| Latest Forum Topics / CapLand Ascendas RE Last:2.46 -- |
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Ascendasreit
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wavehunter
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31-Dec-2023 01:54
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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Thanks for your crystal bola helicopter view.  ![]()
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spore1
Supreme |
30-Dec-2023 14:04
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Thanks! Waiting for her to pull back to 2.90 or 2.89 to re-enter
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wavehunter
Supreme |
30-Dec-2023 01:32
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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CONGRATS Bro Spore. HUAT arrrr !!!    ![]()
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spore1
Supreme |
29-Dec-2023 20:02
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I let go at 3.04 shall wait for next opportunity!
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Luzern
Supreme |
29-Dec-2023 11:32
Yells: "9" |
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3.04....Well Done, Good Show! | ||||
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wavehunter
Supreme |
28-Dec-2023 09:19
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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Ascendas... She broke 2.99 and touched 3.00 this morning. Bravehearts can take this as a signal that she is going up, not down. So buy into the next dip before she goes higher. All the best, guys.  |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
27-Dec-2023 14:47
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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She was at 2.97 : 2.98. Now 2.96 : 2.97. Will we see 2.95 : 2.96 later? I dunno. I hope so. If can see 2.91 lagi better. But dream on lah. For us to see 2.91 or lower, one fund must, for whatever the reason, has decided to divest all or a substantial part of their shareholdings in Ascendas. You guys will remember back in Sep to Oct she fell to the 2.40s. For that to happen, one or more funds must have decided to divest themselves of Ascendas and were selling. Other than that, if selling is coming from only small retail traders or from funds who are selling one batch in a one-off manner...not unloading wholesale, then no chance we will see the price being hammered down.  Anyway, if for whatever reason there is a dip later, those of you who have decided to choose the middle path... you may want to grab some during this dip. If there is one.  When I started writing, she was at 2.96 : 2.97. Now back to 2.97 : 2.98. Sigh.   
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wavehunter
Supreme |
27-Dec-2023 14:02
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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2.97 : 2.98. She no give chance.    ![]() To wait or to board slowly, you guys decide on what suits your individual investment style. There is a real possibility that she will break above 2.99 to make a run for 3.10 first. Then 3.18. That breakout can come anytime this week or next week. And life as a trader is like that. Today, we are apprehensive about buying at 2.97 : 2.98. Becoz we havent seen 3.05 yet. But when she is at 3.05 and heading towards 3.10, we will, with the benefit of hindsight say ...." Should have Ka Ka BUY when she was at 2.97 : 2.98" . But today, when we havent seen 3.05-3.10 yet, we are hesitant to buy at 2.97 : 2.98. She will break 2.99. That' s for sure. On which day....that....I cannot tell you. Whether she will go down to 2.89 (or lower) first before she breaks 2.99....that.... I also cannot tell you. If buy at 2.97, the risk we take is if she goes lower first, we have to LOON. If dont buy at 2.97, the risk we take is if she breaks 2.99 and never look back, we will have to chase and pay more for our boarding pass. I cannot tell you what you should do. Becoz we all have different army size, different time frame, different risk appetite and different investment philosophy. I can only paint out the different scenarios for you if you do this or do that. And leave it to you which path to choose. Those of you who dont mind choosing the middle path, buy some first at the best price you can get. Buy with 20% to 50% of your army. And keep the remainder to average down if she goes lower OR to chase higher if that breakout comes.  |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
27-Dec-2023 09:13
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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![]() She macam like want to do this. This bull die die dun wan to die. 
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wavehunter
Supreme |
26-Dec-2023 13:54
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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This trading suggestion is for the bravest of bravehearts. BUY at 2.89 to 2.92. Your profit window is from 2.93 to 2.97.  But will she be so kind as to go down to 2.89-2.92 ? That is the question. All the best.  |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Dec-2023 17:33
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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Yes. I think she will reach 3.18 within Q1 of 2024.   |
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spore1
Supreme |
24-Dec-2023 17:17
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This counter she can run up very fast!
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wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Dec-2023 14:38
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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Bro Spore1. Yes, you can. But subject to the following Terms & Conditions. 1. Cash only. No credit. No contra. 2. Lock-in period is 12 mths. 3. She may go lower first before she breaks 2.99. You musnt mind that. 4. If she goes lower first, you must have the mental strength and emotional maturity to L ![]() N. You can @#$%^!#. That' s fine. But you must LOON.5. Anyway, if you buy now and hold till 1st week of July, you will at the very least receive no less than 15 cts in dividends. Meaning your actual entry price is price per share less 15 cts. But you probably dont have to hold that long to make 15 cts out of her. All the best.  .
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spore1
Supreme |
24-Dec-2023 11:16
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SO, CAN SHOW HANDS , ALL IN!!
