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uiop1223 Supreme	18-May-2020 10:59        uiop1223 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Shorted 20k shares already. Good enough. Got other stocks to short also stanleytay      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:19) Posted: If you think 3.7 wont hold, then just short it after it breaks 3.7. uiop1223      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:15) Posted: $3.7 is a support for May. Im not so sure for June.
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john_ric Supreme	18-May-2020 10:58        john_ric About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	40 yrs ago sia was a gem. now the same cannot be said. by the same token 40 yrs ago sgp  was a gem. the same cannot be said now. change is constant.
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newbieliu Elite	18-May-2020 10:58        newbieliu About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	I think buy and keep within ur mean. BB will not let us take advantage so easily.  We have expected Q2 to be poor result and it is already taken into consideration. Hence if oil price continues to rise,the damage is continued to be reduced? For now, I believe they have might have hedged again when the oil price became zero last month LOL.  Eddyson      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:53) Posted: I remember when I first joint SIA some 40 yrs ago, I was given the right to buy its share at $6 per share & given a 1 to 1 bonus.Looks like the same offer is given as of today, but things are different now, there is this bugget airline as competitors, fuel hedging  & covid 19. Will it be privatise again ? Very tempting to buy in 3 days time.
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investshare Supreme	18-May-2020 10:58        investshare About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	The ultimate support is $3.00.
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AhLiang Elite	18-May-2020 10:57        AhLiang About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	CIMB should buy now. The mother share is only $3.78. Buy Rights to subscribe is even cheaper. danger      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:43) Posted: Our BVPS forecast for end-FY21F is S$5.89, after deducting the widened loss forecasts and the MTM losses for SIA&rsquo s out-of-the-money fuel hedges but after including the new equity rights issue (S$5.3bn) and the issue of Mandatory Convertible Bonds (MCB, S$3.5bn), which the accounting standards treat as equity. However, for the purposes of deriving our target price, we have assumed that half of the MCBs is akin to debt as we believe SIA will endeavour to redeem at least some before its 10-year maturity, resulting in a lower BVPS of S$5.30.     Applying a target P/BV multiple of 0.84x on our revised BVPS of S$5.30 results in a price target of S$4.45 AhLiang      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:40) Posted: They should predict TP when all the new shares ome into trading instead
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confused Member	18-May-2020 10:57        confused About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	i' m still very confused over these rights.   please expalin again in layman terms.   much appreciated.   if the person doesn' t renounced (sell) their rights (SIA R and MCB R) between 13-21 May, what will happen when it lapse?   thanks.
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danger Supreme	18-May-2020 10:56        danger About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	If temasek going to scoop up the rest of the rights , then if next few days maintain about this price .. Could be short squeeze soon ?
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michaeltan Master	18-May-2020 10:55        michaeltan About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Fundamental   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Theoretically  ex-rihgts price is $4.40 per share. This is derived from 25/3/2020 prior of right issue announcement SGX-ST was traded at S$6.50. In fact the price of the rights shares represent a discount of approximately  53.8 per cent. The share price is currently trading at further discounts approximate at 14% of which represent total discount 67.8% is a good buy for blue chip stocks.    danger      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:22) Posted: CRUDE OIL HAD SURGED TO $30.61 NOW
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Eddyson Senior	18-May-2020 10:53        Eddyson About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	I remember when I first joint SIA some 40 yrs ago, I was given the right to buy its share at $6 per share & given a 1 to 1 bonus.Looks like the same offer is given as of today, but things are different now, there is this bugget airline as competitors, fuel hedging  & covid 19. Will it be privatise again ? Very tempting to buy in 3 days time.
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danger Supreme	18-May-2020 10:43        danger About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Our BVPS forecast for end-FY21F is S$5.89, after deducting the widened loss forecasts and the MTM losses for SIA&rsquo s out-of-the-money fuel hedges but after including the new equity rights issue (S$5.3bn) and the issue of Mandatory Convertible Bonds (MCB, S$3.5bn), which the accounting standards treat as equity. However, for the purposes of deriving our target price, we have assumed that half of the MCBs is akin to debt as we believe SIA will endeavour to redeem at least some before its 10-year maturity, resulting in a lower BVPS of S$5.30.     Applying a target P/BV multiple of 0.84x on our revised BVPS of S$5.30 results in a price target of S$4.45 AhLiang      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:40) Posted: They should predict TP when all the new shares ome into trading instead. danger      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:20) Posted: Was it Last friday CIMB raised target to $4.50 after all these rights and MCB and fuel hedge loss factored in?
