Latest Posts By lyn_lyn
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| 08-Jul-2015 17:01 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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Over the past three weeks, the benchmark index for China&rsquo s A-share (yuan-denominated) market has plunged by more than 30%, despite government efforts to break the fall. Questions abound as investors and analysts debate whether and how the government should intervene. Those advocating a bailout argue that China is nearing a financial crisis if it lets the rout continue, and that the government should learn from the lesson of the U.S., which some argue did not act fast enough to prevent the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. They also say the government should set up an investment fund, with capital provided by the central bank, to buy stocks until the market rallies again. These voices have been so loud that it is difficult for regulators to ignore them. A series of measures have been implemented to shore up investor confidence, but critics say they are inconsistent and prove that policy makers lost their bearings. The bottom line is this: Only a systemic risk that threatens financial stability justifies a government bailout. The European Central Bank defines financial stability as &ldquo a condition in which the financial system &mdash intermediaries, markets and market infrastructures &mdash can withstand shocks without major disruption in financial intermediation and in the effective allocation of savings to productive investment.&rdquo By this definition, the A-share market is not jeopardizing China&rsquo s financial stability yet because it has not caused big trouble for major financial institutions. Securities firms are still safe, although they have lent about 2 trillion yuan ($320 billion) to investors through margin-trading and short-selling. Some people worry that banks&rsquo bad loans may increase. Banks have indeed channeled an estimated 1.5 trillion yuan from wealth-management products to the stock market through structured financial derivatives called &ldquo umbrella trusts,&rdquo but these funds are relatively safe because investors who borrowed the money to buy stocks would absorb losses first. Banks are also implicated in another way because they have lent about 1 trillion yuan to companies who used their stock as collateral. When the prices of those stocks fall, the value of the collateral shrinks too. But for most banks this will not affect their balance sheet unless the share price of the company falls by more than 60%. Overall, major financial institutions &mdash especially banks &mdash are still safe despite the recent turbulence. The people who lost the most, and then asked for a bailout the loudest, bet too aggressively on leveraged buys and did not hedge against risk. Unfortunately, the securities regulator has again given in to pressure and taken measures that do not suit its role. On Saturday, representatives of 21 securities firms were summoned to the Beijing headquarters of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). Soon afterward these companies announced they would use their own capital, some 120 billion yuan, to buy exchange-traded funds linked to blue-chip stocks on the Shenzhen and Shanghai bourses. They also promised not to sell any of their holdings until the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index SHCOMP, -5.90% recovered to at least 4,500 points. These are clearly not market-driven decisions. Anyone with common sense knows that 120 billion yuan will not be enough to reverse the market&rsquo s fall. And the intervention raises a thorny question: Who takes the blame if the securities firms suffer losses because they had to make investments against their better judgment? Meanwhile, the regulator needed only two weeks to make a U-turn on investors borrowing money from outside securities firms. The market collapsed essentially because stocks were overvalued and margin trading was excessive. The regulator moved too slowly to bring unsupervised margin trading under control. When it finally acted decisively on June 23 to sever the channels through which investors borrowed money from banks rather than securities firms, the market went into free fall. Pressure kept mounting from investors who were bound to lose if the slide continued, and the regulator caved. Its recent moves amount to encouraging institutions to continue lending to investors, even though it may amplify the risk it was trying to control. It wants to stabilize the market by keeping retail investors from dumping their holdings, but it may end up hurting more of them. Investors got burned for believing the government could stop share prices from falling further, and each time they were proved wrong. If they had no such illusions, things might have worked out better. In a healthy market, investors make independent decisions about whether or not to buy or sell a stock. This is how the market prices the value of shares. But in the A-share market, government intervention disturbs the price-discovery process because it unifies investor expectations and encourages them to make the same choice. This means investors no longer care about the true value of a stock. They only wonder when the government will step in and how much extra liquidity will be available. In this scenario, investing becomes gambling on the government&rsquo s actions. |
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| 08-Jul-2015 16:50 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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at this moment.......event ruled!
