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DBS
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DBS
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Immortal
Master |
25-Aug-2016 14:09
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Hope after Jackson Hole meeting, DBS chiong up to 16 and beyond |
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willisow
Master |
25-Aug-2016 13:04
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Hi guys, I have recommended a hk casino stock named Galaxy Entertainment, stock code 0027 about a week ago..just announced 1H result, operating profit growth quicken to 13% as compared to Q1 of 6% growth. As such it' s valuation is raised from hkd28.15 to hkd30. Current price is hkd25.40 and represent a 18% arbitrage profit. This company is definitely worth considering. Thank you. |
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Qanghoo
Supreme |
25-Aug-2016 08:56
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Begs the qn do so called analysts really know ..... or are people deliberately splurging the negatives out of self interests .....  
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WanSiTong
Supreme |
25-Aug-2016 07:55
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Singapore' s top 100 brands grow in value to $ 56 billion DBS most valuable brand again ..... For the first time in an annual brand value report, banks occupied the top three rankings, with DBS, OCBC and UOB increasing in combined value. The results were collated by taking into account a company' s brand strength, business performance and external factors such as currency conversion. For the first time, banks occupied the top three rankings, with DBS, OCBC and UOB increasing by over US $ 1.76 billion in combined brand value, said Brand Finance Asia Pacific, which compiles the annual ranking. Brand Finance Asia Pacific is the regional arm of Brand Finance, an independent, London-based brand strategy, valuation and marketing consultancy. The three banks' growth is in line with the general upward trend of financial brands globally. DBS, which was named the most valuable brand for the fourth consecutive year, also became the first local firm to achieve over US $ 5 billion in value. It also increased the brand value gap between itself and runner-up OCBC by US $ 2 billion. Ms Karen Ngui, DBS ' head of group strategic marketing and communications, said the award was a testament to the bank' s efforts at reimagining banking. " What' s more, with the digital revolution, we have also been more disruptivein the manner in which we have entrenched the brand, " she said. 年 度 新 加 坡 100大 品 牌 三 银 行 首 次 包 办 前 三 甲 " 2016年 新 加 坡 100大 品 牌 " 调 查 结 果 出 炉 , 本 地 三 家 银 行 首 次 包 办 前 三 甲 , 显 示 金 融 服 务 业 在 本 区 域 的 重 要 性 。 然 而 , 有 鉴 于 未 来 三 到 五 年 的 营 收 可 能 减 少 , 许 多 公 司 的 品 牌 价 值 都 缩 水 。 这 是 英 国 顾 问 公 司 Brand Finance第 九 年 对 本 地 企 业 与 品 牌 进 行 的 一 项 调 查 , 主 要 根 据 品 牌 投 资 、 品 牌 表 现 、 品 牌 忠 诚 度 、 品 牌 未 来 五 年 营 收 预 测 等 方 面 , 计 算 出 公 司 的 品 牌 价 值 。 星 展 银 行 ( DBS) 今 年 蝉 联 第 一 , 品 牌 价 值 从 44亿 1600万 美 元 ( 约 59亿 6200万 新 元 ) 增 至 53亿 1400万 美 元 , 华 侨 银 行 ( OCBC) 从 第 四 升 到 第 二 , 大 华 银 行 ( UOB) 从 第 五 升 至 第 三 。   |
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FATABA
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 16:43
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Banks are depress for sometime ( need no brainer) and the oil gas issue addon to their depress prices. Rate hike or not....I guess it is beginning to factor in . Lets hope the run up is not short. :))
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Qanghoo
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 16:13
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Wah, today big chiong.  Likely window dressing.  Next wk maybe all undressed again. |
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pinkowl
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 15:35
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To correct...." Nowadays i' m with man (singular)....so I dun make him (singular) carry. A bit sissy?" .   Gosh, i almost sounded like a playgirl. LOL. 
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pinkowl
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 15:33
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Not sure about why women are obsessed with Chanel, coz I dun. Maybe I' m not a woman. Heh. I prefer functional bags that are not so heavy...leather very heavy you know? =P  My ex-BOYs used to carry my heavy leather bags too. Those were the days. Nowadays i' m with men....so I dun make them. A bit sissy?  Yes, all the best for DBS. The nagging voice still in my head....trying to filter them out.  Unfortunately or fortunately, I only had the chance to load DBS once coz it didn' t go down further. Well well well....  
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willisow
Master |
24-Aug-2016 15:27
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Hi Immortal, good to have u as a click for supporting the stray dogs n cats :) however if DBS doesn' t hit sgd20 don' t throw rotten egg at me :p just kidding...it will hit, not becos I think so becos the statistic proved so :) just need to be patience..like u guys say " huat ah" :) good day..
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sun233
Elite |
24-Aug-2016 15:13
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What is this obsession with Chanel bags?   Lately i have been noticing men carrying their girlfriends bags. So hilarious. I always have a good laugh. Must be a K pop thing. Congrats for holding DBS. Let' s hope Yellen increases rates. DBS is the biggest home loan provider in Singapore. 
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pinkowl
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 14:43
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Oooo.....interesting. Can totally visualise that moment. LOL.
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Immortal
Master |
24-Aug-2016 14:37
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Looks like we both likes dogs and am supportive of organizations that help stray dogs/cats. Good. $20 looks good if it can get there. Alot of converging is happening soon and once Jackson Hole is over, we will know for sure if the converging will produce a longer term bull run or not.
