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3 BIG Spore banks ....:))
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Adrianinsing
Elite |
01-Apr-2022 19:33
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China' s rich are moving their money to Singapore. Beijing' s crackdown is one of the reasonsPUBLISHED TUE, MAR 29 2022 11:26 PM EDTUPDATED WED, MAR 30 2022 4:19 AM EDT
 
Wendy Ye
Evelyn Cheng
Source: CNBC An increasing number of affluent Chinese are setting up family offices in Singapore. The trend appeared to pick up last year after Beijing' s sudden crackdown on the education industry and emphasis on " common prosperity" &mdash moderate wealth for all, rather than just a few.  Over the last 12 months, inquiries about setting up a family office in Singapore have doubled at Jenga, a five-year-old accounting and corporate services firm, according to its founder Iris Xu. She said the majority of inquiries come from people in China or emigrants from the country.  More and more wealthy Chinese are worried about keeping their money on the mainland and some see Singapore as a safe haven. Since protests disrupted Hong Kong' s economy in 2019, affluent Chinese have looked for alternative places to store their wealth. Singapore proved attractive because of its large Mandarin Chinese-speaking community and, unlike many countries, it doesn' t have a wealth tax.  The trend appeared to pick up last year after Beijing' s sudden crackdown on the education industry and emphasis on " common prosperity" &mdash moderate wealth for all, rather than just a few.  That' s according to CNBC' s interviews with firms in Singapore that are helping wealthy Chinese move their assets to the city-state via the family office structure. A family office is a privately held company that handles investment and wealth management for an affluent family. In Singapore, setting up a family office typically requires at least $5 million in assets. Over the last 12 months, inquiries about setting up a family office in Singapore have doubled at Jenga, a five-year-old accounting and corporate services firm, according to its founder Iris Xu. She said the majority of inquiries come from people in China or emigrants from the country. About 50 of her clients have opened family offices in Singapore &mdash each with at least $10 million in assets, Xu said.  China' s rapid economic growth has minted hundreds of billionaires in just a few decades. Many more joined their ranks their last year, according to Forbes. That brought the total number of billionaires in China to 626, second only to the United States' 724 billionaires, the data showed. Xu said her Chinese clients " believe there are plenty of opportunities to make a fortune in China, but they are not sure whether it is safe for them to park money there," according to a CNBC translation of the interview in Mandarin.  ' Common prosperity' worries New family office-related work is coming disproportionately from Chinese clients, said Ryan Lin, a director at Bayfront Law in Singapore. His firm also has clients from India, Indonesia and parts of Europe. Mainland China' s tight capital controls &mdash an official limit of $50,000 in overseas foreign exchange a year &mdash limit those billionaires' ability to move money out of the country, Lin said. That cap is set by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, which did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment. Although those capital controls mean many Chinese clients are opening family offices with smaller amounts of capital, Lin said most own revenue-generating business outside the mainland. Other Chinese clients had already moved assets to Hong Kong, before moving them to Singapore, he said. " This kind of trend has started since the 2019 riots in Hong Kong when many Chinese had a second thought about asset safety," Lin said. He said the trend accelerated in 2021 following the crackdown on the education industry and Chinese President Xi Jinping' s talk of common prosperity. China' s top executive body, the State Council, did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment. In a speech last year, Xi called for curbs on " excessive" income as China seeks to fulfill the Marxist vision of common prosperity and reduce wealth inequality. Those comments came after months of increased scrutiny on China' s big tech and education companies, as well as real estate developers &mdash all industries that created enormous wealth for founders and executives in just two decades. Family office as a way to immigrate Covid-related restrictions on international travel also accelerated the interest of wealthy Chinese in establishing family offices in Singapore, Xu said. The country has a global investor program that allows adults who invest at least 2.5 million Singapore dollars ($1.8 million) to apply for permanent residency.  