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| 08-Jul-2015 16:48 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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you need to trade " out of the box" ......
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| 08-Jul-2015 16:46 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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hi.....TA no longer the best tool for trading.......the paradigm has shifted..... thousands of traders reading the same chart......execute the same action........at the same time..... what will happen?.......and now people are getting smarter.......do you think they will do that again...... since everyone know from the chart what will happen.....
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| 08-Jul-2015 15:19 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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3.38.......
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| 08-Jul-2015 15:18 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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are you ready!!!......Heroo78.....Mooiguy..... |
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| 08-Jul-2015 14:17 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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Shanghai home sales rise 35 pct in H1 SHANGHAI, July 7 -- New-home sales in Shanghai jumped 34.8 percent year on year to 5.47 million square meters in the first half of 2015, Colliers International said Tuesday. Home sales in the first quarter hit 1.96 million square meters and nearly doubled to 3.5 million square meters in the second quarter, data showed. Carlby Xie, head of research at Colliers International (Beijing), the U.S. commercial real estate services company, said sales in the second quarter posted a strong rebound following a series of measures to boost the property market. On March 30, the minimum down payment and transaction taxes for home purchases were reduced, and from March to June, the central bank cut the lending rates three times. The sales boom, particularly high-end housing, pushed the average price up by 19 percent year on year to 31,615 yuan (5,100 U.S. dollars) per square meter, Xie said. |
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| 07-Jul-2015 15:45 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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you welcome.......lyn lyn likes stocks with good dividend......
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| 07-Jul-2015 10:31 |
Yoma Strategic
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yoma.....growth story
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0.44...............~✿ ~✿ ~✿ ~ ........~✿ ~✿ ~✿ ~
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| 07-Jul-2015 09:10 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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3.54...... if you picked some ......congrats! ~~☆ ~☆ ~☆ lucky stars ☆ ~☆ ~☆ ~~~
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| 06-Jul-2015 19:31 |
Yoma Strategic
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yoma.....growth story
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不 要 苛 求 别 人 都 對 自 己 好 ，
不 要 苛 求 别 人 都 對 自 己 不 計 較 。
生 活 中 ， 總 會 有 人 對 你 說 三 道 四 ，
總 會 有 人 對 你 指 手 劃 脚 。 學 會 不 在 意 ，
約 束 好 自 己 ， 把 該 做 的 事 做 好 ， 把 該 走 的 路 走 好 ，
保 持 善 良 ， 做 到 真 誠 ， 寬 容 待 别 人 ， 嚴 以 律 自 己 ， 其 他 一 切 隨 意 就 好 !
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| 06-Jul-2015 16:42 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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3.49................~✿ ~✿ .......~✿ ~✿ .......~✿ ~✿
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| 06-Jul-2015 16:25 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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3.48.............~✿ ~✿ .......~✿ ~✿ .......~✿ ~✿
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| 06-Jul-2015 15:59 |
Yoma Strategic
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yoma.....growth story
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0.43 now........~~~✿ ✿ ~~~✿ ✿ ~~~
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| 06-Jul-2015 15:54 |
Yoma Strategic
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yoma.....growth story
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Yoma......0.42 supported......yeah! ✿ ~~✿ ~~✿ |
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| 06-Jul-2015 15:49 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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3.47.......✿ ✿ ✿ ✿ ✿ ✿
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| 06-Jul-2015 14:53 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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3.43......
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| 06-Jul-2015 14:45 |
CapitaLand
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This is a BUY!!!
