ShareJunction - Member Posts

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In the times of uncertainties , North Korea Crisis, World Markets at its Peaks poised for a big Crash soon, would you :

Hold papers (buy stocks) or hold Cash (book profits) now ?

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 09:58) Posted:

North Korea media directly threatens China with "grave" consequences over nuclear standoff

For 1st time, North Korea directly threatens vital ally China

Analysis Conclusion : North Korea will conduct 6th Nuclear Bomb Test very very soon. Anytime.

World Markets will get jittery and maybe a Big Crash.

Update :
Shangai SSE is Down
HK HSI is Down
Taiwan TSEC is Down
Australia ASX is down 3 consecutive days in row.
Canada Down almost -1 % yesterday.
Brazil Down almost - 2% yesterday.
Turkey down almost - 1% yesterday.
Mexico down almosr - 1% yesterday.

These are signs of funds exiting and a Big One (MARKETS CRASH ~ a lot of youngsters have not seen and experienced what is called A Market Crash )

Markets Rally and Rally becoming Scary and Scary.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 09:34) Posted:

North Korea 6th Nuclear Test anytime soon
World Markets Crash also anytime soon

North Korea 6th Nuclear Test the impact and effect is worse and more serious than the Iraq Wars.

It involves Asia. Trade lanes and big manufacturing bases. It will affect South Korea China Japan Russia South East Asia....maybe the Whole World.

Think twice. Is this the right time to enter the markets to hold the shares?
■ HK HSI is Down. Exiting.

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Very soon, you will have Grexit Crisis also.

The Greeks are suffering even with previous bailouts .

They may do a Brexit.

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Wait till North Korea tested its 6th Nuclear Bomb (anytime soon) then world markets will know what is called CRISIS.

Will be much worse than Iraq Wars.

North Korea in the centre of Economic Activities (China South Korea Japan)

TMW1986 ( Date: 05-May-2017 10:17) Posted:

You don't need keep repeating your story. When it comes everyone will know. Now everyone still very greedy and hoping share price go up more. Let them be. Warren buffet already sell iMB shares at one of the highest price. He knows when to exit when the share price reach the target price.

Actually there are still some undervalue stocks but there are more overvalue stocks. So when the market came down, the fall will be big one. You don't need to keep warning these people because it won't have any use. They won't listen also. Lol. Just trade what u wan to trade. For now I can say it is still bullish. Still waiting for a perfect timing for a good crash. Indeed there are some signals but no one care. Same for oil price, inventory so high previously and there are more build then drawn but those oil traders keep pushing up above 50. And finally they realise it oil price fall to $46 again.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 09:58) Posted:

North Korea media directly threatens China with "grave" consequences over nuclear standoff

For 1st time, North Korea directly threatens vital ally China

Analysis Conclusion : North Korea will conduct 6th Nuclear Bomb Test very very soon. Anytime.

World Markets will get jittery and maybe a Big Crash.

Update :
Shangai SSE is Down
HK HSI is Down
Taiwan TSEC is Down
Australia ASX is down 3 consecutive days in row.
Canada Down almost -1 % yesterday.
Brazil Down almost - 2% yesterday.
Turkey down almost - 1% yesterday.
Mexico down almosr - 1% yesterday.

These are signs of funds exiting and a Big One (MARKETS CRASH ~ a lot of youngsters have not seen and experienced what is called A Market Crash )

Markets Rally and Rally becoming Scary and Scary

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Very puzzling and funny the way our STI is calculated.

Other Index stocks down - 0.5% mostly.

And STI only down - 0.15% ?

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 10:13) Posted:

CityDev is down - 1.29%
Capitaland is down - 1.1%
Genting is down - 0.92%
Golden Agr is down - 1.37%
JMD is down - 1.14 %
Sats is down - 1.36%
UOL is down - 0.99%

Yet STI is down only - 5 pts ??

Less than - 0.15% ??

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CityDev is down - 1.29%
Capitaland is down - 1.1%
Genting is down - 0.92%
Golden Agr is down - 1.37%
JMD is down - 1.14 %
Sats is down - 1.36%
UOL is down - 0.99%

Yet STI is down only - 5 pts ??

Less than - 0.15% ??

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North Korea media directly threatens China with "grave" consequences over nuclear standoff

For 1st time, North Korea directly threatens vital ally China

Analysis Conclusion : North Korea will conduct 6th Nuclear Bomb Test very very soon. Anytime.

