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YZJ Fin Hldg
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YZJFH - potentially rewarding
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pkli899
Supreme |
02-Apr-2025 13:58
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Thank you volvo125 for your action. I think many long holders share your concern. One possible reason I can think of is, they need huge amount of cash in near term. Say, within the next 3 to 6 months and more than what they have in hand currently. fIt is for a proposal which can give them very good returns. Too good to miss, so urgently seek injection of fresh fund. I any how guess la. Maybe totally wrong.   
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tch77_pt75
Veteran |
02-Apr-2025 12:02
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The short sell was high last week- around 62m.
Need to buy back at low price and so the announced news was good for short sellers to take advantage of the situation.
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Joelton
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02-Apr-2025 11:51
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YZJ Financial falls 10% on placement of treasury shares at S$0.72 each
Net proceeds will be deployed towards the group&rsquo s core maritime investments
 
[SINGAPORE] Shares of Yangzijiang Financial, : YF8 -3.77% the financial arm of Yangzijiang shipbuilding, fell 10 per cent after the company on Sunday (Mar 30) said it agreed to divest its entire treasury shareholding of 193.5 million shares at S$0.72 apiece. 
 
At 9.43 am on Tuesday, the counter fell 10.1 per cent or S$0.08 to S$0.715, with around 52 million securities changing hands.
 
The share price later edged back up to S$0.735 at 10.06 am, still down 7.5 per cent or S$0.06, with around 62.8 million securities transacted, according to ShareInvestor.
 
The price represents a 111 per cent premium to its average buyback cost, but a 9.7 per cent discount to the weighted average price of S$0.7975 for trades done during the full market day on Mar 28.
 
The treasury shares were originally repurchased at an average cost of S$0.34 per share - less than half the S$0.72 placement price - under Yangzijiang Financial&rsquo s S$200 million share buyback programme.
 
The purchasers &ndash Merlion Quay Capital and Operie Capital &ndash are two separate entities, each established by an investor and three senior executives of Yangzijiang Financial.
 
Net proceeds will be deployed towards the group&rsquo s core maritime investments, in line with its strategy to capitalise on industry tailwinds driven by increasing decarbonisation.
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volvo125
Master |
02-Apr-2025 11:48
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For the benefits of all the Long holders, I have sent the following mail to IR YFH.  Let hear what the mgt will say during AGM. -----xxxx----   Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2025, 3:32 am
Subject: Question For AGM 15 Apr
To: YZJFH < [email protected]>
 
Hi IR of YFH,
 
I hold shares in YFH under the custodian FSMone (screenshot attached)
 
I refer to the 2 SGX announcements made on Script Dividend on 28 Mar and the Sales of Treasury Shares on 30 Mar.
 
I have the follow question for YFH management :-
 
With the 193.5m treasury shares being placed out, and the proposed script dividend mandate if passed, would mean YFH is going to issue new shares up to 153m to pay for the FY24 0.0345 dividend (say issue at a hypothetical price of 0.795 for example), assuming a 100% opt in rate.
 
  If YFH were to stop SBB going forward due to the much higher share price now and also to conserve the cash for MF investments, then YFH shares O/S is expecting to increase very significantly from the current 3480m to =(3480+194+153) = 3827m for FY25.
 
With a new much higher shares O/S in FY25, YFH will need to achieve a much higher FY25 NPAT at $333m in order to at least just maintain it' s FY24 EPS of 0.087 and DPS 0.0345. 
 
This is a significant 9.5% or $29m increase of NPAT from $304 to $333, else shareholders will see a lower EPS and DPS in FY25.
 
The total new equity injected is $139m + $121m = $260m. The increase in NPAT to at least match FY24 performance and payout is = (330m - 304m) = $29m. This implies that YFH must achieve a net ROE on this new capital = 29/260 = 11.15% (or a pre-tax return of ~14.1%, assuming average tax rate 21%).
 
YFH overall net FY24 ROE is just = (304m/4222m) = 7.2% (this is a net overall average ROE including those much lower returns from Cash Mgt and Yield Products ...). So unless YFH already has in mind high returns projects that can beat a net ROE 11.15% for this new $260m capital injection, I can really see a challenge here for YFH to even at least maintain its FY24 EPS and DPS in FY25, especially when there is still a $75m Govt grants+Forex gains in FY24 that is not going to recur in FY25.
 
YFH has a very huge $1813m in Cash Management not being productively deployed to higher returns investments as at end 2024 (Page 9 FY24 PowerPoint) and earning probably just 4~5% pa return. With so much idle cash on hand, why is YFH still raising even more cash from these new $260m equity injection that requires a high net ROE return of at least 11.15% ?
 
