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06-Mar-2015 20:39

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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03-Mar-2015 00:38

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Just like every battle- there will always be Cowards & Warriors.
While in every battle- there will be Chit Chatters, Stone Throwers & Brave Takers.
No matter how the battle are fought, One shall remains Victorious!

I shall remain my victory ahead, For the Victorious Sound of Trumpet awaits me!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SdY3enjAmg& list=FLIGZIWveB2xf_-PhUBfo0Mg& index=97

MetalTrader3 ( Date: 03-Mar-2015 00:26) Posted:

Gono be a very exciting match between Buyers, Sellers & Holders.
It is like the finale, whereby the toughest survive based on Trading Skills :)

The fight is near, however the result is predicted long ago!
Let the Game Begins!

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03-Mar-2015 00:26

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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03-Mar-2015 00:20

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Shipping is a must in core global environment. In SGX, the Top SG Flag Ship is NOL.
Having said that, the cheap oil price will certainly be a booast to NOL Margins in 2015.
Of course, its good to have buyers as well as sellers.

Trading is not just scholars can manage, its all about TRADING!
MOOO HAHHAHAHAHAH!

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02-Mar-2015 19:59

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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The flagship of Singapore (NOL) had arrived :)

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01-Mar-2015 17:25

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Why do people call "shell company"?
1) Ignorant
2) Perceived Ignorance

Why can just round 18% of NOL can be sold for $1.2 Billion?
1) Value
2) Fundemental

In conclusion, Ignorant people sees as shell company. While, smart people sees as value & fundemental company.

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27-Feb-2015 03:11

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Waiting to unleash secret Trump Card.

Nice Song:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCVSbz_ELS0& index=16& list=FLIGZIWveB2xf_-PhUBfo0Mg

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26-Feb-2015 12:56

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Good Things normally come together :)

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24-Feb-2015 03:25

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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NOL could return to profit this year

Besides a gain from the USD1.2 billion sale of APL Logistics to Japanese freight forwarding giant Kintetsu World Express, NOL would also gain from substantial fuel savings, said CIMB Securities&rsquo Raymond Yap.

Yap has given a 52-week target price of SGD1.53 (USD1.13) for NOL&rsquo s stock, which is currently trading at SGD0.99.
He predicts a USD1.02 billion profit for NOL this year, reversing a USD260 million loss for 2014.

He also thinks that NOL, led by CEO Ng Yat Chung, could pay 10% of its 2015 net profits to shareholders as dividends.

Yap said, &ldquo NOL is likely to enjoy a bumper net profit this year because of the material USD900 million expected capital gain from the sale of APL Logistics, while lower bunker costs, efficiency gains from the newbuilding deliveries, and savings from charter returns will lower APL&rsquo s operating costs. The likely rise in transpacific freight rates in FY15 will also help APL turn a small profit this year.&rdquo

Yap said, &ldquo Asia-Europe spot rates will likely come under pressure in 2015 because we expect demand growth to weaken after frenetic restocking activity last year and heavy deliveries of ultra-large container vessels. However, transpacific rates may strengthen as the US economy is robust and carriers are determined to push through 20% higher contract rates from May 2015. NOL has almost twice the transpacific cargoes than Asia-Europe cargoes, so the overall effect is still beneficial.&rdquo

The labour dispute between the Pacific Maritime Association and International Longshore and Warehouse Union, which hit shipments to and from the US West Coast, has been tentatively resolved with a settlement on a new five-year pact covering 29 West Coast ports.

http://www.ihsmaritime360.com/article/16797/nol-could-return-to-profit-this-year

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24-Feb-2015 03:18

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Hot stock: Interest in NOL may continue on new development from West Coast ports

SHARES of Neptune Orient Lines (NOL), which surged to a high of S$1.065 on Wednesday morning following news of its plans to divest its logistics business, have since stabilised.

As at 2.45pm on Monday, NOL was trading at S$1.02, down some 0.49 per cent from Wednesday' s closing price.

But NOL may be in play this week again due to positive news related to its core liner business, CMC Markets analyst Nicholas Teo said.

" Late Friday, it was announced that the US West Coast dock workers and their employers reached a five-year contract deal. This averted a shutdown of 29 ports that could have cost the US economy and NOL heavily," Mr Teo said.

In its recent earnings release, NOL had blamed the industrial slowdown and subsequent congestion in the West Coast ports - a major contributing segment of NOL' s container liner business - as a key reason for the slide in both quarterly and annual revenues for the company.

" This new development from the West Coast Ports could offer traders a reason to bid up the stock again," Mr Teo noted.