World Markets will get jittery and maybe a Big Crash.

Update :
Shangai SSE is Down
HK HSI is Down
Taiwan TSEC is Down
Australia ASX is down 3 consecutive days in row.
Canada Down almost -1 % yesterday.
Brazil Down almost - 2% yesterday.
Turkey down almost - 1% yesterday.
Mexico down almosr - 1% yesterday.

These are signs of funds exiting and a Big One (MARKETS CRASH ~ a lot of youngsters have not seen and experienced what is called A Market Crash )

Markets Rally and Rally becoming Scary and Scary.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 09:34) Posted:

North Korea 6th Nuclear Test anytime soon
World Markets Crash also anytime soon

North Korea 6th Nuclear Test the impact and effect is worse and more serious than the Iraq Wars.

It involves Asia. Trade lanes and big manufacturing bases. It will affect South Korea China Japan Russia South East Asia....maybe the Whole World.

Think twice. Is this the right time to enter the markets to hold the shares?
■ HK HSI is Down. Exiting.

x 0

North Korea 6th Nuclear Test anytime soon
World Markets Crash also anytime soon

North Korea 6th Nuclear Test the impact and effect is worse and more serious than the Iraq Wars.

It involves Asia. Trade lanes and big manufacturing bases. It will affect South Korea China Japan Russia South East Asia....maybe the Whole World.

Think twice. Is this the right time to enter the markets to hold the shares?
■ HK HSI is Down. Exiting.

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And Robert says :

"If there is Profit , take it "

What appears on paper is only temporary. Profits on paper can become a big loss.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 09:00) Posted:

And with World Markets Indices at its Peaks, it creates a Perfect Storm for Big Crash.

A BIG ONE.

DAX is up more than 108%. Nikkei is up 130%. Dow is up more than 60%.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 08:39) Posted:

What does the below tell us ?

Analysis : North Korea will test its 6th Nuclear Bomb soon

1. North Korea Kim have not visited China for 5 years
2. North Korea just "chided and criticised" China for "its state media telling off North Korea" .
3. China urged its citizens to leave North Korea asap.
4. US and South Korea holding large scale military exercise
5. North Korea, not just once but many times stated "it will proceed with its 6th Nuclear Bomb Test anytime soon" "anytime , anywhere" it deems fit.

Do note the north korea people pledged to Kim because they see him as "powerful" .
They are educated to be loyal.
Their long term career is military-accustomed and war readiness .

If Kim say will surely test 6th Nuclear Bomb test but failed to do so, that will make him seemed "weak" to his regime and people.

He knows it. He knows he has to be "tough and strong". He will test it. (6th Nuclear Bomb Testing)

China cant control it anymore. China uses North Korea as" a buffer" towards US and Japan. But North Korea Kim and China top leaders dont even meet in Beijing for talks.
Worse, China "turned its back" when North Korea needs them most (cutting oil supplies , rejecting coal imports , worse giving the impression China is listening to US and is on US side)

To us , is nothing. But to Kim, it is a big thing. Confusion, mistrust anger, sense of betrayal insecure...etc

ONLY nuclear prowess can make him "feel secure". North Korea admits it. Nuclear Capabilites is like "North Korea 's life" .

Kim will feel Nuclear Prowess is a "bargaining chip" for him.

☆ Conclusion : North Korea will test 6th Nuclear Bomb test very very soon. Anytime

■ Once NK 6th Nuclear Bomb test proceeds, this will bring the World Markets down.

-----
GET OUT NOW? China urges citizens to evacuate North Korea IMMEDIATELY as nuclear standoff with US hots up

Tensions have reached boiling point on the Korean peninsula with despot Kim Jong-un preparing to carry out another nuclear test

CHINA has told its citizens living in North Korea to leave the hermit kingdom as despot Kim Jong-un pushes the world to the brink of nuclear war.

Tensions on the Korean peninsula have reached boiling point, leading the Chinese embassy in Pyongyang to issue the warning for the very first time.

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And with World Markets Indices at its Peaks, it creates a Perfect Storm for Big Crash.

A BIG ONE.

DAX is up more than 108%. Nikkei is up 130%. Dow is up more than 60%.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 08:39) Posted:

What does the below tell us ?