I look forward to receiving some enlightening answers from YFH management during the AGM.
 
Thank you.
 
--------xxxxxx------
 
Your questions have been well received. The management will address them during the AGM.
 
Thank you.
 
Best Regards,
 
Vicki Zhou (Zhou Yan) 
Consultant (Singapore) 
Logo
Sino-Lion Communications Pte Ltd
9 Raffles Place, #29-03, Republic Plaza
 
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sgng123
Supreme |
02-Apr-2025 11:19
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Yzjfh back to last week close 0.795, might attemp to cross 0.8 decisively this week. | ||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
02-Apr-2025 10:14
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Regain almost all the losses for yesterday. | ||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 19:26
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38m short sell today | ||||
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vicloo
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 18:56
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Agree
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Shenzhun01
Senior |
01-Apr-2025 16:47
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0.72 + 0.0345 = 0.755 ? | ||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 16:41
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0.76 + 0.035 = 0.795 lol  market readjust share price before AGM, post AGM it jump bck 0.795 lol. |
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Trader-101
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 16:36
Yells: "Don't trust what i say, Trust your decisions. " |
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Even a train that speeds beyond what its tracks can handle will eventually derail. Now imagine YZJFH - steered by multiple drivers and influenced by investors with different strategies and expectations. Such a situation requires balance and careful navigation. Instead of rushing and fueling uncertainty with speculations and numbers, it might be wiser to let things settle. A calmer, more measured approach will create stability, benefiting everyone in the long run. YZJFH will find its course and arrive at its destination in due time, guided by strategic decisions and market forces. | ||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 16:24
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Anyway yzjfh is on cd status now, selling should ebb next few days. | ||||
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bullrun888
Member |
01-Apr-2025 16:23
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some investors will cut lost because the selling wil have knee jerk reaction, unless you are willng to average or ready to pick up the shares.   |
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sgng123
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 16:22
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Too much excitement for retail today. Good 1d contra trade too, buy in morning sell in afternoon 3-4% profit. For now see if yzjfh can break 0.8 decisive this week  after all the news. |
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HVRRVH
Elite |
01-Apr-2025 16:11
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Do not be unduly worried over today' s sell down. With TS sale price at $0.72, it is kind of expected as market trying to bridge the gap betwen market price and the sale price, the scenario has not been averted since bulls decided that there is no ground to push the price further up at this point. But that doesn' t mean bulls have abandoned YZJF, especially on 28.3.25 there was a total of about 97m share traded at $0.79 and above. Granted that of the 97m, maybe some were right hand to left hand kind of trade but nevertheless, a substantial amount of shares changed hands at $0.79 and above. I don' t think these buyers want to realise the substantial losses in just over 1 market day. Do they buy further when prices were at $0.715 to $0.765 now? Who know but there were buying from $0.715 all the way back to current $0.76 / $0.765, that' s the fact. Let' s see how' s the market closed to day and how' s it moves over the next few days. It is super ok if it stay within today' s range.  | ||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 15:59
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Too low stock price increase possibility of Mandatory Offer by Ren if waiver not obtained. Best is stock resume it upward surge , high enough to price scrip dividend high enough  to avoid 30% takeover threshold. IF Ren do Mandatory Offer at 0.9X NTA, 99% CPF retail would sign up.
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vicloo
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 15:56
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Investors are looking at value way beyond dividend now... we are a growth stock now... Market cap is increasing with more shares and higher price and higher PE, because expected PE on future earning is very low 👍 👍 👍
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Heybie
Member |
01-Apr-2025 15:42
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0.795 - 0.0345 = 0.7605   |
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HVRRVH
Elite |
01-Apr-2025 15:24
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You could be right that the price would get supported at $0.77 or above so that if the scip price is offered at $0.72, the discount still read a respectable 6.5%. I don' t mind lower price as I am in for the long haul. Perhaps some shareholders cannot bear to see price correction but it is not every day that the market offer us cheaper price, especially if the company is clearly embark on hugh growth. Personally I am ok if the price corrected and thus offer the opportunity of cheaper scrip for accumulation of shares. Do not lose hope or be shaken when seeing the price seeminly dropping without control and get panic. Some other stocks also experience the same course such as Boustead.   
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wehuattogether88
Supreme |
01-Apr-2025 15:01
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Probably the scrip price of YZJF might be slightly higher than or equal to S$0.72 to attract shareholders to subscibe. The current share price might move at between 0.77 to 0.80. Just my thoughts.   |
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