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ok.....noted......thanks
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| 06-Jul-2015 11:30 |
CapitaLand
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what is best .......to lift property cooling measures ....... PAP caught in Catch-22 situation with Aljunied GRC, says analystTODAY reports: The latest comments by PAP Organising Secretary Ng Eng Hen indicate that the General Election could be near &ndash possibly soon after the National Day Rally, say experts.06 Jul 2015 07:10SINGAPORE: The ruling People&rsquo s Action Party (PAP) Organising Secretary Ng Eng Hen&rsquo s latest comments on PAP&rsquo s readiness for the next polls are another sign the General Election could be near, possibly soon after the National Day Rally, said political analysts. And ratcheting up intrigue in the forthcoming elections, which must be held by January 2017, they added, are Dr Ng&rsquo s comments about the PAP&rsquo s strategy for the electoral battle in Aljunied and the make-up of the possible new candidates it has found. In an interview with The Sunday Times published on Sunday (Jul 5), Dr Ng, speaking on contesting Workers&rsquo Party (WP) in Aljunied Group Representation Constituency (GRC), was quoted as saying: &ldquo Why would we want to field somebody that we know has a higher chance of being rejected and deprive ourselves of an office-holder?&rdquo Analysts said such a strategy captured the challenges the PAP faces in reclaiming the first-ever GRC it lost &mdash its team of candidates in 2011 included several ministers and Mr Ong Ye Kung, a new face touted as a potential office-holder. Whether the WP keeps its team in Aljunied intact &mdash headlined by party chief Low Thia Khiang and chairman Sylvia Lim &mdash is one factor to consider, they said. CATCH-22 SITUATION Former Nominated Member of Parliament Eugene Tan said the PAP is caught in a Catch-22 situation: &ldquo Putting heavyweight candidates may reflect how seriously the party wants to win back Aljunied, but they could risk losing office-holders. However, taking the less risky option almost certainly results in a situation where WP is more likely than not to retain their seats.&rdquo Dr Gillian Koh, senior research fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies, added: &ldquo For things to flip in Aljunied, minimally, it will have to be the case where voters decide they do not want a WP team, or that the WP splits the two big leaders from the GRC. It will not be a vote for a PAP team.&rdquo What compounds the equation is the theory that the best time to claw back a constituency is immediately after it has been lost, said Associate Professor Tan. &ldquo After a while, voters could become comfortable with the fact that it has become an opposition ward, as with Hougang.&rdquo However, political scientist Bilveer Singh, from the National University of Singapore, said that should the WP leaders venture into other constituencies, it would weaken the party&rsquo s position and the public may &ldquo punish the WP for &lsquo abandoning&rsquo them&rdquo . He hypothesised that the PAP could stay away from pushing the issue. &ldquo At a strategic level, Dr Ng may be signalling that the PAP can live with Aljunied being run by the WP. It is good for democracy and, yet, having exposed the problems of bad governance that Aljunied residents will have to live with, the choice will be up to the voters,&rdquo he said, referring to the scrutiny on the opposition party&rsquo s town council management. NEW CANDIDATES With Dr Ng indicating that the slate of new PAP candidates is ready, Assoc Prof Tan felt that the polls could be called within the next six months, while Assoc Prof Singh said it could be as early as weeks after the National Day Rally &mdash normally held two weeks after National Day. Recent hints that polls could be held soon include Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong&rsquo s May Day Rally speech, which observers said carried a heavy political accent, and his targeted Cabinet reshuffle in April. Meanwhile, on Dr Ng&rsquo s comments that the new faces from the civil service, military and police will be &ldquo in the minority&rdquo &mdash contrary to the norm for the party &mdash Assoc Prof Singh said the PAP may have realised it needs to recruit talent that reflects the changing socio-economic and political flavour of the nation. &ldquo The Opposition has hardly got the government-type people on its slots and has been doing well with the electorate,&rdquo he noted. Whether coming from the private or public sector, Dr Koh stressed that candidates need to be able to manage complexities at the helicopter-view level, as well as have a good understanding of how ordinary Singaporeans think, feel and act. Echoing Dr Ng, she added: &ldquo Managing a town council is the very basic criteria, and has to be done well. So whether from the public sector or the private one, the heart of service and these capabilities will be key.&rdquo |
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| 06-Jul-2015 11:26 |
CapitaLand
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heero78.......are you around?......
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