Analysis : North Korea will test its 6th Nuclear Bomb soon

1. North Korea Kim have not visited China for 5 years
2. North Korea just "chided and criticised" China for "its state media telling off North Korea" .
3. China urged its citizens to leave North Korea asap.
4. US and South Korea holding large scale military exercise
5. North Korea, not just once but many times stated "it will proceed with its 6th Nuclear Bomb Test anytime soon" "anytime , anywhere" it deems fit.

Do note the north korea people pledged to Kim because they see him as "powerful" .
They are educated to be loyal.
Their long term career is military-accustomed and war readiness .

If Kim say will surely test 6th Nuclear Bomb test but failed to do so, that will make him seemed "weak" to his regime and people.

He knows it. He knows he has to be "tough and strong". He will test it. (6th Nuclear Bomb Testing)

China cant control it anymore. China uses North Korea as" a buffer" towards US and Japan. But North Korea Kim and China top leaders dont even meet in Beijing for talks.
Worse, China "turned its back" when North Korea needs them most (cutting oil supplies , rejecting coal imports , worse giving the impression China is listening to US and is on US side)

To us , is nothing. But to Kim, it is a big thing. Confusion, mistrust anger, sense of betrayal insecure...etc

ONLY nuclear prowess can make him "feel secure". North Korea admits it. Nuclear Capabilites is like "North Korea 's life" .

Kim will feel Nuclear Prowess is a "bargaining chip" for him.

☆ Conclusion : North Korea will test 6th Nuclear Bomb test very very soon. Anytime

■ Once NK 6th Nuclear Bomb test proceeds, this will bring the World Markets down.

-----
GET OUT NOW? China urges citizens to evacuate North Korea IMMEDIATELY as nuclear standoff with US hots up

Tensions have reached boiling point on the Korean peninsula with despot Kim Jong-un preparing to carry out another nuclear test

CHINA has told its citizens living in North Korea to leave the hermit kingdom as despot Kim Jong-un pushes the world to the brink of nuclear war.

Tensions on the Korean peninsula have reached boiling point, leading the Chinese embassy in Pyongyang to issue the warning for the very first time.

x 0

What does the below tell us ?

Analysis : North Korea will test its 6th Nuclear Bomb soon

1. North Korea Kim have not visited China for 5 years
2. North Korea just "chided and criticised" China for "its state media telling off North Korea" .
3. China urged its citizens to leave North Korea asap.
4. US and South Korea holding large scale military exercise
5. North Korea, not just once but many times stated "it will proceed with its 6th Nuclear Bomb Test anytime soon" "anytime , anywhere" it deems fit.

Do note the north korea people pledged to Kim because they see him as "powerful" .
They are educated to be loyal.
Their long term career is military-accustomed and war readiness .

If Kim say will surely test 6th Nuclear Bomb test but failed to do so, that will make him seemed "weak" to his regime and people.

He knows it. He knows he has to be "tough and strong". He will test it. (6th Nuclear Bomb Testing)

China cant control it anymore. China uses North Korea as" a buffer" towards US and Japan. But North Korea Kim and China top leaders dont even meet in Beijing for talks.
Worse, China "turned its back" when North Korea needs them most (cutting oil supplies , rejecting coal imports , worse giving the impression China is listening to US and is on US side)

To us , is nothing. But to Kim, it is a big thing. Confusion, mistrust anger, sense of betrayal insecure...etc

ONLY nuclear prowess can make him "feel secure". North Korea admits it. Nuclear Capabilites is like "North Korea 's life" .

Kim will feel Nuclear Prowess is a "bargaining chip" for him.

☆ Conclusion : North Korea will test 6th Nuclear Bomb test very very soon. Anytime

■ Once NK 6th Nuclear Bomb test proceeds, this will bring the World Markets down.

-----
GET OUT NOW? China urges citizens to evacuate North Korea IMMEDIATELY as nuclear standoff with US hots up

Tensions have reached boiling point on the Korean peninsula with despot Kim Jong-un preparing to carry out another nuclear test

CHINA has told its citizens living in North Korea to leave the hermit kingdom as despot Kim Jong-un pushes the world to the brink of nuclear war.

Tensions on the Korean peninsula have reached boiling point, leading the Chinese embassy in Pyongyang to issue the warning for the very first time.

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The US and South Korean navies just put on a massive show of force amid North Korean nuclear tensions
ALEX LOCKIE MILITARY & DEFENSE MAY. 5, 2017, 1:00 AM

Peak tensions between the US, North Korea, and its neighbors have brought on a weighty response from the US and South Korean navies.

