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SingTel
Last:4.29
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Singtel Bullish???
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luke2021
Senior |
16-Aug-2024 18:16
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Trend is your good friend. Don' t against the trend. Just flow with it.  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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TikTalk
Supreme |
16-Aug-2024 16:23
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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" Time in the market always a better approach than timing the market."
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wehuattogether88
Supreme |
16-Aug-2024 15:32
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I believe that Singtels investors and funds had digested the XD effect. Now it will regroup and continue the uptrend. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Glooper83
Senior |
16-Aug-2024 14:58
Yells: "Always focus on Fundamentals!" |
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B - generally this stock should be on an upward trend... but I do not know how long will it take...
Ignore the "noise" on the daily price movements and focus on the fundamentals of the company...
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Potato
Master |
16-Aug-2024 14:56
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Gd afternoon... This forum used to be very quiet with most people calling it SickTel or Sinktel.. now we even ave mini debates.. haa haa. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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TikTalk
Supreme |
16-Aug-2024 14:35
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Thanks for sharing.
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Entropy72
Master |
16-Aug-2024 14:23
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SingTel - Maybank Research 2024-08-12
SingTel - 3% Share Price Correction ~ Much Ado About Nothing? SingTel's share price 3% on 12th Aug following a media report alleging Optus had a dispute with its mobile towers investor, AustralianSuper. In 2021, Optus sold 70% stake in its towerco to AustralianSuper and leased back with a committment to lease 565 new towers. The report alleged AustralianSuper has failed to build the hundreds of new towers, which could result in penalties for the towerco. We believe Optus may receive penalty payments, although we think an amicable resolution is more likely with penalties being the last option. Assuming half of the new towers are not delivered and a penalty rate of ~10% (as a % of tower rental), we estimate it could lead to a post-tax annual penalty payment to SingTel of S$7m or 0.2% earnings accretion pa. As such, we see the development as being largely non-material and the correction of SingTel share price is a buying opportunity. We believe Optus? turnaround is in full swing. Optus raised mobile tariff prices by 5-18% in May 24, which, according to management, was well-received by consumers. We estimate Optus? 1Q25 mobile revenue to increase 5% y-o-y. We also see potential turnaround of Optus Enterprise after restructuring of the business ? mobile first approach in project bidding and only targeted/off-the-shelf enterprise offerings. This is reflected in the recent large contract win from Services Australia. On the cost front as well we see Optus turning around with a major chunk of the group S$200m per year cost savings target expected to come from Optus. We estimate, Optus EBITDA to increase 8.5% y-o-y and margins lift of 3ppt in 1QFY25. SingTel's share price has fallen 9% since it went ex-dividend on 1 Aug 24. We view the correction as a buying opportunity, as fundamentals are unchanged and we are seeing a turnaround in its various businesses: Optus, SG Mobile and NCS margins. Associates also posted decent results too recently. Maintain BUY Our BUY call on SingTel is based on 3 catalysts: potential consolidation in Singapore ongoing turnaround of Optus and dividend visibility (prospective yield of 5-6%). As the interest rate cycle turns, we see SingTel, alongside its associates (AIS, Globe Tel and NetLink Trust), as potential beneficiaries as their dividend yield to bond yield spreads widen. Hussaini Saifee https://www.maybank-ke.com.sg/
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Entropy72
Master |
16-Aug-2024 14:05
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Your chance to cut loss today before it resumes uptrend.
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TikTalk
Supreme |
16-Aug-2024 12:09
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Singtel - Daily chart Simple poll :  Vote " A" if one think it will go back down to $2.70  Vote ' B" if one think this rally will continue to higher level.
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Joelton
Supreme |
16-Aug-2024 11:14
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Singtel Q1 net profit up 42.9% to S$690 million on exceptional gain
This came from the dilution of Singtel&rsquo s effective equity shareholding in associate Airtel from 28.9 per cent to 28.7 per cent
 
SINGTEL&rsquo S : Z74 +3.78% net profit for the first quarter ended Jun 30 rose 42.9 per cent to S$690 million, from S$483 million in the corresponding year-ago period.
 