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wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Dec-2023 10:58
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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After Ascendas broke the resistance at 2.84 to 2.86 to cheong to 2.99, I did say she is no longer as easy to trade than if she had remained below 2.86. If 2.86 remains as her resistance, it means she will have to go back down to the 2.60s to consolidate there. Only if we have a crisis-grade selldown that she will go to the 2.50s and 2.40s. Otherwise 2.60s is all we will see. Which is fine with me. At 2.60s, I am comfortable to collect and go all-in. But that is not to be. Now that she has reached 2.99, gone are the 2.70s let alone 2.60s. So we are now stuck with the predicament of buying her at 2.89 to 2.93 or risk missing the boat if her breakout above 2.99 comes sooner than we expect. At best, we can only hope that she comes down to the 2.84 to 2.88 region. Dont think she will go lower than that. Unless smart money orchestrate an earthquake to shake weak holders off the market. The next time she goes to 2.89 again, expect it to be brief and shortlived. Its a matter of time before she breaks above 2.99 to head towards 3.18. That' s 19 cts. And it got me thinking - when she is at 3.18, then what next ? Lagi even more difficult to trade her at that level. Headache. Shake head.    |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
23-Dec-2023 15:28
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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![]() 1. Her earnings recession is over. For REITs, a rising interest rate environment is a major killer of earnings. But her REIT managers did a very good job to mitigate the effects of higher borrowing costs and still managed to generate a DPU of above 15 cts. Now that interest rate has peaked, whatever further cost savings achieved will translate into a higher DPU. And when Fed starts cutting interest rate some time next year, lower borrowing costs means even higher earnings for distribution to her shareholders. This explains why funds and institutional investors are moving their hot money back into REITs. That' s why we have been seeing very strong support. That' s why the price keeps hovering at 2.92 to 2.96 most of the time. And whenever there was a dip to 2.89, it was very very brief.  2. She will go higher in 2024. That is a given. But before she goes up, how low will she pull back to for us to board ? That is the question. For three times now, she pulled back to 2.89 and then rebounded strongly. Maybe 2.89 is as low as she will get. We dunno yet. We will know if she goes higher and higher in the weeks and months ahead. 3. So what do we do ? The easy part is - we know she will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2024 than where she is now. So even if we buy now, its just a matter of waiting it out for her to go higher in Q1 2024 and then BINGO. So if you are sick and tired of waiting and you want to just buy and keep it in the storeroom  and let the market do the rest of the work, that' s up to you. Buy only with money you dont need for the next 1 year. At most if she goes lower, you LOON only. And your LOON will be temporary. Coz she will go higher in 2024 and you will get your window to take profits. If you want to get a better entry price, then space out your BUYs. One suggestion I have is buy some at 2.89. Then buy some at 2.84 to 2.88. Whether at every level or at alternate levels or only at the low of that range, its up to you. And then have some orders in the queue at 2.79 to 2.83 too. Having said that, you still need to monitor her price movement every now and then. Why ar ? So that you know whether any chance for her to go down to 2.84-2.88 range and 2.79-2.83 range. If no chance, then you will need to queue higher to chope your seats on this boat. 4. How high can she go in Q1 of 2024 ? Let' s put it as 3.18 for now. This one, we review together and update each other after we have the benefit of seeing her price action in the 1st three weeks of Janunary. |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
22-Dec-2023 11:29
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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We need Dow to drop more than -250 pts for 3 consecutive nites. Only then will we have a chance to see a dip to Retracement Zone B which is 2.84 to 2.88. On a day when Dow falls, Ascendas may or may not dip to 2.89 but after that she will rebound to close at 2.92 to 2.95. Then on the following day if Dow rebounds, we lagi wont see her go near to 2.89. And then next day if Dow falls again, again we may or may not see a dip to 2.89 followed by a rebound. Fast forward as long as we see Dow dropping for only 1 day, she may or may not dip and will rebound so when we look back at her chart, she is hovering at the 2.89 to 2.96 region largely. Which is why Dow needs to drop -250 pts or more for 3 consecutive nites for sentiments to turn negative enough to spur more holders to take profits. Only then we may see a quick dip to 2.84 to 2.88 and if we do see it, it will be very shortlived. I believe the price wont stay there for long. So do whatever you need to do now...today...before that dip comes...to get your act together so that if it comes, your head, your heart, your bolas and your fingers are all in sync and know exactly what each and what everyone collectively must do. Becoz time and tide waits for no man. Dips too. So do not hesitate. He who hesitates, gets to pay more.  |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Dec-2023 14:20
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Dec-2023 14:05
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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![]() Can pre-queue at 2.84 to 2.88. How high or how low to queue at will depend on how aggressive you are as a trader.  .......................................OR.................................................![]() And how big or how small a position to trade will depend on your risk appetite and trading philosophy. ............OR..............
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wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Dec-2023 12:24
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
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![]() Last nite, Wall Street fell bigtime. But this morn, our market macam like gave a knee-jerk reaction only and after that its back to business as usual as if nothing big happened at Wall Street last nite. Some traders moved in to take up positions today thinking that last nite' s bigtime drop is just a one-off and come tonite, Dow will rebound and our market will be up and running tomorrow. Yes, they could be right. And if so, bravehearts who bought the dips today and resisted the temptation to take profits to hold till tomorrow will probably be rewarded. But what if Dow falls again by -200 to -300 pts for a 2nd night ?  Then sentiments will turn negative. Traders will do a rethink. If have to cut, they cut first and ask questions later. The whole idea is to keep losses small when wrong. Coz a small loss is easier to make back. Big losses are crippling. And demoralizing. If Dow falls a 2nd nite, we may see Ascendas leaving Zone A (2.89 to 2.99) to go to Zone B (2.84 to 2.88). I do not expect her to fall right thru Zone B to go to Zone C (2.79 to 2.83) on the 1st attempt. I expect her to have a bounce from Zone B which may take her back to Zone A. I intend to trade that bounce.  .
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