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AhLiang Elite	18-May-2020 10:40        AhLiang About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	They should predict TP when all the new shares ome into trading instead. danger      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:20) Posted: Was it Last friday CIMB raised target to $4.50 after all these rights and MCB and fuel hedge loss factored in?
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danger Supreme	18-May-2020 10:37        danger About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Back in March when SIA proposed the fundraising, the theoretical ex-rights price (TERP) was $4.40 per share - assuming the completion of the rights issue at that time and calculated based on the last transacted price of the shares of $6.50 on March 25, 2020, which was the last trading day prior to the announcement. The TERP is now $4.164, calculated based on the stock' s closing price on Tuesday of $5.91. danger      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:20) Posted: Was it Last friday CIMB raised target to $4.50 after all these rights and MCB and fuel hedge loss factored in?
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danger Supreme	18-May-2020 10:22        danger About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	CRUDE OIL HAD SURGED TO $30.61 NOW
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danger Supreme	18-May-2020 10:20        danger About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood:
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Was it Last friday CIMB raised target to $4.50 after all these rights and MCB and fuel hedge loss factored in?
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AhLiang Elite	18-May-2020 10:19        AhLiang About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	I have predicted a big drop on 21/5 last week. And I predicted that MCB R will have no buyers on that day. Just my prediction. It is good that my prediction is realised early so the less people will be caught buying the MCB R at 0.002 but lose 100% on 21/5. stanleytay      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:10) Posted: Based on? Just becos now the price is down now? 3.7 still a big support. Dont say so early AhLiang      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:05) Posted: My point is investors including the big funds are not betting on the future prices of SIA shares. Not even punting it before the rights' expiry.
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stanleytay Master	18-May-2020 10:19        stanleytay About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	If you think 3.7 wont hold, then just short it after it breaks 3.7. uiop1223      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:15) Posted: $3.7 is a support for May. Im not so sure for June.. stanleytay      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:10) Posted: Based on? Just becos now the price is down now? 3.7 still a big support. Dont say so earl
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uiop1223 Supreme	18-May-2020 10:15        uiop1223 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	$3.7 is a support for May. Im not so sure for June.. stanleytay      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:10) Posted: Based on? Just becos now the price is down now? 3.7 still a big support. Dont say so early AhLiang      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:05) Posted: My point is investors including the big funds are not betting on the future prices of SIA shares. Not even punting it before the rights' expiry.
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newbieliu Elite	18-May-2020 10:14        newbieliu About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Interesting that today SIA does not have that much volume as last week yet... but the right shares is being pushed down. Smart bb to collect right shares instead.
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nngeeh Veteran	18-May-2020 10:10        nngeeh About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	After 10yrs, the principle + culmulative interest will be $1,806.11. So, it' s supposed to be $1806/ 4.84. So, if you include the div, the technical conversion is $2.67 but it' ll only be converted after 10yrs. Do take note that SIA has the rights to redeem the bond anytime ... so, if the SIA share price is $6, there is a possibility that SIA will chooose to redeem and give you the culmulative interest instead of converting at the technical conversion of $2.67. The MCB will most likely be traded like a bond ... maybe 0.995/1.0 or 1.0/1.01   lighter87      ( Date: 18-May-2020 09:39) Posted: it is not $1 change to $4.84. its your capital divided by 4.84. if you invest $1000, end of 10 years, they will divide the $1000 by 4.84. If SIA share is trading below that price, you will lose big time after 10 years westpoison      ( Date: 18-May-2020 09:37) Posted: why 4.7? The exchange rate is 4.84 after 10 years right?
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stanleytay Master	18-May-2020 10:10        stanleytay About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Based on? Just becos now the price is down now? 3.7 still a big support. Dont say so early AhLiang      ( Date: 18-May-2020 10:05) Posted: My point is investors including the big funds are not betting on the future prices of SIA shares. Not even punting it before the rights' expiry. stanleytay      ( Date: 18-May-2020 09:59) Posted: So whats your point? Stock price can move up and down mah. Now below 4.8, what do u expect the MCB R? You expect the MCB R to be up but the mother share is below 4.8?
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