Despite initial confusion about when the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier would show up off the coast of the Korean peninsula, the carrier strike group has finally arrived in all its glory.

Joined by the Republic of Korea?s very capable Sejong the Great and Yang Manchun destroyers, the USS Wayne E. Meyer, USS Michael Murphy, USS Stetham destroyers, and the Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser USS Lake Champlain flank the Vinson as F-18 Super Hornets fly overhead in a massive show of force.

huangyuanhe ( Date: 05-May-2017 08:03) Posted:

ISLANDS North Korea ?has secretly built artificial islands to use as military bases in the event of nuclear war?, chilling new satellite images reveal

North Korea is Not backing down.

1. North Korea Crisis is real

2. North Korea will test 6th Nuclear Bomb Test

Tensions : China North Korea South Korea Japan US Russia

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ISLANDS North Korea ?has secretly built artificial islands to use as military bases in the event of nuclear war?, chilling new satellite images reveal

North Korea is Not backing down.

1. North Korea Crisis is real

2. North Korea will test 6th Nuclear Bomb Test

Tensions : China North Korea South Korea Japan US Russia

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While in the US,

Tech stocks could see a 15% correction because they are 'fully priced', fund manager says

Technology stocks could see a 15 percent correction in a few months, one fund manager told CNBC on Thursday, adding that he is selling shares of Apple, Alphabet, and Microsoft because they are "fully priced".

Patrick Armstrong, chief investment officer at Plurimi, said that the companies have reached their "full valuations".

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GREXIT to follow BREXIT ? EUROZONE BREAKING UP ??

Greece still the EU poster child for economic and social chaos.

Despite the current concerns in the economy around Brexit and growing industrial unrest, things could be worse. Much worse.

Having endured eight years of a grinding economic crisis, Greece continues its decline into a deeper financial abyss that shows few real signs of ending anytime soon.

Unlike Ireland, where the presence of an established multinational sector and a solid export base helped pull us slowly out of the downturn, Greece remains an ongoing EU crisis showing little signs of improving as the harsh medicine of reform refuses to revive a dangerously ill patient.

Having declined by over 25%, the Greek economy will grow by 2.7% in 2017, according to the IMF ? a figure that, for many Greeks, bears little connection to reality.

Unemployment stands around 23%, rising to 44% among the 15-24 demographic. It is estimated that over 20% of the population cannot afford basic services like heating, while up to 50% of households rely on pensions to pay their bills ? despite these benefits having sustained cuts of up to 40%.

Moved off the headlines and overshadowed by Brexit negotiations, uncertainty around the new US administration, upcoming EU elections and the growing threat of global terrorism, Greece?s economic crisis has continued its descent into a financial nightmare of insolvency and austerity.

The country?s debt-smothered economy contracted by 1.2% at the end of 2016, confirming it had remained in recession for the eighth straight year, according to national statistics agency Elstat.

The final quarter of last year recorded a 0.4% drop ? the worst quarter since the latter half of 2015 when Greece came close to default.

Elstat also said GDP fell 1.1% in the fourth quarter in 2016 against the same quarter in the previous year.

The picture is even gloomier when focused on Greek entrepreneurship, with 244,712 businesses having closed down between 2008 and 2015, resulting in job losses of 842,670.

The estimated loss to the overall economy was over ?30bn. Between 2014 and 2015 a total 16,077 businesses closed down, with 45,000 jobs lost.

Greek banks are estimated to have lost up to ?4bn in deposits since the start of the year due to fears that a return of capital controls banning cash withdrawals over set limits is imminent.

Bavarian finance minister Markus Soeder, said: ?Greece is unlikely to survive in the eurozone over the long term.?

German opposition politician Christian Lindner said Greece should abandon the euro and be offered debt relief.

Eurozone creditors, led by Germany, are against further debt relief, and are calling instead for further spending cuts if deficit targets are not met.

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Oil nears its lowest level since November. West Texas Intermediate crude oil trades down 0.9% at $47.41 a barrel as sellers remain in control following Wednesday's smaller than expected drop in US oil inventories. Traders are watching the $47.35 level, as a close below there would be the lowest since November 30.

Oil & Gas, Shipping Related all facing gloomy outlook. Tomorrow I will short Ezion .

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Nikkei (Japan)

Jun 1, 2012 : 8440 pts
May 2, 2017 : 19445 pts

Nikkei is up an astounding +130% in 5 years !

