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SembCorp Marine- The new Frontier.
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mkaung2000
Veteran |
29-Jun-2021 11:47
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Why you guys can' t let go this one? Just let go. If not, will miss other opportunities. My one and half cent! |
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ICXGOLD
Master |
29-Jun-2021 11:43
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Keyword in Morgan Stanley press release = " May" Rule 14 requires any person aquiring more than 30% voting rights to make an offer. That threshold was already crossed at the last rights and covered using the whitewash agreement Rule 14 also states if parties acting in concert aggregate and hold between 30-50% of voting rights and since startree has 43% already this also was covered by the whitewash agreement last year.  And since the last rights was more than 6 months back the 1% increase in voting rights also does not apply. However following the rights all these 3 conditions are met and the offer becomes mandatory. As mentioned before. The unconditional cash offer is not generally based on NAV but based on premium over  The LTP,  average price over past 3 /6 months etc    So any offer from TH will be after the rights |
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Ervengers
Member |
29-Jun-2021 11:33
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Been following this thread for a while now and finally decided to sign up and give my 2 cents worth.  I was in the industry since early 2010s, back then traded SMM at $4-$5 when O& G is the pillar of SG economy, together with Kep + many other smaller players (Ezra, Ezion, Viking, Swiber, technics) which many of these were history now. Singapore has been positioned as an O& G hub in the global arena since eons back and we created this &ldquo competitive advantage&rdquo for ourselves hence it make sense for our govt to protect this industry dearly.  By protecting, it also means slowdown green adoption such as EVs, Solar that has gain so much traction in the last 3 years. Well by kicking the can down the road, this only means O& G is just moving between normal ward to HDU and finally to ICU. Take a step back now and look at the broader picture from SGX history perspective, many valued companies have been delisting (high profile ones like F& N, Kepland, UE to Cityneno just to name a few). Whether they are done at an appropriate fair value, I leave that to the floor to judge. If you look at the performance of GLCs (Singtel, SPH, SIA, ST engineering with the exception of DBS) has been lacklustre comparative to benchmark or peers (particularly US). It makes me ponder why are we continuously supporting these pilot in C suit CEOs who just not &ldquo rock the boat&rdquo .. My final take, SMM maybe/will be going down as one of the rug pull by Temasek. Using it as a dumping ground to salvage whatever value that&rsquo s left with SCI & KEP, well 1 going down is better than all 3 going down right? Eventually, minority shareholders like us bore the brunt. When we talk about ESG and governance in Singapore. Think thrice again.. Vested, Sub in last round of issuance. Gave up on SG market since 2014 S-chip (china) Scandal, ALB saga 2013..   < Reposting>   |
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bystander1965
Supreme |
29-Jun-2021 11:23
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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TH is a business entity not charity. Whatever decision they make is to benefit itself and its shareholders, not shareholders of other entities. So don't bank on it rescuing your position. If they happen to help you it is purely coincidental. Always dyodd and decide for yourselves. Same goes with all those analysts report, all have their own agenda. | ||||
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boyboy61
Supreme |
29-Jun-2021 11:17
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asking you to sell so that they can buy....................
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ICXGOLD
Master |
29-Jun-2021 11:16
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This is what SGX SMARTKARMA has to say about the outlook for SCM as on 25th June " We expect Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) shares to open lower and possibly trade lower in the near-term. The stock trades at high valuations and shareholders looking at the longer term price charts have a right to be wary." With regards to DBS they have nothing to lose as they have agreed to underwrite 33% IF its undersubcribed. In which case TH will already be making a Mandatory offer. DBS in fact would have acquired the shares at 0.08 and any Mandatory offer would land it with a profit of few hundred million if they dont manage to place those shares with institutional investors overseas, as opposed to a loss. Investments banks don' t make decisions, knowing they will lose money.   |
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bystander1965
Supreme |
29-Jun-2021 11:11
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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Where is that 50% requirement coming from? TH holds 42%, and if they increase it by another % in 6 months period which it would due to rights, it has to make an obligatory TO. It does not mean mandatory TO. SH minus TH can decide to accept or not.
