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Latest Posts By fly2desky - Member      About fly2desky
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13-Jun-2013 14:12 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		Fuck man. Lucky I sold 80% of my holding. If not would have kana margin call big time.
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13-Jun-2013 14:11 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Now then come and tell, if they are smart, they would not call, ask them have they shorted in advance last friday,

now i also can talk, so you think they are smart. do your homework trust yourself.




ozone2002      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 10:43) Posted:



Strategy    | PDF
How low can the FSSTI go?
UNDERWEIGHT - Maintained
Author(s): Kenneth NG, CFA,   

 

▊ The FSSTI has fallen 9% from its mid-May peak. We were positive on the FSSTI for most of 2012 but turned cautious in Dec 2012 prior to our Underweight rating in March 2013. Having given up all its gains YTD, any further fall in the FSSTI will drive a more positive view. We remain Underweight on Singapore for now, with an unchanged end-2013 FSSTI target of 3,460 (bottom-up). The stocks that have fallen the most in the past month are REITs, developers, STE, DBS, M1, Starhub and Noble. We prefer non-REIT yield stocks, developers and banks to REITs, telcos and commodity stocks. Our top picks are DBS, Thai Bev and UOL. UOL, STE and CAPL look particularly attractive after their respective corrections.
 
What Happened
Fears of a liquidity withdrawal have snowballed into falling global equity markets. Sentiment has turned increasingly fragile. The FSSTI got close to our end-2013 target in May before shedding 9%. Investors are trying to get some sense of the level at which the FSSTI will bottom out in this sell-off and which stocks to bargain hunt.   
 
What We Think
We think it is unlikely that current fears of ‘liquidity withdrawal’ and rising rates will drag valuation multiples below post-crisis valuation troughs (2011-12) unless concerns transpire into bigger issues, such as doubts about sovereign solvency. Ignoring 2009 valuation multiples as less relevant, we use 2011-12 trough valuation multiples as a guide, to extrapolate a valuation floor. On a 12M forward rolling P/E basis, the FSSTI bottomed at 11.9x P/E in 2011 (2,529), which is equivalent to 2,740 today. On a P/BV basis, the FSSTI bottomed at 1.37x P/BV, which translates to 2,955 now.   
 
What You Should Do
We think that it is still too early to bottom-pick, though individual stock valuations are starting to look attractive. Our current Underweight rating on the FSSTI will turn more positive one, on falls below the 3,000 level. We will be fully invested if the FSSTI falls below 2,800. Our top picks are AREIT, BIG, CAPL, DBS, EZI, GLP, SATS, STE, TAT, THBEV, UOL and VARD. Of our top picks, the stocks that have done badly in the recent weeks are AREIT, CAPL, DBS, STE, UOL.   

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13-Jun-2013 14:09 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		Dont buy first, i has try to short some, but no script available, next week maybe.
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13-Jun-2013 13:02 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		is this the one ?

risktaker      ( Date: 05-Feb-2013 17:54) Posted:

http://i50.tinypic.com/25tivc1.jpg our forecast for 2013.... [IMG] http://i50.tinypic.com/25tivc1.jpg [/IMG] If u know how to link pls help......
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13-Jun-2013 11:55 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/premium/top-stories/sgx-dynamic-circuit-breakers-better-tool-20130613

just for sharing 
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13-Jun-2013 11:50 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		As said earlier, if I buy the stock price will come down so this time I don't buy ... dare not to buy anything
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13-Jun-2013 11:30 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		Can someone link my chart i post .....around cny....
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13-Jun-2013 10:58 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		Why these numbers?   Any particular reasons and what kind of system is that? Thanks.

stevenlim109      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 10:05) Posted:

ok i am going to buy this toto number today ! 3,6,9,16,17,18,25,38,37,44 !
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13-Jun-2013 10:43 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Strategy    | PDF
How low can the FSSTI go?
UNDERWEIGHT - Maintained
Author(s): Kenneth NG, CFA,   

 

▊ The FSSTI has fallen 9% from its mid-May peak. We were positive on the FSSTI for most of 2012 but turned cautious in Dec 2012 prior to our Underweight rating in March 2013. Having given up all its gains YTD, any further fall in the FSSTI will drive a more positive view. We remain Underweight on Singapore for now, with an unchanged end-2013 FSSTI target of 3,460 (bottom-up). The stocks that have fallen the most in the past month are REITs, developers, STE, DBS, M1, Starhub and Noble. We prefer non-REIT yield stocks, developers and banks to REITs, telcos and commodity stocks. Our top picks are DBS, Thai Bev and UOL. UOL, STE and CAPL look particularly attractive after their respective corrections.
 