Since the pandemic began, some Chinese citizens found that China' s government could suspend passport issuing and renewal services on grounds of virus control.  In response to an online question in August about passport suspension, China' s National Immigration Administration said it would issue such documents only to those with essential or emergency reasons for leaving the country.  Singapore' s family office boom Many billionaires worldwide have used family offices to manage their wealth. Another part of Singapore' s appeal is that its location gives investors proximity to other investment opportunities in Asia. Since late 2020, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio and Google co-founder Sergey Brin have opened family offices in Singapore to take advantage of its friendly tax policy, according to Bloomberg reports. In 2020, there were about 400 family offices in Singapore, according to the nation' s Economic Development Board. The authority hasn' t updated the number since the end of 2021, and did not offer CNBC additional comment. Local firms assisting with family office setups in Singapore estimate there could be hundreds more now. That' s driven demand for services workers &mdash for all aspects of the business. Xu said her firm expanded its headcount by 25% last year, and that it' s getting harder to hire chauffeurs for family offices in Singapore. How long can it last? The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine has brought uncertainty to Chinese citizens who want to open family offices in Singapore. China has said it opposes sanctions. Beijing has also refused to call Russia' s attack on Ukraine an invasion, and state media often blames the U.S. for the conflict. In contrast to China' s attempt to take a neutral stance on the war, Singapore joined the U.S. and the EU in imposing sanctions on Russia earlier this month, reportedly freezing local bank accounts held by sanctioned Russian individuals and entities.  Jenga' s Xu said the news of the asset freeze gave some potential Chinese clients pause in their plans to open a family office in Singapore. Nevertheless, Xu and Lin from Bayfront said inquiries from Chinese people looking to open family offices in Singapore have grown this year at a pace similar to that of 2021. But it' s not clear whether the interest in Singapore means the city has gained a significant edge in longstanding competition with Hong Kong as a financial center. Xu said that Hong Kong financial professionals have a more established track record of managing money and some Hong Kong asset managers are going to Singapore in search of potential customers. " If Singapore cannot catch up in providing [quality] wealth management services, Chinese assets will still be managed by professionals from Hong Kong. After all, family offices are not restricted in where they invest," she said.   |
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CheeryVGoh
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01-Apr-2022 18:34
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Just read Krishna Guha with a pinch of salt as not accurate.
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Adrianinsing
Elite |
01-Apr-2022 18:29
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Jefferies is a little out of touch  Firstly the flattening of the yield curve and the inversion of the 5 and 10 year are only indicatiors and  are not sacrosanct  Secondly, all 3 banks are not equal and there is good reason for the 20% increase in bank shares being good management ( especially in terms of DBS) Thirdly and most importantly, banks like DBS are increasingly gaining revenue from Wealth Management and less relaxant on the traditional housing loans - wealth management is thriving - indeed CNBC has reported very significant influxes into Singapore bank wealth management from both China and HK in past two months    |
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CheeryVGoh
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01-Apr-2022 18:23
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Morning all 3 dropped because of this article.
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CheeryVGoh
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01-Apr-2022 18:21
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Brokers' take: Jefferies downgrades DBS, OCBC, UOB to ' hold' on flattening yield curveFRI, APR 01, 2022 - 3:57 PM
  
JEFFERIES has downgraded its call on the 3 Singapore banks, DBS, OCBC and UOB, to a " hold" from " buy" , to account for a flattening yield curve and the muted transmission of the US Federal Reserve' s rate hikes on local rate benchmarks. 
