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Latest Posts By earlybird14
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| 06-Mar-2017 09:32 |
Seatrium
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Sembmarine
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Possible resistance
Keppel 7.3-7.4. Sembmarine 2.3-2.4 Yangzijiang 1.18-1.24 |
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| 06-Mar-2017 09:19 |
Indofood Agri
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Indofood Agri Resources
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Chart at 9am at Monday open( ) based on price at 52-52.5(if still at this price)
Support 51-51.5(4hr low bollinger), 50.5(month mid bollinger) Resistance 52-52.5( 4hr mid bollinger) and 54(Day midbollinger ) 58-59(month upper bollinger. Trend line: 15mins and 30mins uptrend, 1hr 2hr, sideline 4hr downtrend Next action: safeguard the 50.5-51 support level, turn 4hr to uptrend and swing up. Soy oil price and cpo price play big role of price movement. FA undervalued. |
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| 06-Mar-2017 09:19 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Chart at 9am at Monday open( ) based on price at 52-52.5(if still at this price)
Support 51-51.5(4hr low bollinger), 50.5(month mid bollinger) Resistance 52-52.5( 4hr mid bollinger) and 54(Day midbollinger ) 58-59(month upper bollinger. Trend line: 15mins and 30mins uptrend, 1hr 2hr, sideline 4hr downtrend Next action: safeguard the 50.5-51 support level, turn 4hr to uptrend and swing up. Soy oil price and cpo price play big role of price movement. FA undervalued. |
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| 06-Mar-2017 08:02 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Bad opening at us and Europe pre market | ||||
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| 06-Mar-2017 07:25 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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I don't play penny. Since no reason for me to play penny. With such risk, I would rather play forex or index at least cost involved in every transaction is low and all rely on TA.
Then more bbs involved less manipulation. Penny is full of manipulation, can't beat them most of the time you trade with them with your luck. Penny won't give dividend too.
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| 06-Mar-2017 07:19 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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So penny stock is also a shell company. Sgx has a lot.
From time to time, some bbs or people will borrow shell to run business, 借 壳 上 市 . But how many of them are real, we don't know. So the 3 penny stock all like that. Isdn too in 2012-2013 when penny stock run crazy. I always say stock market is FA TA and experience. Only through experience you can know what old story they want to cook. From time to time generation to generation, people tend to forget and new batch of generation join stock market, so old story still useful. U ask experience people, they know what is going on, just smile and don't want to talk more since they can't ask you to sell since price may in rally mode, ask you to sell miss boat, you blame them. But 1 day something happen free fall till the ground. So no much FA to tell about shell company.
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| 06-Mar-2017 07:13 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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No wonder sound familiar for isdn. This was the 4th penny stock avoid Mas and sgx investigation for speculation from penny to 1 dollar plus.
Chart not in ig chart list. Only 2 type of stock not in IG list low cap and penny stock. So it is a penny stock, casino machine. You only can deal with them with TA. Their FA or balance sheet are always the same, flat flat flat. Flat in profit or loss, flat in cash flow generation. Mean? Fake fake fake.
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| 06-Mar-2017 07:04 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Who did charity work in sgx most? swiber and Ezra Loh, who else? Customers in Africa, Vietnam and etc. record profit year by year, cash flow not improved. Then when time come, burst.
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| 06-Mar-2017 06:54 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Can you choose one? I will post the FA later. These 3 names are not in my watchlist. If they are penny stock, in fact no much FA can talk about since penny stock mostly casino machine in sgx.
Only mid cap above stock has FA to talk since their market cap are supported with FA.
