| Latest Forum Topics / Neptune Orient L Rg |
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NOL
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EddieLeong
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21-Jan-2015 22:00
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I think they should reconsider selling apl logistic .
Previously they sell because they want the 1 off gain to work on the shipping business. If now they already able to turn profit . They can improve by using the profit cash. Sell off apl logistic more like no choice previously but not for now.
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Heero78
Veteran |
21-Jan-2015 18:42
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Not really. There is serious flaw in the analysis. The value APL logistic ebitda us$80million is based on past earning and past oil price. When oil price drops, apl logistic profit will rise as well. So how can u sell at this valuation? I think NOL will ask more due to low oil price.  
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earlybird14
Supreme |
21-Jan-2015 17:12
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All price in. low fuel cost plus APL sold, TP 1.10
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earlybird14
Supreme |
21-Jan-2015 17:10
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NOL upgrade to Buy (TP$ 1.10) on lower fuel prices and disposal gain if APL Logistics is sold
 
NOL could be in for better luck in FY15, with bunker fuel prices declining from US$600/ MT to less than US$300/MT in a little over six months. Given that NOL' s liner business consumes about 3m MT of bunker fuel per year, this implies significant cost savings. We revise up our FY15 net profit expectations from US$46m to US$203m, taking into account the return of 19 chartered-in ships this year as well. Press reports have indicated that NOL has received offers from several interest parties for its APL Logistics arm. Assuming US$80m EBITDA for APL Logistics and a 10x EV/EBITDA multiple, NOL could register a one-off gain of around US$200-250m if the sale is completed. With the revision in earnings and higher US$ exchange rate, our TP is revised up to S$1.10, now based on 1x FY15 P/BV, pegged to mean valuation levels.
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Heero78
Veteran |
21-Jan-2015 15:50
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I had been loading up since 0.83,0.90,0.95,1 and 1.005. I am thinking to load up again when APL sale is announced. But my neck is long liao since waiting...sigh...
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alexsmith
Member |
21-Jan-2015 14:56
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Consider to add more once 1.065 barrier is clear. This world is rewarding those who dares. I know there are alot who hv waited at lows n successfully bought them. However they dare not to hold after rising a little bit as they afraid it will drop down. But too bad, they will bite their fingers now. CHEERS. LIFE IS ONCE. DONT DO THINGS THAT U WILL REGRET. HOWEVER DOING NOTHING WILL MAKE YOU REGRET AS WELL.  |
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alexsmith
Member |
21-Jan-2015 14:46
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Jst loaded 300lots at 1.03. Suspect the logistics sell is going well. Else BB wont jump in since they know better insider info than public. As my knowledge no info on this sell is released yet. So further stream is on the way. A privatization might follow suit afterwards since it will profitable as bunker oil price has tanked down so much. $$ is on the table. Those who dares to grab will smile or he will bite his own fingers. CHEERS.  |
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famouspinky
Supreme |
21-Jan-2015 11:43
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.)
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BigCannonFairy
Master |
21-Jan-2015 11:35
Yells: "Slingless David" |
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Weeeee
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earlybird14
Supreme |
21-Jan-2015 10:35
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moving closer to dangerous zone. hope result is good, otherwise, price is not sustainable. |
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mssotong
Member |
21-Jan-2015 10:27
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Looking good jeeped some :) | ||||
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Heero78
Veteran |
21-Jan-2015 10:22
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walao...where got cliff?? more like a bukit timah hill only |
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ascend88
Master |
21-Jan-2015 10:16
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now at 1035-104
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Heero78
Veteran |
21-Jan-2015 09:22
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everyday 1~2% up also quite good....yah red cliff at 1.020/1.025 |
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ascend88
Master |
21-Jan-2015 09:19
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red cliff ....at 1.02-1.025 |
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Merger
Master |
21-Jan-2015 09:15
Yells: "Sin-tel : " Let's make Ah-Pui-Day better "" |
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Sayang. Sold at 0.98 : ( |
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ascend88
Master |
21-Jan-2015 09:08
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101 eaten up |
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isaacsgx
Elite |
21-Jan-2015 07:40
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Both not wrong in terms of FA! But this mkt is abt how BB wants it to be.
Anyway not vested yet in the three!
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earlybird14
Supreme |
21-Jan-2015 07:12
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Comparison?
Share price performance or the risk that involve on each? Samudera is better in term of debt risk and operation margin. Samudera prove himself can be profitable. NOL is unknown, investors have to think twice to hold their investment if NOL will disappoint them again in coming result. Cosco? Totally out of picture. Cosco listed in sgx is doing shipbuilding business and little dry bulk shipping which is one of the subsidiary of cosco group. So don't mislead those who want to invest in container shipping business due to brighter future with low bunker oil and alliance forming.
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MetalTrader3
Supreme |
21-Jan-2015 02:41
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tommorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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The Battle of Red Cliff (Chibi) will only begin once NOL past $1.065, to within $1.065 to $1.50 range. The time period is stated within my Reputation Bet Prediction.
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