Items inflation. Related: Past Monetary Policy Decisions Latest Statements Monetary Policy Statements Published Date: 12 April 2024 MAS Monetary Policy Statement - April 2024 Read the Monetary Policy Statement for April 2024. Monetary Policy Statements Published Date: 29 January 2024 MAS Monetary Policy Statement - January 2024 Read the Monetary Policy Statement for January 2024. Monetary Policy Statements Published Date: 13 October 2023 MAS Monetary Policy Statement - October 2023 Read the Monetary Policy Statement for October 2023. VIEW MORE Monetary Authority of Singapore Subscription Image Subscribe to Updates Get notified whenever news and updates are posted on this website. Contact Us Go to MAS LinkedIn Go to MAS Twitter Go to MAS Youtube Report Vulnerability Privacy Statement Terms of Use © 2024, Government of Singapore. Last updated on 12 Apr 20 |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-Apr-2024 07:46
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
https://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/rssEconomyNews.htm?id=0 Aussie steadies. | |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-Apr-2024 07:05
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0 Alert Admin |
Good morning share junction!
MAS releasing policy statement this morning. Will affect SGD and traders interested in economic outlooks. Stay tuned But it is breakfast first Trade with MAS policy news |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
11-Apr-2024 20:44
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
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The Bank of England&rsquo s Megan Greene has cautioned against near-term cuts to interest rates, citing ongoing inflationary pressures.  
Writing in the  Financial Times  on Thursday, Greene - a member of the Monetary Policy Committee - challenged market expectations that the BoE would cut rates earlier and by more than the Federal Reserve. She said: " Macroeconomic fundamentals and inflation dynamics differ in the UK and US, and there&rsquo s a greater risk of persistence in the former. " The markets are moving rate cut bets in the wrong direction." She continued: " With both weaker supply and demand in the UK than the US, we have to look at signs of persistence to compare the inflation dynamics and potential rate paths. " I am worried that second-round effects are having larger and longer lasting impact in the UK." Greene added that the UK economy faced a " double whammy" of a tight labour market and a " terms of trade shock from energy prices. Inflation persistence is therefore a greater threat for it than the US. But market pricing for interest rates does not reflect this." She conceded that as wage growth and services inflation eased, the risk of inflation persistence would diminish. But she concluded: " They remain higher than in other advanced economies, particularly the US. Momentum in the markets has been towards pricing in later rate cuts by the Fed, as economic growth remains robust. " In my view, rate cuts in the UK should still be a way off as well." The BoE raised interested rates 14 times from December 2021 as it looked to tackle surging inflation. However, with inflation now well off peaks at 3.4%, the cost of borrowing has been left on hold at 5.25% since August 2023. At February&rsquo s meeting, the MPC voted eight-to-one to leave rates unchanged, with external member Swati Dhingra voting for a 0.25 percentage point cut. In February, two members - Catherine Mann and Jonathan Haskel - had voted a 25 basis point hike, however, to 5.5%. Money markets currently expect the BoE to trim interest rates by around 45 basis points this year. Analysts are split as to when the first cut will occur, with some arguing in favour of spring and others summer. The next MPC decision is due 9 May |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
11-Apr-2024 20:38
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
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ECB Keeps Interest Rates on Hold. It&rsquo s Now More Likely to Cut in June Than the Fed.ECB Keeps Interest Rates on Hold. It&rsquo s Now More Likely to Cut in June Than the Fed. (msn.com) https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/ecb-keeps-interest-rates-on-hold-it-s-now-more-likely-to-cut-in-june-than-the-fed/ar-BB1loqzu   |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
11-Apr-2024 20:33
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
11/4/24
Important - This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors - not necessarily OANDA' s, its officers or directors. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
11-Apr-2024 08:14
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Important - This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors - not necessarily OANDA' s, its officers or directors.
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MrBear12
Supreme |
11-Apr-2024 07:46
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.theedgesingapore.com/amp/news/singapore-economy/singapore-set-keep-monetary-policy-tight-may-ease-october | |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
10-Apr-2024 22:13
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
US core CUPI tops forecasts again, likely delaying Fed rate cuts (theedgesingapore.com)   |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
10-Apr-2024 10:46
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
You can get up to 6% on 1-4 yrs FD for NZD. The catch? In one year you can lose up to 10% in FX. Against SGD, NZD depreciates roughly 2 percent every year over the long term. very much like AUD vs SGD.  So if you invest down under, take this into consideration. Invest with FX considerations   |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
10-Apr-2024 10:20
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
NZ Reserve Bank keeps Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5%
Photo credit: Getty The NZ Reserve Bank has kept the Official Cash Rate at 5.5 percent. Economists were predicting the OCR, which is updated seven times a year, would stay the same before Wednesday' s announcement. Increasing the OCR increases interest rates and helps bring inflation down. More to come. |
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