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| 06-Mar-2017 06:36 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Uptrend or not, see how this week. But you know I am the prove me with result type, so I have posted mine in noble, i mostly don't agree below😁 😁 😁
1) in fact, operation improve compared to 2015 from gross profit, but again still has to see cash flow. In this market, a lot company doing charity, mean they know the customer has difficulty to pay them money after you deliver the goods to them, but they still do. So record gross profit but cash never come back. This is one of problem why noble cash flow is negative, 2nd is cover their fair value gain, in fact I see a 2nd year continue lower down the net fair value gain which is positive, 3rd is to cover their loss making on selling stock pile. So the negative cash flow take time to remove the bad transaction in the past. How long it take, I also wait for it. So I keep pressuring cash flow. Since to cover this they have to sell underwear 1 by 1 till they absorb the bad transaction and their cash flow will be back to black. 2) no upgrade mean moody don't see improvement as mentioned at 1, they are credit rating firm so they focus more on cash flow generation to pay debt rather than how much company earn, again gross profit is on book if you make profit in your business and whether you receive cash from customers are from cash flow. Both are important but different things. 3) this one is TA. Chart will tell us and market will tell us. 4) I also posted differences between stake buying and take over offer in noble thread. For stake buying, of course price lower, the better since objective of stake buying for big company are same as us, dividend and potential of share price appreciation. No dividend is price appreciation, if both no, why buy leh.
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| 06-Mar-2017 06:21 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Again TA and FA. Below is pure FA. FA is overall guidance for stock long term prospect and outlooks.
TA are short term price movement which decided by present market (3month to 6month) overall condition, speculation in market, dividend payment period, target price from brokers, and etc to stimulate the price movement. Under such condition, even a company without making profit still can fly kite like past 3 burning master penny stocks Blumont, lion? Forget their name. So do own due Diligence. Here we talk FA and TA together, so please split them differently. Below is my FA. No TA because not in my chart list
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| 06-Mar-2017 06:10 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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I personally don't like dormitory ideal, this is another type of unhealthy trust with shorter term of operation from gov lease less than 30 years, because at that time all shipping trust like RMT FST all are dying fish with their high depreciation cost and short term recovery of investment. You may say this isn't a trust but I can tell you the operation is same as a trust, put in huge investment, collect rental fee and pay back the loan and dividend to shareholders, after 30 years, no more.
So when all of them start operation and listing, I know they will be 2nd shipping trust. Price swing up and down is common, so I think centurion price hit low and bounce up in last few weeks, especially dividend will be given soon. But I am quite sure that this stock will move lower and lower peak after peak, so choose a peak price with your TA skill and take profit and leave. I don't dare to give a price since everyone shall bear own liability on every buy and sell. I just try to give my Financial and out look analysis here. back to last Q balance sheet. First to see trust (although not a trust but about same), is cash flow. This quarter cash flow burn 30mio to 80 mio, don't explain to me, due to repayment, this is they have to pay, negative is negative. The whole year burnt 52 mio from 134 to 80 mio. Dividend payment 14 mio. Overall worse than a trust, at least trust won't burn cash so fast. Look at debt and property assets. Property Assets 927 mio, borrowing 620mio. Sgx stock always don't dare to depreciate their assets accurately and timely and worry to put too much worry to market confidence, so we look at debt and her ratio to property asset. Frankly speaking not healthy at all. 620 divided 30, 20 mio, so mean minimum 20 mio has to be reduced every year. But you see the growth of property assets and debt growth, debt growth faster, again unhealthy. So overall above explain why this stock fall from 80 plus till 30, of course part of reason is due to worrying poor economic affect the business in past 2 year. Recently bounce up is due to potential dividend given and bull mode in market. But we have to worry on their cash burning rate. 52mio a year vs 80 mio on hand, if business not improve, next year left 30 mio, 1 more year? Bye bye. So their business has to improve drastically to cover 52 mio cash burning, so profit at least has to double up to 60 mio above since the company has moved into loan repayment period after construction, they have to improve their operation and find cash.
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| 06-Mar-2017 05:40 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Stock with good daily volume trading seldom sideline for too long, it will move to 1 direction either up or down after a while.