World Markets All Bubbled Up :
1. For some corrections or
2. If not, a Big Crash - 20 to - 50% off their Peaks and Highs

huangyuanhe ( Date: 04-May-2017 19:28) Posted:

4 Major Ingredients for a Crash :

1. War & Conflicts (North Korea Crisis, South China Sea Dispute)

2. Dow & Europe Indices rising and keep on rising at All Time Record Breaking Peaks, without not much healthy corrections

3. Too much money into Tech companies and the loss of "traditional jobs in a massive scale" replaced by tech industries that offer fewer jobs. Only a few highly paid at this new food chain and a huge portion losing their jobs due to tech revolutions.

4. China Biggest Propery Bubble and Debts Crisis

Now, the propert prices of 2nd tier cities in China already matched and surpassed those 1st tier in developed countries.

E.g. A 100 sq m property in China costs about $ 1 mil in Guangzhou vs $800K in Toronto.

Basis on per capita income Guangzhou vs Toronto :

It takes 80 to 100 years for a GZ worker to fully paid the house loans vs 30 to 40 years for a Toronto worker.

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SEOUL (AFP) - North Korea warned on Monday (May 1) that it will carry out a nuclear test "at any time and at any location" set by its leadership, in the latest rhetoric to fuel jitters in the region.

It is almost a sure thing - the 6th Nuclear Bomb Test

1. Kim is encouraged by Trump " empty armarda threats "

2. Kim is angered by China's "turning of its back against North Korea" when they need them most.
Is this an act of a friend , Kim must be thinking .
Is this an act of an ally ?

By conducting the 6th Nuclear Bomb Test, Kim is hoping for that better attention from China, as well as serving as a " bargaining chip "

And only Nuclear Prowess can make Kim more "assured & secured" (less insecure)

huangyuanhe ( Date: 04-May-2017 19:28) Posted:

4 Major Ingredients for a Crash :

1. War & Conflicts (North Korea Crisis, South China Sea Dispute)

2. Dow & Europe Indices rising and keep on rising at All Time Record Breaking Peaks, without not much healthy corrections

3. Too much money into Tech companies and the loss of "traditional jobs in a massive scale" replaced by tech industries that offer fewer jobs. Only a few highly paid at this new food chain and a huge portion losing their jobs due to tech revolutions.

4. China Biggest Propery Bubble and Debts Crisis

Now, the propert prices of 2nd tier cities in China already matched and surpassed those 1st tier in developed countries.

E.g. A 100 sq m property in China costs about $ 1 mil in Guangzhou vs $800K in Toronto.

Basis on per capita income Guangzhou vs Toronto :

It takes 80 to 100 years for a GZ worker to fully paid the house loans vs 30 to 40 years for a Toronto worker.

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BiST 100 (TURKEY)

May 25, 2012 : 54809 pts
May 4, 2017 : 93729 pts

Turkey is up an astounding +71% in 5 years !

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you are a very intelligent investor !

HazardKoh ( Date: 04-May-2017 19:48) Posted:

One thing for sure.. if u buy low ie: around 52 weeks low, the chance of u earning profit is > if u buy high ie: around 52 weeks high.

When STI was trading around 2800+, u dun buy.

When STI is trading 3200+ , then u buy is not worth. First, the chance of u earning profit is much much lesser and even if u earn, the profit will be much lesser than when you bought at 2800+.

Next the chance of u losing $$$ is higher and the chance of u losing more $$$ than if u buy at 2800+ is much higher.

So for me, I rather wait until the STI goes below 3000, then i consider buying. Now I would sell my shares and earn a profit which i did recently.

My own experience: I bought lian beng from 42 to 50 cents when STI was trading below 3000 near 52 weeks low. I sold Lian Beng when it went up to 62 cents recently when STI is trading near 52 weeks high.

Same for many other shares...

famouspinky ( Date: 04-May-2017 19:40) Posted:

Wondering who still dare to long at these levels

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DAX (Frankfurt) :

Jun 1, 2012 : 6050
May 4, 2012 : 12642

DAX is up an even more astounding :

More than 108% in 5 years !

huangyuanhe ( Date: 04-May-2017 19:08) Posted:

Dow :

May 4, 2012 : 13038 pts
May 4, 2017 : 20957 pts

Dow is up an astounding + 60% in 5 years !

A Correction of - 3% in a single day is considered "serious".

Dow +60% up in 5 years ?

If no - 2 % to - 3 % corrections , then a big one is coming (- 20% drop in a single week)