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hot-stock-interest-in-nol-may-continue-on-new-development-from-west-coast-ports

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23-Feb-2015 04:53

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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***IMPORTANT (Predictor's Instinct):
My instinct tells me there will be an "uprising trend (tornadoes) brewing" for NOL, & about to happen in 2015. It will happen very fast before the market can even react.

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23-Feb-2015 01:00

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Dear ascend88,
NOL Time had finally arrived.
Your courage since 2014 will be rewarded in 2015.

ascend88 ( Date: 17-Feb-2015 17:56) Posted:

0.9 b gain !!!

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23-Feb-2015 00:57

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Dear hem2998,
some talent. Keep it up :)
Those who are destined to make profits, will eventually make profits :)

hem2998 ( Date: 20-Feb-2015 11:21) Posted:

The sale of APL was a very smart move.

Its better than a rights issue and it got more than the market expectation of US750mio-US900mio that was reported some time back

Net gains US900m = SGD 1.2b...this is about 45c per share

last FY NAV 90c

so total about S$1.35

however, even DBS Vickers prices at 1.1x book, which makes it about S$1.48 fair value.

with the debt/equity ratio pared doen to 1.08x, its begining to look more attractive at least on the balance sheet.

all it needs is a flat or slightly positive quarter and it will start sailing again.

its not gonna happen overnight , but look at SMRT and Tiger -- all the ah kong stocks and you will realise the will to keep them alive is stronger than many of the other stocks in the market.

vested

sgng123 ( Date: 20-Feb-2015 11:00) Posted:

Who care about past stock performance as stock is priced in anticipation of future earning / growth prospect, US in growth of 3% + this year so they got theme to speculate and time to speculate when the impasses in west coast port is resolved. Buy if u got holding power and short when it hit 1.50+ but there might be TH privatisation as they did it before but fail in 2006. And yes after divestment of APL logisitics, NOL would had problem staying listed due to no previous record of pure container plays in market all is either bundled with logistic/bulk commodity/ship building/ offshore support. For investor interest , it is best to sell off non core asset and TH privatised it buying back all share , cake walk for them since they alreayd owned like 67%.

APL liner division still got 2 non revenue generating asset, west coast port terminals and 1.1 million containers fleet, both could bring in billion if divested. Broken ship still got treasure hidden away as sale of APl logitics US $1.2 B which is 64% of total market capitalisation lol. This remind me of Natsteel which is boring industrial but got hidden treasures Natsteel electronics lol. NOL NAV would be $1.36 after deal is approved by shareholder in APR 50% jack up from current NAV.

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23-Feb-2015 00:55

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Dear Know-Your-Stuff,
Great Insight. Keep it up :)

Know-Your-Stuff ( Date: 22-Feb-2015 11:16) Posted:

Thanks to all bro who shared their views on NOL. Since the announcement of APL, i dived in to analyze. Here' s a few key points.

1. NAV for NOL is $1.38 (or US$1.02) after sale of APL. There is a 36% upside based on book value alone.

2. Bloomberg news : US west coast employers signed a 5 years contract with the union / employees. This is a very good news. President Obama breathed a sign of relief because this will ensure US economy continue its path of recovery, 3%+ GDP growth this year. All 29 ports re-opened on Saturday night (SG time). NOL is a key liner in the west coast with about 65% concentration there. US economic recovery and this news are really good news for NOL. I expect their NOL to turn a profit this year. My personal prediction...

3. A few Wall Street investment bankers recently mentioned that container shipping has likely bottomed after 7 years. Can' t remember exactly which bankers, leave it to you to verify yourself.

4. I guessed TH took a smart calculated move to sell APL. Why sell at this time when everyone say NOL will be left with no more profitable biz after the sale. Aren' t they afraid ? It doesn' t look like it. They are the BB.

5. Based on the above. There is a possibility that TH may take it private this year after the APL sale concluded, based on the NAV or slightly higher. Or M& A with a bigger rival.

Remember... stock market is forward looking. We can go on arguing here instead of taking actions. By the time it becomes a reality, the price would have soar, and it becomes a buyers' remorse.:) I believed that this is the year for NOL, my own personal view, you don' t have to agree. Time will tell if i can repeat my feat for StatsChippac, buy when everyone is said the company is dead. The rest is history. :)

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23-Feb-2015 00:40

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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RedCliff (Re-enacted):
The debate with MetalTrader on how to attack CaoCao with all 3 people (Stockhero, Darocupcake & Earlybird14) can be seen as below:
EarlyBird14- Chickened Out @ $0.85 (Before the fight), claiming dividend is better. (But NOL had passed his dividend and crossed $1 and hit a high point of $1.065 on18 Feb)
Darocupcake- Defeated in Vallianz (Current stock price is halfed when MetalTrader advised)
Stockhero- MetalTrader exposed his " Average" Scheme in NOL.