How we determine support or resistance? when price drop, then go stagnant at low level, this is support level at low, price not dropping only have 2 possibility after long time, selling are dried or buy strength cancel the sell strength. In such cases, I normally buy at support level my entry price is 38.5. Set cut loss 1-2 pips for my cfd account. How I determine to buy, I observe the chart, in first round settlement at 38-38.5, price hit 39.5, chart show it hit 4hr upper bollinger(resistance), profit taking, back to 38-38.5. This round is opportunists try to buy at low or oversold level or cover short, normally the rally is not sustained and price won't hold at 39.5. When price again at 38-38.5, this is round of testing new low, so I normally wait for 2-3 days and see if it break, no break, I will buy at second time touching after 16-24 hr trading 8hr per day. 2nd testing but price hold is safer to buy. 3rd and 4th testing tend to break 38. So I hope I won't see 38 next week. Resistance work opposite way, however most of the time, peak price won't last long, it touch and down, but same thing will happen at slightly low level. So it is time to sell or create short sell position. Talk so much just to explain The principal of buy and sell. To answer your question high can go higher low can go lower, never say never For cfd margin holding, I will cut the position so long as 38 is broken without hesitation since this is my cfd trading strategy.
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| 05-Mar-2017 19:33 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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7.4 is critical resistance.
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| 05-Mar-2017 14:25 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Chart at 9am at Monday open( bring in upfront better picture.) based on price at 38.5-39(if still at this price)
Support 38.5-39(4hr midbollinger), 38-38.5(historical low with 11-12 day support) Resistance 40( day mid bollinger) and 42(week mid bollinger and potential day upper bollinger if the bounce is fast enough) 56(month mid bollinger) Trend line: 15mins and 30mins, 1hr uptrend, 2hr, 4hr sideline line. Next action: safeguard the 38.5-39 support level against the day downtrend from 40 and swing with the trend line up in next week.
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| 05-Mar-2017 13:32 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Yes it is. Just where price will support, the higher the better.
I saw pumped up at every support level, but the chance are >>>> which mean 8 dollars chance is close to 80%, chance at day chart low bollinger band is just 20%. Reason is simple, maximiZe profit by creating volatile through long buy and shortselling. If you are funds, took profi 9.78, will you buy back again at 9.4, 9.1, or 8.8 or 8? The lower the better right?. Especially you are super rich fund and your buying are decisive for price movement, the lower the better, because also know pump up from 9.4, you will meet more selling from retailers and other funds, why not push it down or just do nothing, let retailers or others fund lose patient and start to sell and you buy at low. Then next pump from low, will have less resistance at above 9.78. Open chart all price move with sine curve, above explain all.
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| 05-Mar-2017 09:17 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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I trust glp CEO who founded glp will not cheat market since doing such business manage so many trusts under glp, his reputation is important.
Since he said got multiple offer, it should have. More bids will drive price high, then draw a bottom line at 2.6 that gic willing selling price, but nobody is so de, so at the same time can't expect sky price, be rational to think, next settling price plus 6-10% which I think will be the offer price.
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| 05-Mar-2017 09:13 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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| 05-Mar-2017 09:09 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Just take few buy over cases as reference.
If no deal, price will move down slowly slowly slowly, then no deal, Lai Sai all the way. This kind of dump, just try to put some uncertainty to market and let those think will this price be the selling price? Then sell. Gic will sell, dividend return really below their commitment to cpf. So if the amount they put into glp, is significant lower than 2.6, they should sell when there are buyers.
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| 05-Mar-2017 08:45 |
User Research/Opinions
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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock
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Is this chart moving to long term uptrend?
No yet but going to be. Touch Month upper with 2 time pump up, 80% move down and seek for support. Support: day low bollinger (9.35, will move up if 9.42 don't move lower) week mid bollinger (9.1, will move up so long as price stay above 9.1, next week I think 9.15, so long as not fast selling down shall go 9.2-9.3, next next week) month mid bollinger(8.8, down further? Yup because month trend line still moving down, so long as price stay long above 8.8, it will turn up slowly.) it also can be bottom price till below 8 and down further. So support can be anywhere on top, since these are all level bbs or Traders are watching at. Support and turn up move to long term uptrend. Nobody will go against trend, everyone want to earn money. So if 9.42 successful defend strongly, it will move up but fail, see support above 1 after 1.
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