The increase was mainly attributed to a net exceptional gain of S$88 million, compared to a net exceptional loss of S$88 million in the same period last year, said the telco giant in a business update on Thursday (Aug 15).
 
The net exceptional gain was from the dilution of Singtel&rsquo s effective equity shareholding in associate Airtel from 28.9 per cent to 28.7 per cent. This came after the group redeemed more of Airtel&rsquo s foreign currency convertible bonds.
 
Other components contributing to the net exceptional gain are the sale of telecommunication towers by regional associate Globe, as well as share of Airtel&rsquo s exceptional net gain.
 
Airtel&rsquo s gains included a reversal of an interest provision in relation to a variable licence fee matter, write-back of its share of an associate&rsquo s receivable provision for a major customer, as well as gain from the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary in Sri Lanka.
 
Meanwhile, Singtel&rsquo s underlying net profit was up 5.4 per cent to S$603 million in Q1 FY2025 from S$571 million the year before. On a constant currency basis, underlying net profit would have risen 8.7 per cent.
 
This comes amid higher net finance expenses and a lower share of profits from its associates &ndash mainly Airtel and Telkomsel.
 
The telco highlighted that in the recorded period, Airtel&rsquo s post-tax contribution was lower due to the translation impact from significant currency depreciation in Africa.
 
Similarly, while Telkomsel reported a higher net profit in local currency terms, its contribution to the group was lower after accounting for the depreciation of the Indonesian rupiah, and the reduction in Singtel&rsquo s equity interest. Singtel&rsquo s Q1 net finance expenses rose 47.3 per cent on the year to S$77 million.
 
This was due to lower dividend income after the group&rsquo s disposal of its 3.9 per cent stake in Airtel Africa last year, as well as a one-off revaluation gain from the settlement of a forward contract.
 
Revenue fell 2.1 per cent to S$3.4 billion in Q1 FY2025 from S$3.5 billion, mainly due to the absence of contributions from its cybersecurity arm Trustwave that it sold for US$205 million.
 
In constant currency terms and excluding Trustwave&rsquo s contributions, revenue would have been stable, led by wholly-owned information technology company NCS and Singtel-owned Australian telco Optus.
 