ST PHOTO: CHONG JUN LIANG
JEFFERIES has downgraded its call on the 3 Singapore banks,    DBS : D05 -0.78%,    OCBC : O39 +0.16%  and    UOB :  -0.19%, to " hold" from " buy" , to account for a flattening yield curve and the muted transmission of the US Federal Reserve' s rate hikes on local rate benchmarks. Jefferies equity analyst Krishna Guha also cut his target prices for all 3 lenders in a report on Thursday (Mar 31): he lowered DBS to S$32 from S$36, OCBC to S$12.50 from S$13.10 and UOB to S$32 from S$33.50. He expects the risk-reward profiles of the banks are now balanced, with share prices having risen by 10 to 20 per cent year-to-date, and sector forward multiples currently above their historical averages. As at 3.40 pm on Friday, shares of DBS were down S$0.12 or 0.3 per cent at S$35.71, OCBC was up S$0.01 or 0.1 per cent at S$12.39, while UOB was down S$0.02 or 0.1 per cent at S$32. Guha noted that the 3-month Singapore Overnight Rate Average (Sora) has yet to    price in the Fed rate hike, and given that loans will be priced off the Sora benchmark eventually, if the muted pass continues, it may weigh on margins. The analyst also lowered loan growth estimates and factored in high costs across the 3 banks,    amid a looming threat of stagflation. He noted that loan statistics for February suggest that loan growth will likely be slow for the year, with consumers " losing steam" .Guha added that sporadic volatility may limit market participation and dampen non-interest income growth, while rising oil prices may create room for writebacks. Breaking down his analysis for each lender, Guha said as DBS has historically relied on non-interest income during the low rate periods, sluggish and sporadic volatility may negatively impact market-linked revenues. Meanwhile, sluggish markets and widening spreads may negatively impact mark-to-market gains for OCBC' s insurance business and trading income. As for UOB, widening credit spreads and its exposure to small and medium-sized enterprises may pose asset quality risks and drag on capital ratios. |
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FATABA
Supreme |
17-Mar-2022 13:47
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True enough ....DBS has given up all its gain from this morning and gone negative.  STI is holding up mainly by UOB and OCBC now  that 25pts definately more then factor into STI 3300  Good luck DYODD
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FATABA
Supreme |
17-Mar-2022 10:49
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So rate hike is 25pts per all expectation .  Russia act on peace talk but at the very same time ...bombing Ukraine . ( bombs has no eyes )  Interest rate is a double edge sword ......cost and debt will rise too . Property sector will be affected . Dbs is flat , STI carried by UOB and OCBC so far.  Dyodd  
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FATABA
Supreme |
15-Mar-2022 12:59
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Spore banks are recovering on the HOPE of interest rate hike ....25 or .5  how much of this are alredy factor in ?  Will NPL rises w much higher inflation over shadow this rate hike ?  time will tell  Most worrying is this shit from China ( not voting against the war is one thing ) ....but " US warns EU that Russia wants Armed Drones fm China "   Is China helping Russia behind all these ??    how does this accurate securities infor can pinpoint to the type of request ?  Utimately this can become a WW3 if both side are not careful ....only to the suffering for mankind ( which has alrdy begin in Ukraine)  Dyodd |
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FATABA
Supreme |
11-Mar-2022 11:00
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Today our 3 banks are FLAT ....w regional index dropping HK -600 ( will it go below 20K / Japan -600+ , China -50 ....)  STI are holding due to the banks ....anticipation of the Fed interest hike nex week ( if 25 pts it is already factor in )  More so , how will Ukraine hold on for the weekend .....Will Russia stop after taking all Ukraine ?  or march on to its smaller neighbor .... So much more coming up .  Invest w caution  Dyodd |
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CheeryVGoh
Supreme |
10-Mar-2022 23:32
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Keep for div also good. 
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FATABA
Supreme |
10-Mar-2022 17:17
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Before the war ....anyone can shout $40 or even $50 for DBS ....NO reference to any time ?  Now when war breakout ....a total diff ball game w oil at $120 ....( again ppl can shout $150 or even $250 a barrel ...LOL )  That is why best to invest on the value and fundamental in my own personal view.  Anyway yield is showing good value BUT again this yield is not ganrantee ...dividend can be adjusted when the profit is not coming IN /adjustment by MAS was a good  example .  SO invest w care and caution   
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CheeryVGoh
Supreme |
10-Mar-2022 15:52
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United Overseas Bank Ltd (UOB SP)  shares gained  3.7% yesterday, after it was announced that PhillipCapital stays ' overweight'   on Singapore banks after rosy results. In a March 8 note, Thum is maintaining " accumulate" on DBS Group Holdings and United Overseas Bank (UOB) with target prices of $41.60 and $35.70 respectively. Improving economic conditions and rising interest rates remain tailwinds for the banking sector, adds Thum, who maintains " overweight" on the local banking sector. Thum adds: " We remain positive on banks. Bank dividend yields are attractive with upside surprise due to excess capital ratios. Improving economic conditions and rising interest rates remain tailwinds for the banking sector. Singapore Exchange (SGX) is another beneficiary of higher interest rates." | ||||
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CheeryVGoh
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10-Mar-2022 15:36
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Maybe analyst(s) had given a high TP for the banks..... since quite a big drop from Feb high.