What Happened
Fears of a liquidity withdrawal have snowballed into falling global equity markets. Sentiment has turned increasingly fragile. The FSSTI got close to our end-2013 target in May before shedding 9%. Investors are trying to get some sense of the level at which the FSSTI will bottom out in this sell-off and which stocks to bargain hunt.   
 
What We Think
We think it is unlikely that current fears of ‘liquidity withdrawal’ and rising rates will drag valuation multiples below post-crisis valuation troughs (2011-12) unless concerns transpire into bigger issues, such as doubts about sovereign solvency. Ignoring 2009 valuation multiples as less relevant, we use 2011-12 trough valuation multiples as a guide, to extrapolate a valuation floor. On a 12M forward rolling P/E basis, the FSSTI bottomed at 11.9x P/E in 2011 (2,529), which is equivalent to 2,740 today. On a P/BV basis, the FSSTI bottomed at 1.37x P/BV, which translates to 2,955 now.   
 
What You Should Do
We think that it is still too early to bottom-pick, though individual stock valuations are starting to look attractive. Our current Underweight rating on the FSSTI will turn more positive one, on falls below the 3,000 level. We will be fully invested if the FSSTI falls below 2,800. Our top picks are AREIT, BIG, CAPL, DBS, EZI, GLP, SATS, STE, TAT, THBEV, UOL and VARD. Of our top picks, the stocks that have done badly in the recent weeks are AREIT, CAPL, DBS, STE, UOL.   
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13-Jun-2013 10:20 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		Lol.... knn u think u r me?.... u just burned ur money away.... lol btw .....US market may go diving soon.... good luck...

stevenlim109      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 10:05) Posted:

ok i am going to buy this toto number today ! 3,6,9,16,17,18,25,38,37,44 !
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13-Jun-2013 10:14 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Early morning have to be drunk to feel the numb....haha

今 曹 有 酒 今 曹 醉 !

大 家 一 起 醉 吧 ！ 发 啊 ！

笑 傲 江 湖
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=np2gi8u_l24
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13-Jun-2013 10:05 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		ok i am going to buy this toto number today ! 3,6,9,16,17,18,25,38,37,44 !
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13-Jun-2013 10:03 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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x 0 		Dont worry so much. Later green shoots will form again.  Smiley

Siwomp      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 10:00) Posted:

--- Post Removed by User ---
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13-Jun-2013 09:55 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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that's y I said " think again why u bought the counter" ...

if you think you are investing into the " pennies" ... who knows? but I believe most ppl are aware that the only pennies that you can really count on are the " pennis" between ur two legs.. (for man only, sorry for girls no pennies are dependable)

kelvinLim123      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 09:44) Posted:



U are right, but hop[e u refer to good counter and not those play by BB. penny.

because it can go dead for a long time if mkt is bad.

I kena informative, from last rally, wait till neck long long till this rally manage to sell with some profit and is out.


rotijai      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 09:40) Posted:



anyhow get out can also die :P

again, think again why u bought at the first place...

at this time... anyhow go in and anyhow go out also can die :)
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13-Jun-2013 09:53 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Bro Octavia Sista halleluyah , quickly pack n go for holiday....pls come to Bangkok !!! Sabai dee mark!!!
🙈 🙉 🙊 🙊 🙉 🙈

Octavia      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 09:38) Posted:





Oh dear....is it time to exit? Sista Halleluyah,Gorgeuous sudah mati lah.....lol
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13-Jun-2013 09:49 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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One should be sensitive in these times. i know some are in deep red.

I may talk too much as to hurt you accidentally, my apology,


And i still pray mkt reverse soon.

May all end up alright in the end.
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13-Jun-2013 09:44 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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U are right, but hop[e u refer to good counter and not those play by BB. penny.

because it can go dead for a long time if mkt is bad.

I kena informative, from last rally, wait till neck long long till this rally manage to sell with some profit and is out.


rotijai      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 09:40) Posted:



anyhow get out can also die :P

again, think again why u bought at the first place...

at this time... anyhow go in and anyhow go out also can die :)
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13-Jun-2013 09:42 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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I think tech rebounce is coming.but that will be a dead cat bounce, then continue to go south again.

I hope mkt is ok, who dont, becuase we can never be out 100%.

look i still got blues chips holding , and unit trusts,

but all penny and those small cap like dukang, kreuz i sold all, with some profit.


Octavia      ( Date: 13-Jun-2013 09:38) Posted:





Oh dear....is it time to exit? Sista Halleluyah,Gorgeuous sudah mati lah.....lol
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13-Jun-2013 09:40 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		...learn from the small penguin .... back to school ....  Smiley... later重 出 江 湖 ...
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13-Jun-2013 09:40 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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anyhow get out can also die :P

again, think again why u bought at the first place...

at this time... anyhow go in and anyhow go out also can die :)
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