Looking forward, group chief executive Yuen Kuan Moon said: &ldquo Although the macroeconomic environment appears more challenging, we remain optimistic about the growth opportunities across our markets and are well-positioned with the resources and capabilities to capture them.&rdquo
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2egg4kosong
Veteran |
16-Aug-2024 10:30
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Potential double top, if drop below 2.85, next is 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Glooper83
Senior |
15-Aug-2024 23:14
Yells: "Always focus on Fundamentals!" |
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Thanks... I also think the assumptions are quite realistic 1. Interest rates are already falling in the SGD t bills (6 mths)... Cutoff yield for the auction held 15 Aug was 3.34%. Less than a month ago, on 18 July, it was 3.64%... 2. Dividends are partly supported by the VRD now, so I expect that it would be growing in a stable manner... 
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MrBear12
Supreme |
15-Aug-2024 22:43
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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Glooper83, I do like the basis for your scenarios 1 and 2 below with my preference for number 2. Say if dividends were to come in 16.5-17.5 cents inclusive of the value realisation dividends of 3-6 cents every year,  then for a 5% yield that will give a price of somewhere between 3.30 to 3.50. (FY 2025) a 4% yield that will give a price of somewhere between 4.12 to 4.38. (FY 2026) a 3% yield that will give a price of somewhere between 5.50 to 5.84. (FY 2027 and beyond) Assumptions: a) Dividends stay constantly between 16.5-17.5 cents a year. b) Interest rates for savings fall steadily from 3% to 1%. c) investors want a 2% yield above bank savings interest rates. Trade with sensitivity analysis
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Glooper83
Senior |
15-Aug-2024 22:36
Yells: "Always focus on Fundamentals!" |
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Ok, then what is a " fair valuation" and how do you derive it?  Also, if you want to act like you are an expert and read the financial statements but then you use the wrong figure... Quite dumb eh? Temasek owns 50.29% in Singtel... The figure is easily found in the annual report...  
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Glooper83
Senior |
15-Aug-2024 22:26
Yells: "Always focus on Fundamentals!" |
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Lol... you mean nothing has changed between 2020 and now?  
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Glooper83
Senior |
15-Aug-2024 22:20
Yells: "Always focus on Fundamentals!" |
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Btw, I find it ridiculous and pathetic that you are posting this... Firstly, you know there is no way that we can verify it unless we can somehow meet you and check your figures... Hence, I view this as a somewhat desperate attempt to seek validation from the bros here...  As some may have pointed out also, easy to post your wins, what about the losses? Lol... And if you are truly winning so much, then heck... Your timing is impeccable, something maybe I think professional traders also struggle to achieve... You should be working for GIC or Temasek cos seems like their timing is quite poor, buying up billions of US tech stocks just before the July crash...
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MrBear12
Supreme |
15-Aug-2024 22:19
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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Well observed Glooper83 about the effect of the depreciating AUD on Singtel net profit. Hopefully, as Fed cuts rates, the Aussie will hold steady. This is be beneficial for Singtel' s profits stability. I also share an article below on recent Aussie dollar exchange news and outlook. I am looking forward to a recovery in Aussie dollar vs SGD at least for the short term.  Economy (sharejunction.com)  
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MrBear12
Supreme |
15-Aug-2024 21:45
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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Good evening fellow investors, Best wishes to all, including charters and short-sellers. The 1st chart provided by TikTalk is informative showing the fluctuations of Singtel over some 25 years. Bull run A corresponds to the run-up from Post-SARS and 2001 SG recession to GFC. Bull run B corresponds to the recovery post GFC Bull run C is the post COVID19 recovery. This last bull run has some way to go, unless there is a black-swan event soon. From a macro-perspective, Singtel is moving up over the medium to long term due to improved performance and investor sentiments. The second chart showed the short term price action and volume traded over the past year and zeroed in on the past 9-10 weeks where there is strong buy up of Singtel shortly after they announced their 2023-24 FY results. It is very clear that Singtel is positioned for more upside with today' s 1Q business updates which showed good progress in their 2025 business targets in terms of EBIT growth rates, dividends of associates and value realisations, and cost savings (page 8 of today' s 1Q business update presentation attached). I also attach an ST article on the business update today.    Singtel Q1 net profit up 42.9% to $690 million after exceptional gain | The Straits Times 1QFY25 slides vF.pdf (singteldigital.com) As we can clearly see from TikTalk charts and the news reports, in the short to medium term, Singtel is perfoming well and on track for growth that will be accompanied by sustained price appreciation once more investors catch on to Singtel' s recovery. I hope that it will grow steadily for the long-term. For that, let us patiently wait and see the unfolding of its Singtel28 plan in the coming years. For these reasons, I do advise short-sellers to avoid this stock and look elsewhere to trade for a living.  Those who short for fun and as a hobby, please also take note as you may well be throwing your money down the drain to those who are buying up Singtel. Trade with awareness and DYODD 
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MrBear12
Supreme |
15-Aug-2024 21:06
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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Indeed it was Shell V-power fueling a VR series engine that sustained a BIG rally for Singtel today. As a respected member here has pointed out, it was rare for a more than 10 cents rally here. May there be more of such rallies! Now to attain the four golden dollars mark... ... Trade Singtel and Smile Widely
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Glooper83
Senior |
15-Aug-2024 17:46
Yells: "Always focus on Fundamentals!" |
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There' s also the effect of the curent strong SGD vs the regional peers... If and when the SGD weakens, then the earnings will get a boost as well... As it is, the 1Q underlying profit would have been higher at 9% on a constant currency basis but is now only about 5% due to the strong SGD.
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