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willisow
Master |
24-Aug-2016 14:23
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Haha...I usually write when I' m in the toilet doing my business (sorry for being disgusting, hope u have digest your lunch :p ) hence very difficult to concentrate. Will try to write more presentable in the future :) thank you..
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pinkowl
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 14:14
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You sure know your fundamental analysis well. Glad to have you here in SJ. And great reminders to focus our time on family and friends. Sometimes, we get so carried away with money-making that we tend to put the more important things aside.  I have one request though....i love to read what you write. It' ll be great if you can break them into paras because I do face some difficulty reading a thick para. :) Pai sei.
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willisow
Master |
24-Aug-2016 12:49
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Hi pinkowl, glad to hear from u again :) I' m just an ordinary person sharing some of my experience, you should thanks yourself for chosen a good investment target. It is important to maintain a neutral n calm mindset in investment, not to be too upset when prices are depressed n not over excited when it rise (bad for our heart). Spend your time meaningfully with your parent, spouse or friends, it is more important to listen to what they say than yellen of the u.s fed say bcos there are companies that do not hold debt, whether a rise or fall in interest rate have little or no impact to their fundamentals. Thus it is more important to focus on the fundamentals of a company than macro factors. Going forward just be patience it take time for a seed to grow n it will not show any changes from second to minutes. I' m confident that DBS price will hit at least sgd20 n it will go even higher than that but I can' t tell u when it is going to happen. Some may query y m I so sure that it will happen n I' m would like to share with everybody the relative method in valuation using the pe method. U can download from Internet the last 10 years DBS operating profit, divide the last ten years year end closing price with each operating profit n u will get a pe for the last ten years. Arrange these pe from small to big n take the median pe (sum up year 5 n 6 divide by 2) n multiply by the current operating profit of DBS n u will get the valuation, those who study statistic before will know what I' m talking about. this going forward if DBS operating profit remain stable we will definitely get the current valuation. Those who have no statistic back ground I shall explain a little bit more. A single year pe does not tell us anything about the valuation. When we look at the last ten years pe it represent the probability of prices moving in line with its operating profit n taking the median pe eliminate extreme mkt condition like bull n bear run n it represent the highest probability to happen again going forward. This is a very simple n practical method however it only can be used on companies that have stable operating profit record. Small companies will be very risky to use such method. Of cos the safest way is to use the cashflow n balance sheet method but that' s much more complicated n I can' t explain by just writing..u need to attend classes that :) many value investor are not willing to share the technicality of the calculation but I' m willing to do so. Just donate a fraction of your profit to the charity organization that help the stray dog n cats n they will be very grateful to us. We have 5million ppl, n if everyone just donate $1 a year it will be a significant amount to help them. I' m stingy to human but I' m very generous to dogs :) haha..
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pinkowl
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 11:11
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Thanks for sharing. Once again, very useful info. Nice ending too. Lol. And I think if she had heeded your advice and recommendation, she may be able to buy more than cosmetic, maybe a chanel bag.
I'll also have to thank you for your advice and analysis during the weekend. Otherwise, I might have listened to the nagging voice in my head and sold dbs prematurely.
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FATABA
Supreme |
24-Aug-2016 11:07
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Moral of the story : Potatoes and cosmetic dont mix.
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willisow
Master |
24-Aug-2016 11:00
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Subject: Miser Difficult To Find Girlfriend Few days back I spoke about company with strong branding n inelastic demand enjoy high gross profit margin..however if all the players enjoy the same gpm Which one should we pick then? The next selection criteria will be operating profit margin (OPM) which measure the operating efficiency or some say the management quality in controlling it' s expenses. Those who like to read Financial report as bed time story (I' m one of them), after reading couple hundred of it will find similarity between good n not so good companies. Good companies tend to be very conscious of its operating expenses (stingy potatoe) n as a result they maintain high OPM n those companies that are really good will maintain high OPM consistently year after year. Many state owned enterprise of the prc are huge but no muscle becos their OPM are low. No mention of name I have a friend who work in a prc state owned enterprise sg office, his boss will use company fund to buy the staff abalone lunch every month n his male colleagues are obliged to go ktv with the boss every fri, this is a MUST...reason being is the communist apportion yearly budget to every state own enterprise for spending n if u don' t spend away the money your budget will be cut in the following year, of cos the intention of the communist government is not to ask them go eat abalone n ktv. I have stressed the important of operating profit n let me quote an xample. Assuming both companies clock $1 gross profit, company A OPM is 90% n B is 10%, when recession set in a 10% reduction in gross profit will wipe out company B operating profit wherelse company A operating profit only drop slightly more than 10%. This is important in valuation becos when we multiply pe with earning to estimate the valuation, a drastic fall in operating profit will have it' s valuation plunge. Thus u will realize weak companies tend to have their share price fluctuate vigorously n strong company tend to be more stable. I live in one of the prc city (I' m a sporean) for past 7 years n every 3 months I go to hk for the purpose of exiting my visa, once a prc gal asked me to buy her some cosmetic as gift. Being a strong believer of high OPM I told her " money is earned to invest n not for spending, however I can give u some stock recommendation n if u make money u can then buy the cosmetic yourself" . Thereafter she never contact me anymore, tough life :( |
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Immortal
Master |
24-Aug-2016 10:32
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I have no TP. I just see the price and trend and if trend change, sell. For now, I see the trend is converging slowly to longer term bullish but definitely short term it is already bullish.
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willisow
Master |
24-Aug-2016 10:29
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Democratic society will always respect democratic view :) 
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