Zhuge Liang Debates The Wu Scholars:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6uLpNGdNV8

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22-Feb-2015 23:53

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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One who lacks basic skill, but like to talk back is considered despicable.
One who cheats (using Average), but refused to admit is considered ignorant.
One who lack basic skill & cheats (using Average) is considered despicable & ignorant.

If you really want to talk with GodOfPredictor about good analysis, ensure you are up to standard 1st.
Earlybird14 chickenedout @ $0.85. GodOfPredictor held his strength and maintain his prediction for the future. ($1.065 to $1.50 range)

stockhero ( Date: 22-Feb-2015 23:34) Posted:

Maybe you want exclude me from the ' 3 people' . I am really nobody compared to darocupcake and earlybird14 who have provided really good analysis for NOL. Nontheless, I seriously think that you are really mentally ill, very ill indeed. Anyway, I wish you and everyone here a very happy chinese new year.

MetalTrader3 ( Date: 22-Feb-2015 06:23) Posted:

21 Feb (Deadline: Saturday@ 2400hrs), all 3 people (Stockhero, Darocupcake & Earlybird14)- None had been able to stand up to MetalTrader' s Prediction.
Happy New Year!

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22-Feb-2015 06:59

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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It is my greatest regret to have no formidable opponent in the trading realm. However, I will continue to predict to my best ability though I am GodOfPredictor :)

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22-Feb-2015 06:23

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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21 Feb (Deadline: Saturday@ 2400hrs), all 3 people (Stockhero, Darocupcake & Earlybird14)- None had been able to stand up to MetalTrader' s Prediction.
Happy New Year!

MetalTrader3 ( Date: 21-Feb-2015 06:27) Posted:

Dear Darocupcake & Earlybird14,
Previously both of you think my prediction is a joke. Since you think is a joke, Both of you can join too.
I, MetalTrader, have no issue with challenging 3 different people (each 10 stocks, so total 30 different stocks) at the same time :)

Name 10 stocks & predict the 23 Feb (Monday) closing price.
Deadline: 21 Feb (Saturday) @ 2400hrs

MetalTrader3 ( Date: 21-Feb-2015 03:39) Posted:

Dear Stockhero,
* You can say you are cheating, but certainly not a prediction.
I hereby challenge you on prediction (not on cheating- average), please name 10 stocks & predict the 23 Feb (Monday) closing price.
We Shall have a round of any 10 stocks you choose (prediction)! Prove to me your prediction is accurate, not by cheating!
After you stated above, I will state & tabulate the result on 23 Feb (Mon) closing.

Point System:
i) Correct Up/Down from current stock (1 Point per stock)
ii) Whoever have the closest Price Difference from current stock (1 Point per stock)
iii) Whoever got the perfect closing Price (Additional 2 Point per stock)
Total Achievable Point PerStock: 4 points
Deadline: 21 Feb (Saturday) @ 2400hrs

Dear Stockhero,
*** Let me tell you what is your prediction (StockHero):
Current Price: $1.02
You are taking the average ($0.85 to $1.25).
Duration: 2 weeks.
This is not prediction. It is the " average" , mark up and down 20%.
This is call cheating.

Dear Stockhero,
*** Let me tell you what is MY Prediction (MetalTrader):
1 Nov- When NOL was low. I mark up around 35%+ from 2014 previous current price.
35%+ mark up is $1.065.
Back in 2014, i stated $1.065 to $1.50.

In additional, I indicated reputation bet (if my prediction of NOL do not rise above $1.065, i will leave sharejunction forever) & stated timeline.
Beside i also stated sales of APL price 1.2 Billion in 2014 (Which was predicted before it happened in 2015- Sales of APL 1.2 Billion)
It was before sales of APL Logistics actualized.

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21-Feb-2015 18:57

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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Dear NOL Mgmt,
Now, it is time to prove your worth! (Unlocking Value, Benefits from Low Oil Price, Special Dividend & Better Balance Sheet)
Show the world who you are!

Your Time Is NOW!

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21-Feb-2015 06:27

Neptune Orient L Rg / NOL

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MetalTrader3 ( Date: 21-Feb-2015 03:39) Posted:

stockhero ( Date: 20-Feb-2015 20:18) Posted:

your target price range ($1.065 - $1.50) is far too wide to be considered a prediction, at least not a good one.

it is no better than my prediction that the price will stay within the range of $0.85-$1.25 over the next 2 weeks.

in a way, if my ' prediction' turns out to be accurate, it can be considered better than your because of your wider range.

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