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piscesmonkey
Supreme |
29-Jun-2021 11:09
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Analysts bearish on Sembcorp Marine following merger and rights issue announcementhttp://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-bearish-sembcorp-marine-following-merger-and-rights-issue |
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ICXGOLD
Master |
29-Jun-2021 11:03
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For TH to make any mandatory offer they need to subcribe for atleast 58+% of the new rights. They have agreed to subcribe upto 67% however, whether they cross the 50% Mandatory offer threshold solely depends on the level of subcription of existing small shareholders. So its premature to bet on a privatisation or Mandatory offer before the rights exercise.  Its also interesting to note investors are counting chickens before the eggs hatch, by estimating TH will put in an offer around 0.15 - 0.16. As far as the mandatory offer is concerned it will be made based on the price its trading at the time. For example if most small shareholders don' t subcribe and overall its undersubscribed then TH will reach the required threshold in which case the price will be trading around the rights price. And the offer could sound amazing at the time it they said " consideing the company is loss making but seeing a potential for the future, we make a Mandatory offer to acquire all shares in the company at a premium of 20-40% based on its LTP of 0.08" which at the time for those that subcribed to the rights will be a good deal but TH are under no requirement to bid close to NAV. They are in the  business of making money, so please don' t bet entirely on getting a fortune from them. They news yesterday was just to try and give a reminder they IF they cross 50%, which they MAY or MAY NOT, They will follow the rules at the time. And give some hope to investors to halt the falling knife. |
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Yatsa13
Veteran |
29-Jun-2021 10:54
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traderben,  anyway i am prepared.  vested dyodd
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Yatsa13
Veteran |
29-Jun-2021 10:51
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if i have not painstaking go thru all the comments, i won' t buy at 13c. no way it was because my stake in kc, heard there was announcement yeaterday by temasek, then i try to understand what it going on. if temasek has not made the announcement, agreed with what you said, don' t even touch. lobster, is not saying there won' t be issue but this rights issue is definitely going over to the other side. with the money raise, smm can stay in the fight.  vested 13c and plus my free jv shares.  will go for the rights  if i got my sum correct, my ave is 6c. 
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weekaykee
Master |
29-Jun-2021 10:29
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There is a possibility TH will not need to launch any mandatory takeover offer since the rights could be not only fully but grossly oversubsribed. Just look at the  number here who have expressed their strategy of selling everything now, holding only a small amount and then applying for excess rights. 
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zillion
Master |
29-Jun-2021 10:29
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Most times it takes 3 days to lighten institution funds position. Can see stability now. Only now research interviews will say gone case la. First day on moneyfm radio Terence of Philip Cap kept stammering when asked of the merger. | ||||
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ahbui8
Master |
29-Jun-2021 10:27
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Don' t think is supporting, mostly if all selling at 0.13 is going to lose big time, I believe now is belong to BBs playground liao, see fresh fund come in to buy or short. haizzz for me side line with huge paper loss , still figuring what is my next move
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Trader1987
Veteran |
29-Jun-2021 10:26
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DON TOUCH. $0.08 also not sure if anybody wan, don talk about $0.15
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dcproperty
Senior |
29-Jun-2021 10:25
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Great! Please go and short SCM all the way to $0.04. Prove youself a much better investor than DBS. From now $0.13 to $0.04, you can potentially make 225%. Maybe you will be much better than Warren Buffett
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weekaykee
Master |
29-Jun-2021 10:23
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Question is how much will be the low ball takeover offer. Even at 15 cts, many could be laughing to the bank, if they subscribe to the rights. As some have said, those who got their free shares from SCI or bought SCM below 20 cts are still very much in the game and could come out winners once the dust settles. Only thing that has changed is that more long term investors would now be forced to become short term traders. 
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TraderBen
Supreme |
29-Jun-2021 10:07
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TBH.. its ur money and its up to you to decide. I have posted i have cut loss and got out of this mess. From my perspective, i see that T is trying to forced SMM SH to pay off its debts and then make a low ball offer to take it private.. still DYODD
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uiop1223
Supreme |
29-Jun-2021 10:06
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Burn all ?long term? shareholders 😂 😂 😂
Dont know when to cut loss and still living in 1970s when oil is gold. The world is going green. |
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rlong8288
Master |
29-Jun-2021 09:59
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  Someone is supporting at .13 since yesterday DYODD  | ||||
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