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CheeryVGoh
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10-Mar-2022 14:19
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Wonder what is the outcome of the talk between them. The qty US importing from Russia can be deverted to Venezuela.  US is still produces moren thna 11 mil barrels a day but keeping the large strategic reserves , using cheap money they printed to import cheaply instead.   
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FATABA
Supreme |
10-Mar-2022 13:57
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Oil shld not be a concern to US , all they have to do is turn on Shale produciton again .. recall the last time they can even afford to export some  This round , EU wld be happy to buy from US ( a more reliable source) 
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CheeryVGoh
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10-Mar-2022 13:39
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March 8, 2022, 3:21 AM +08  /  Source:  Associated Press
By  Associated Press
MIAMI &mdash Senior U.S. officials secretly traveled to Venezuela over the weekend in a bid to unfreeze hostile relations with Vladimir Putin&rsquo s top ally in Latin America, a top oil exporter whose re-entry into U.S. energy markets could mitigate the fallout at the pump from a possible oil embargo on Russia. The outcome of the talks with President Nicolas Maduro&rsquo s government wasn&rsquo t immediately clear.  
The surprise visit came together after months of quiet backchannelling by intermediaries &mdash American lobbyists, Norwegian diplomats and international oil executives &mdash who have been pushing for Biden to revisit the failed &ldquo maximum pressure&rdquo campaign to unseat Maduro he inherited from the Trump administration.  
 
 
But the impetus for a risky outreach to Maduro &mdash who has been sanctioned and is indicted in New York on drug trafficking charges &mdash took on added urgency following Russia&rsquo s invasion of Ukraine and ensuing U.S. sanctions, which promises to reshuffle global alliances and add to rising gas prices driving inflation already at a four decade high. Powerful Democrats and Republicans alike on Capitol Hill last week began voicing support for a U.S. ban on Russian oil and natural gas imports as the next step to punish Putin over the invasion. The U.S. delegation was led by Juan Gonzalez, the National Security Council&rsquo s senior director for the Western Hemisphere, according to two individuals briefed on the visit on the condition of anonymity to discuss U.S. policy. He was accompanied by Ambassador James Story, the top U.S. diplomat in Caracas when the Trump administration broke off relations with Maduro in 2019 and recognized opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country&rsquo s legitimate president. |
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FATABA
Supreme |
10-Mar-2022 12:49
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The war is still ON ( just stop 24hrs for some people to escape ....but never know they managed or allowed)  Oil embargo still ON ,  global supply chain still in BIG issue . None of the saunctions are off / in fact more are added.  Yet the banks rally up ....hmm , yr reasoning is as good as mind . Dyodd |
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FATABA
Supreme |
09-Mar-2022 16:31
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Which means giving IN to Russia as a bully ......which also make Russia warning to other wishing to join Nato 
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CheeryVGoh
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09-Mar-2022 11:54
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https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/nod-russia-ukraine-says-no-longer-insisting-nato-membership-2549551
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Starship
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08-Mar-2022 18:56
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7h ago  10:55 AM Mar 08, 2022 US, UK on Russia' s list of ' unfriendly' countries, regions By CGTN The United States, Britain and European Union member states are on the list of countries and regions that are " unfriendly" to Russia, a Russian government statement showed on Monday. The list has been approved by the government, in the wake of severe economic sanctions over the Ukraine conflict. It also includes Japan, Canada, Norway, Singapore, South Korea, Switzerland and Ukraine. All corporate deals with companies and individuals from the " unfriendly countries and regions" will now have to be approved by a Russian government commission. |
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