Latest Forum Topics /
YZJ Fin Hldg
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YZJFH - potentially rewarding
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HVRRVH
Elite |
14-Dec-2023 05:17
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Just finish trading the US markets. Fed finally indicated that there will be around 3 cuts next year. Well, good news for reits which I am not complaining but I guess the reaction for YZJF will be subduced. Maybe a max 1 cent gain, as what YZJF needs is a strong, robust and sustainable recovery of China economy. It will be interesting to see the early reactions of Asia markets few hours later.  | ||||
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John210119
Member |
13-Dec-2023 22:35
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What if none of these happen? Based on the business updates, things doesnt sound too bad at all. Just that profit may not be as high as what I hope to have. Out of the $2B DI, the anticipated utilization of the provision, or the possible write off, is not even is not 500mil that you mention. Remember their recovery rate is quite high, at least 90% on average. So I see at most 200mil write off in the worst case.
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vicloo
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 21:49
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If you believe there is good chance of this happening better just sell all and cut loss move other counter 👍 👍 👍 before too late.
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sgng123
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 20:09
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YZJFH stock price is hedging bet by bb as all it debt investment maturing this year. With property crisis and companies default on debt, fear everywhere. Buyers also scared to load in and bb short to protect their stake in yzjfh incase something go wrong on DI. So yes this year yzjfh would touch umdervalued new low on DI uncertainty. After this year, DI mature date would be pushed back at least 3-5 years , removing uncertainty. Stable income revenue and Maritime funds etc would let stock price recover. Just not a counter to do short term trade, it more of medium term investment. By the way yzjfh had transfered $1b fund to sg, stock trading at sg cash level. Basically market ignor China based portfolio appro 2.8b from stock price. Market assume china portfolio gone up in smoke. | ||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 19:56
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Not much drama in q4 as china meet it 5% GDP growth. 3Q business update everything normal no NPL increase or provision. Now only left like 2 weeks to year end, no big drama out of china with foreign funds all bailing out like crazy. Dividend expected to be more than last year. 1H net profit 162m more than 2022 full year profit so chill. Now pray no NPL provision needed in 4Q. YZJFH completing it DI portfolio renewal end of year, next year if no big surprise should see share price recovering as debt investment all rolled over to longer term. Should see DI dipping further to 1.9b from 2.1b meeting tgt 50%. Lot of china counters got battered this year as their debt bond maturing and no free cash to repay go into default. YZJFH unlucky as it is the lender for those borrowers. First few months in 2024 we know if anything happen as market alway know beforehand hehe. | ||||
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explosive2013
Master |
13-Dec-2023 18:50
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Any insider info next year 6% dividend?. What will happen if zero dividend next and 500m losses due to write off and SBB investment losses as share price keep on dropping and make paper lossess everyday..If price drop to $0.2, then the losses will be widen and reflect the huge lossess in next QR | ||||
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SAVIORFOREVER
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 17:54
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If buy 305 then next year's dividend is at least 6%.
Those who don't have any share of YJZFH can consider to buy. Just Q below 30 for best deal. Shortsellers targeting lower to make more money. They're likely to get what they want. Just tag along with them. Trade with awareness and DYODD
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Winnertakeall
Elite |
13-Dec-2023 17:51
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Currently profitable and fundamentally positive. But even with good results and good dividends. The continue present of powerful short sellers would hammer it down and under. As you maybe aware since listing and SBB till now it has touched new low. What more can I say ??   
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tongphlp
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 14:38
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run first
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pkli899
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 13:18
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Agree with your last sentense. Funds too have some degree of disturst in YZJFH. YZJFH need to show proof (good results & good dividends) to change them.
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SAVIORFOREVER
Supreme |
13-Dec-2023 11:48
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They're selling till rock bottom from day one or the attractive price.
Trade with expectation and DYODD
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eddyeddy
Master |
13-Dec-2023 10:05
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FH is so undervalued , but the fund managers are no awared at all ????? | ||||
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MambaFinancial89
Veteran |
13-Dec-2023 09:55
Yells: "Be greedy when others are fearful. " |
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Spoke with a Maybank remisier who attended and helped facilitate the YZJFH roadshow for Maybank clients a few months back. His exact feedback was that Ren appears to be someone that cannot necessarily be trusted and is primarily self serving. " There are better companies out there" , was his conclusion. I somewhat disagree, given the value Ren has created for shareholders in SB over the years. Also, trading at roughly the value of cash, FH seems like a screaming buy. However, this type of negative sentiment dsiplayed by the remisier is perhaps why the price is as such today...  | ||||
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SAVIORFOREVER
Supreme |
12-Dec-2023 09:14
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Support seems strong. Fake queues?
Bid Bid Vol(K) Ask Ask Vol(K) 0.305 10,001.5 0.310 1,976.3 0.300 6,317 0.315 5,442 0.295 9,897.6 0.320 5,265.5 0.290 4,233.4 0.325 4,153.6 0.285 3,409.4 0.330 6,112.7 0.280 3,358.5 0.335 5,607.6 0.275 2,102.2 0.340 4,065.6 0.270 2,755.1 0.345 3,007 0.265 1,015.2 0.350 3,160.5 0.260 2,100.2 0.355 2,072.9 0.255 1,000 0.360 1,418.2 0.250 1,070 0.365 1,121.6 0.245 1,050 0.370 1,204.2 0.240 1,140 0.375 1,021.2 Trade with awareness and DYODD |
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SAVIORFOREVER
Supreme |
11-Dec-2023 20:58
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Leopard got rosettes. Hope you're spot on.
Trade with awareness and DYODD
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emailpeter
Veteran |
11-Dec-2023 20:40
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That's what I always gathered from his interviews. And 10 yr track record. But never know, leopard could bleach off his stripes.
3 yr projection. 0.28c ave divs till 2026. Div 2.8c, NPAT260m, Share 35c. Upside 13%. DY 9%. A perfect investment, no ? Some might even find him unusually generous if this comes true. Happy investing guys.
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SAVIORFOREVER
Supreme |
11-Dec-2023 16:59
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Got chance to buy 305 pre-closing?
Trade with expectation and DYODD |
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SAVIORFOREVER
Supreme |
11-Dec-2023 16:45
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I only know you got YZJSB all wrong.
Your posts only YZJFH for many months already. Can you predict which other China will delist next year? YZJFH won't be one of them for sure. Wonder what is better than at least 5% dividend? T-bill? If you cancel your T-bill and buy YZJFH below 30 then you can expect huge profit more than you can imagine in next six months. Trade with expectation and DYODD
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arkan1111
Veteran |
11-Dec-2023 16:27
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Stingy Ren keep so mich money for what, human being must die, One Malaysia rich man man heart attact quickly ton ton qiang liao.  Finally, put in a small box burn away. Moreover, China economic hard time, YZJ FH being a china base company looks like not so easy to escape from the storm if cominig | ||||
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pkli899
Supreme |
11-Dec-2023 16:15
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Yes, senior Ren is very stingy. I' ve attended all the AGMs except the last few Covid years. Many shareholders have asked for more dividend without success. He always said must prepare for rainy days. He also said that was how in bad years he still able to give reasonable dividends. This time round, situation is a little different. Excess cash can no longer be used for DI. See what excuse he come out with if dividend remain meagre.  As for YZHFH, luckily already promised at least 40% of profit, no escape!  |
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