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Latest Posts By sheerluck
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| 25-Jul-2015 17:01 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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Wah.   Now I become a spy from Angioscore camp......not sure if I should be happy or not with this ?
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| 25-Jul-2015 16:54 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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I am not interested in your word, my word.   I am more interested for someone to put up strong and healthy debate.   I am more pragmatic and prefer to argue on facts rather than wishful thinking (most of the time that is). Anyway, look out for these events: - Q2 results - Sept Patent Claim lawsuit - appeal against lost State Law lawsuit Each success will give QTV the lift it desperately need.   Each failure just means more shit to come.   Hopefully from now till some forseeable future, someone swallow up QTV with a good price tag.   I think retailers has suffered enough liao. Lastly, mgmt please be more fair to retailers.   Don' t always release news in such a way that gives some more time to react than others.  
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| 25-Jul-2015 16:28 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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Mr Ephraim was the founding CEO of Angioscore but i don' t think he is with Angioscore now if I am not wrong.
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| 25-Jul-2015 16:23 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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I don' t what to say about this.   Obviously this is too good to be true deal for these investors.   But as what you said, we can say it is illogical but it is what is written in the agreement that counts in the court of law. Assuming you are right, your scenario is entirely possible.   QTV still gets their $13mil.   Investors immediately recoup up to 90% of their capital although unlikely.   Existing shareholders then ended up with even lower share price.   Now it is unlikely that these new investors can recoup up to 90% of their capital since unleashing so many share, price likely collapse pretty quick.   So investors also unlikely to sabo themselves like this.   Ofc, they can buy back at dirt cheap price when more and more retailers cannot tahan.   Either way, they don' t lose.   They are effectively transferring money from the market to the company through these " new investors" . This is pretty much what they did with the IPO.   It is a private placement only at 28cts, no retailers got a single share.   First day pump up and gradually dropped to 28cts but never below since selling below, the pre-IPO investors lose money.   After day laters, analyst cook up nice story and price went up.   Pre-IPO investors continue to unload.   So company got their IPO proceed, pre-IPO got their investment + very nice profit back.   Money doesn' t appear out of nowhere.   So if coy got money, pre-IPO investors got profit, who gave to them?   Retailers who are so naive to believe analysts bullshit to buy at high price of 40-50cts hoping for 60-70cts. How credible are the mgmt?   I let you decide yourself with these chronicle of events: - 29 Apr - announced litigation - price dropped from 27cts to 22.5cts (before annoucing price already started to decline from 33cts.   I don' t think retailer got a clue what is going on yet  but hard to say about people close to the company!) - 4 May - BOD support case to support price - price stabilise around 22.5cts (retailers probably feels quite assure by mgmt statement but over the few week, price gradually decline.   Some people decided to get out quietly?) - 20 May onwards - price started to drop from 22.5cts to 18.2cts - 2 Jul - announced lost of state law claim - price plunged to 11.6cts (one forummer picked up a critical point here.   The halt came one day after the litigation outcome. Trading volume as doubled compare to last few days on 1 Jul. Retailers still unaware of situation on 1 July but hard to say about people close to the company!) People can be in denial and brush it off as coincidence.   Up to individual. So how much fortune has mgmt bring to their own investors and how much damages has mgmt bring to powerless retailers? Now mgmt release aggreement with such ambiguity!   Perhaps the clasue is as it is.   Mgmt really want to suck retailers dry? Either the mgmt clarify or the market will tell us the truth. Buy now or regret later or buy now and regret later?   Your choice.
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| 25-Jul-2015 11:44 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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Not really pissed off at that 8%.   The takeaway point is rich people have leverage to engineering low risk investments.   Poor people buy in hope of striking lottery.   Some got lucky, most got burnt. Also my view on the CB remains unchange.   Necessary for the company, good for the new investors (got a high reward low risk investment), bad for existing shareholders (got more risk and lower reward).  
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| 25-Jul-2015 11:16 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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When I reread this clause, I got he same question as you.   Logically speaking, they shouldn' t but the wordings suggested otherwise.   This clause is ambiguous to me.
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| 25-Jul-2015 10:37 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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Seems like you have been reading all my posts.   If you have paid attention to them, you should know my emphaise is on risk management. The potential upside of QTV is definitely more attractive than appreciation in SG property price for a 1.5 years investment period.   But the attention is on the downside ie risk.   For this CD, the investors are guaranteed 8% return.   For property, it might be 4%.   It might be negative.   They engineered such that they have super low risk for this CD.   Things needs to be balanced.   If they have low risk and high rewards then someone else must have high risk and low reward.   Who are these people?   Existing shareholders.  Like I said in my previous post, people can shout and scream 60cts, 70cts, M& A, people knock on door when FDA approve chocolate.   These may or may not happen.   But for sure, we get to see results every Q.   QTV last quarter results is far below expectation.   Only 12% of analyst target. Also don' t forget they are still in the lawsuit with the appeal.   The outcome might give QTV a lift or simple destroy it.   QTV mgmt has led market to believe that the lawsuit favour them but started to change their tone during AGM.   Subsequently, they annouced the lawuit outcome.   Now the mgmt also said the believe the appeal is to their favour.   This is like a boss telling its staff, I will pay you your salary but never do so and keep saying the same thing over and over again. I hope they win the appeal.   If not many retailers die.
