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SIA
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SIA
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newbieliu
Elite |
15-May-2020 12:25
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Think it is safer to buy at 0.001 instead of shorting at 0.002 personally as the risk it goes up is higher than it will come down lol. As one is likely end up covering at the same price if not higher price since many absorbing at 0.002 /0.001?
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NT1825
Master |
15-May-2020 12:24
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Finally get good support at 3.84. A big relief.  | ||||
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newbieliu
Elite |
15-May-2020 12:21
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ehhh..... I thought the right shares (0.76 now) will only expire on 28 May ? If you dont intend to buy the mother shares by paying additional $3. u should sell it at a comfortable price now or pay $3 for every 1 share you own . else u will lose that $0.76 for every share you possess. after 28 May. Please verify with the source
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gregtan123
Supreme |
15-May-2020 12:16
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100 million sell queue at 0.002, shorts scared what? I think they short now. they all next thursday pick up at 0.001 because all will throw.
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limcs84
Member |
15-May-2020 12:14
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Dont think SIA will issue further Rights liao. The money they receive from Public will last till Dec 2020. By the end of this year, flights will resume and flourish. But dont expect the flight tickets to be cheap as there will be addtional cost invovlved for SIA to screen for Covid-19. 
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newbieliu
Elite |
15-May-2020 12:14
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It is too risky to short at 0.002.... is ur broker bluffing u lol. 0.001 different yet the margin of profit and loss is too gigantic to swallow later either way it goes... esp it will go upward | ||||
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gregtan123
Supreme |
15-May-2020 12:13
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No I mean MCB R, I heard from my broker there were many shorts uncovered, they all shorted 0.002. So my question is say on 21 MAY, what if the shorts have not covered?
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uiop1223
Supreme |
15-May-2020 12:09
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Typo: Mat is meant to type as ?May? | ||||
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uiop1223
Supreme |
15-May-2020 12:08
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Yea.. my guess is per mth burn 300-400m
Money shld last till end of this year but SIA already said the additional MCB will be issued if they need more cash. They know that further direct rights issue will be damaging. How to explain to public when u issue $3 rights in Mat than sometime in Oct, issue rights at $1.5? 😂 😂 😂 Currently, SIA is in a net debt position. Beware.
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nngeeh
Veteran |
15-May-2020 12:06
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u mean someone shorted the MCB to below $1? Well, it' s like any other shares .... it might go down (even if it' s traded like bond). Either you cut lost, u will keep for 10Yrs ... and hope SIA redeem halfway and pay you the interest, or wait for it to be converted to SIA shares at technical price of $2.67. Then, you will have to do the maths ... and look at the mother price then and MCB ... will it be more worth to just sell MCB straight to the market or just wait for it to be converted. Nowadays, even bond can disappear ....it' s not considered secure anymore.
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gregtan123
Supreme |
15-May-2020 12:00
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But this assumes you have to pay 1 dollar to convert right. say you have 29,500 MCB R, you got to pay 29,500SGD? Am more curious, what happens if people short sell the MCB then when it ends, they. never cover?
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nngeeh
Veteran |
15-May-2020 12:00
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For Option B, it should be $2.67. Because of the culmulative interest, your $1 will grow to around $1.8 (if i' m not wrong), and then be converted at $4.84 ... so ... technically it' s  $2.67. If pandamic continue to discrup the airline industry  more than  2 yrs ... the current rights of 8.8B will not be sufficient. If another rights is required ... it will go below  $2.67. I won' t want to wait for 10yrs.... but again,  since the MCB is tradable, you can always sell it to the market.   
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nngeeh
Veteran |
15-May-2020 11:55
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The MCB rights is trading at $0.001/ $0.002. However, when MCB start trading, it should be around $1.00/$1.01 or $0.995/$1.000. If you buy at $0.001, u might be able to sell at $1.01 ...... it should be traded like bond. If you have 2950 MBC rights, u will only get back $2.95 (if u sell at $0.001). However, u' ll be charged commission of $25. It' s not worth it. Either you subscribe or you let it lapse..
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nngeeh
Veteran |
15-May-2020 11:49
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Yes, it will stop trading in 4days time. If you don' t intend to subscribe, you will need to sell it. After that, there will only be 2 counters  -SIA and MCB. Depends ... if you sell now, u will definitely get back $0.755. However, if u subscribe, you will not be able trade in the around 16 days .... if SIA goes up, u earn more ... but if it drops like going back to the bottom at 3.70, u will get less. It' s a gamble then.
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look@bright
Elite |
15-May-2020 11:47
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Its seems like price stablishing around $3.80 range.  | ||||
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westpoison
Veteran |
15-May-2020 11:47
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You can also try to buy more at 0.001. Then load up with your 2950 units and sell it off together.. 
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lingua101
Veteran |
15-May-2020 11:44
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sorry the MCB rights is actually trading at 0.1cents (not 1 cents) so is it really worth to sell off my 2950 MBC rigthts?    it will only worth not even $3 right? minus the brokerage fee.    should i just let it lapse?  
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limcs84
Member |
15-May-2020 11:41
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well said and understood. In other words,  it is better to wait till the Rights converted first before trading. Am i right to say that SIA Right trading $0.755 counter will disappear after 21 May 2020? And after that, there will only be one main counter (SIA) $3.83 ? Correct?
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actan99
Master |
15-May-2020 11:39
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https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/bidders-are-lining-up-to-buy-virgin-australia-after-collapse | ||||
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westpoison
Veteran |
15-May-2020 11:37
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So MCB to most is just a bond that earn up to 6% interest. Option A: If Share price increase sharply, SIA will redeem earlier, so it will be between 4-6%.  Option B: If share price dropped, then the sucker will have to force convert at the price of $4.84.  but that is in 10 years time and covid will be a history of the past so I think option A is more likely. Alot of hedge funds may buy it?
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