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SembCorp Marine- The new Frontier.
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chart_expert123
Master |
18-Oct-2021 22:45
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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Buy keppel Corp for the merge deal, you are 100% secured with current price. Temasek truth love is with keppel Corp.
Buy sembmar, the day of announcement is the day you start cursing again after last right issue announcement. Wait and see loh.
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chart_expert123
Master |
18-Oct-2021 22:41
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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Keppel corp share price will be on the rise till merge.
Sembmarine share price will be stagnant till merge. Just wait and see loh.
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chart_expert123
Master |
18-Oct-2021 22:39
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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🤣 🤣 🤣 so much nonsense.
I already simplified the deal. You complicated for what. Repeat again. New entity will be formed. Keppel corp shareholders receive 50% shares of new entity plus 500mio cash. If keppel Corp generous enough, it will be one time special dividend. Sembmar shareholders receive 50% shares of new entity. The new entity will take Sembmar as a shell, wipe out existing shares and list in sgx. Listed price and total shares will be based on 30 STI components to decide the allocation. So won't be less than 1 dollars, estimate market cap around 6bil. Buy keppel Corp. Don't buy sembmar shares which will be wiped out soon for new entity.
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better
Elite |
18-Oct-2021 22:13
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So, once and for all (before chartexpert123 starts babbling nonsense again), below is from Keppel OM' s announcement: There are 3 components of the proposed merger: Concurrent with the MOU on the potential combination, Keppel has also signed a non-binding MOU with Kyanite Investment Holdings Pte Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary of Temasek, for Keppel O& M& rsquo s legacy rigs and associated receivables to be sold to a separate Asset Co that would be majority owned by external investors. The two proposed transactions will be inter-conditional and pursued concurrently. Further details on Asset Co will be provided in a separate SGXNET announcement issued by Keppel. Keppel has about S$3billion worth of completed or almost completed rigs sitting idle in its yard. Much capital tight up that Keppel can hardly breathe. So part of the merger term is for Temasek to work out an arrangement to take the rigs off their book via an Asset Co. Keppel and Sembcorp Marine will undertake mutual due diligence and discuss the terms of the potential combination, which is expected to take several months. If the potential combination is completed, it is envisaged that the Combined Entity will be a listed entity, and Sembcorp Marine& rsquo s shareholders will hold shares in the Combined Entity, while Keppel will receive shares in the Combined Entity and a cash consideration of up to S$500 million (or a cash component with the economic equivalent effect). Keppel is asking for up to S$500 million cash. Up to $500mil can mean $0 at the end. On Sembmarine' s part, they have strongly denied the existence of a S$500mil. cash consideration. In the above Keppel' s statement, it just said that KC will receive shares. In Chartexpert123' s mind, it is 50%. In my mind, it is 10% to 15% of total SCM shares. Under the MOU between Keppel and Sembcorp Marine, it is envisaged that Keppel and the Combined Entity will enter into a strategic partnership, pursuant to which Keppel will hold 50% of a 50-50 joint venture that will be established between Keppel and the Combined Entity (& ldquo  Strategic Partnership JV& rdquo ). This would allow Keppel to continue accessing Keppel O& M& rsquo s capabilities required for its projects, on terms to be agreed. The scope of the Strategic Partnership JV will be subject to final agreement between the parties concerned. In addition, subject to regulatory review, the Combined Entity will be the preferred EPC partner for Keppel& rsquo s projects where the Combined Entity has the relevant expertise. After SCM absorbed keppel OM,    SCM and KC will both chip in money to form a joint venture company. This is to prevent KC from undetaking any further offshore project on its own after they have sold off all their yards and IPs to SCM. Any final merger proposal tabled will be subjected to SCM shareholders' approval (ex Temasek as they are an interested party owning 20% of KC). And it is not likely to happen until SCM share price is above 20c for obvious reason. |
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 21:42
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Okay la dun say already la. I Just I Wish Everyone Make Your Own Decisions and I Wish All Each and Everyone Of All Of Us HUAT AH HUAT BIG BIG With Best Of Luck Everyone in Semb Marine Next Few Weeks 🙏 | ||||
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 21:34
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Kep Corp itself will relinquish the new entity. The new entity will belong to all shareholders. The 500 mill is due to Kep Corp superior order book in lieu to the shareholders the left hand chop off like Yul Bryner in the movie. Then combine entity assume the total order book and hopefully Chiong win 3 billion contracts more in black or green energy RU what have not. All I am saying is .. how is it possible with superior order book that share price drops lower? It may but it will be psychological short term scare tactic Just like REX International | ||||
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 21:17
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Now SMM order book is 1.7 bill if Share price 8c is reasonable bout there lower side after merger with Kep Corp and surely with 2-3 billion additional order book will be 5c ? | ||||
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chart_expert123
Master |
18-Oct-2021 21:16
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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It won't be 30cents. The new entity will be issued out with new shares and equally distributed to keppelcorp shareholders and sembmar shareholders.