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| 25-Jul-2015 00:43 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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These investors aren' t charity.   Their confidence are engineered by managing risk. This round of CB is worse for existing shareholders. Compared to last round: - maturity reduced from 2 years to 1.5 years with option to extend by 0.5 years (if good, stay for another 0.5 years.   If not quickly take principle and interest and ciao) - interest remained at 8% (already high at 8% so paiseh to ask for more.   Which bank pay interest anywhere near 8%?) - conversion price lowered from 19.2cts to 12.8cts, a 33% reduction (even worse dilution for existing shareholders and there is no lock up period at all.) - no proceed to be used for payng lawsuit damage (ring fence proceed for commercial development) - can appoint up to two directors into board (probably one of the reasons is to ensure proceed are used according to their agreement.   Minor -ve point is have to pay them director fees.   major -ve point is they will jarga their own interest first.) So overall the new CB deal is worse than the previous one for existing shareholder, but given the shitty situation the company in, has QTV and its shareholder got any options? Saying that this " Reinforces the potential of and confidence in QT Vascular&rsquo s Chocolate® platform" is really bullshit.   If they really confidence than they should accept share placement at a premium.   But they go by CB route and built in so many protective clauses to the extend that the only risk they face is QTV default (which they know is low prob) is really saying that " They are very confident that they can make money whether QTV make it (make more) or not (make less)" . |
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| 24-Jul-2015 14:41 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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This REX really hopeless.   Their tech is no truly independent in detecting oil.   Their tech is half-baked and by inference they investing on asset based on their half-baked tech is also trying luck......Their claim of 85% is misleading. I got a tech than has slightly more than 50% chance (I not so shameless to say 85%) of detecting oil in every HDB houses in Singapore.   Can fight with REX' s tech?
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| 24-Jul-2015 14:10 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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If this REX is as solid as the two T-REXs you posted, investors will have some hope.  
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| 24-Jul-2015 14:06 |
NauticAWT
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NauticAWT - New Kid On The Block
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I meant for owners to cash out.
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| 24-Jul-2015 13:25 |
NauticAWT
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NauticAWT - New Kid On The Block
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IPO at the wrong time for investors but at the right time for cashing out before market totally lost interest in O& G sector.
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| 24-Jul-2015 13:22 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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No point delisting.   CEO can continue to draw fat salary while finding no oil.      What investors do to them?   When company runs out of cash and CEO starts to worry about his pay, then cook up some nice stories, issue rights, warrants.   Investors will continue to pump money to sustain his pay. The coy gave me the impression that their tech alone can find oil but from their latest announcement, it also need other party tech to get it right as well.   So they keep claiming their tech is got dragon but cannot find oil because other' s tech are worm...... Like theory very good but practical completely fail.   What 85% got it right.   Till now hit rate is 0%.   Really good at blowing only.  
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| 24-Jul-2015 11:42 |
Nam Cheong
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Nam Cheong
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NC is losing it each day.   There are no contract wins for donkey months now.   They needing to refinance loan indicates that cashflow is unable to do so.   Will we see a loss this coming quarter?   Will NCL attempt to continue recognising revenue for those BTS without contract to contain market fear and hope to clinch a deal before they run out of time? Will NC survive? |
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| 24-Jul-2015 10:55 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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Fund already starting to desert them.   FIL sold at a loss within a few days of buying up.
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| 24-Jul-2015 10:43 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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Wah liao,   This dino everyday frop 5% - 10%.   Like that it will become a baby REX soon. |
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| 24-Jul-2015 10:41 |
Medi Lifestyle
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IEV - decent results and promising developments
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IEV yesterday announced a gas supply agreement.   Note this is not a contract wins but an agreement where IEV can get cheaper gas for selling. IEV' s natural gas business used to enjoyed about GP of 30% but has fallen to 11% for FY14.   This new agreement should help to improve the GP for this segment. IEV share price is pretty low now and is trading at about 45% BV.   However, it has not been profitable (after excluding one-off gain) for the past three years.   Last quarter Q1 results is also a loss. It recently announced that it won a compensation of about USD2.2mil from its US contractor for one of its project.   A minor plus since they were originally suing for USD8.6mil.   Bette than nothing I suppose. And it is operating in an out-of-flavour O& G sector. Has it bottomed out or more worse to come? |
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| 24-Jul-2015 10:27 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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hit 15cts but can go much lower still. |
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| 22-Jul-2015 16:35 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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After this dino die and turned into fossil, the CEO can said " We found oil!!" .....but that will be 65million years later.......   |
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| 22-Jul-2015 10:35 |
Rex Intl
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Rex International
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Bro, you too kind to them.   At least dino shit got some historic value.  
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