The total share will be between 2-4bil or even lesser, listed price will be valued based on market capitalization. The combined entity will definitely be one of STI index components, so listed price will be above 1 dollars.
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 21:13
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Kep Corp order book 5 bill Semb marine present order book 1.7 bill plus 6 mth down the road include the R&U mandatory yearly order book about 8-9 bill share price is 5c with 30 billion shares is it Correct? Or share price 25-30c is correct for 9 billion order book and hopefully 8% profit margin provided Malaysian and Indian Bangladeshi skilled workers come back | ||||
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 21:05
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The ballpark terms were already laid out a few months ago .. I am rationalising those terms in the most simplistic form. No over thinking or fear mongering or over hyping just believing in simple terms. From 80c RI to 20c RI to 8c.. the End Game is will merge with Kep Corp then dunno already.. in simple terms when I say end game means after merger share price will be up i Forsight 30c with positive contract wins | ||||
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chart_expert123
Master |
18-Oct-2021 21:02
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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This is not prediction, this is condition. Once merge, the new entity has to pay keppel Corp 500mio extra cash in order to form a joint venture of 50-50%.
This 500mio is widely recognised by market which keppel o&m is superior than sembmar as a compensation to keppel Corp to discharge their subsidiary, or else, it has to be a 55% to 45%. The 500mio is from the new entity, if it is renamed as keppel o&m limited, the cash is from this entity. So there is not wrong for sembmar to answer the market that the rights is not to pay 500mio.
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better
Elite |
18-Oct-2021 20:33
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Are you predicting that SCM would pay KC $500mil flat for Keppel OM?
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 20:16
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Anger Management Manage the frustrations or Do Not Gamble | ||||
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 18:05
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Kep Corp order book 5 billion plus profit margins on fabrications about 7-10% about there cost payment 500 mill to Kep Corp then Carry on | ||||
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 18:02
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It is a Merger it means it absorbs another enterprise and the value add that comes with it | ||||
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chart_expert123
Master |
18-Oct-2021 17:27
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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Keppel corp up 6-7% without a drop.
Sembmar up 0.2cents drop 0.1cents. Keppel corp will be given free 50% shares with 500mio cash. Sembmar will be converted to 50% equivalent shares. More and more sembmar existing shareholders will choose to sell off sembmar shares and buy keppel Corp shares when they are convincing with the price rally of keppel Corp and price stagnant of sembmar. |
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naoshingo
Elite |
18-Oct-2021 17:23
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Where is SembMarineLong? 
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 17:10
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2 Weeks more then we shall compare notes everyone is correct and valid I subscribe to Occams Razor for logic someone else is over analytical all are Valuable opinions and valid opinions | ||||
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better
Elite |
18-Oct-2021 17:03
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ckmpd is not sneaky, just keep forgetting to take his medication...
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Chagatai
Veteran |
18-Oct-2021 16:58
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Whether you buy at 3c 8c or 20c .. SMM is NOT Going To Disappoint You. All the trade in the world is by Ships. The Oceans will not Dry Up for another 500 million years or so. | ||||
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