ShareJunction - Member Posts

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40, 45, next 40? I won't say confirm but seem like forming since today gonna blocked again at 40

earlybird14 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 19:02) Posted:

Freight link Hor before change name to vibrant, share price is stagnant.

You shall see if this round is head and shoulder forming or not, if this round cannot hit higher than last high, better take profit.

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 18:09) Posted:

Vibrant' s debt is not considered high...

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Freight link Hor before change name to vibrant, share price is stagnant.

You shall see if this round is head and shoulder forming or not, if this round cannot hit higher than last high, better take profit.

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 18:09) Posted:

Vibrant' s debt is not considered high...

ehclim ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 18:01) Posted:

Agree, Vibrant NAV is high but their debts are equally high. Thay have invested heavily in China properties.

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buying but not clearing which selling is there. Hope for the best tomorrow.

newbie24 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 16:56) Posted:

So much eaten up at .039. Time for something to brew already.

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https://m.investing.com/commodities/crude-palm-oil

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/derivatives/prices/#/?page=1&contract_code=FCPO

Cpo up in kl and India market.

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Indofood and bumitama who have 33% above gross margin slowly turning to accumulation mode, golden who has 16% gross margin still stay at low level.

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Down? I should stay quiet. Sorry bbs I am wrong.

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Since they change their name from freight link and consolidate their share, market love them lah.

Now who don't like logistic company? Recently got one bought over right? Don't know what name already.

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:57) Posted:

Mr EB

I am heavily vested in Vibrant... Any opinion?

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So short. Sibeh jialat. They all better buy containers of flat pack better. Install and take down easily but storing is another problem.

Tough business. Now the main 2 sources labourers are construction and shipbuilding are in downtrend mood. Gov lose their income from labour tax and Also postpone the extra tax. All these reflecting dormitory outlook not so good.

Further more, why those factory need dormitory because in the past they built dormitory inside the factory. Because economic good, they have to use the space and rent dormitory. But if economic no good, they will rebuild own dormitory in own factory.

So at the end who go dormitory oh?. Tough tough. Reality fight with good prospects.

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:44) Posted:

3yrs +3, +3...

and every three year go for bidding again... so the rental could become very high after every three years.

not vested anyway...good luck...

lifeisgood ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:25) Posted:

URA tend to give very very short lease for dorms, because I think government has other plans for the land use.

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Take it back to Hong Kong, and don't need to list as trust.

That time they came here because Singapore trust policy can allow them to ipo more than market value so long as they commit a certain payout ratio.

So at the end mr Li list this baby here.

Due to this 'fantastic' policy, trusts all distribute a dividend what they are not supposed to give, end up no spare cash to pay debt.

So how many trusts has burnt off? Shipping trust all gone. Last time real estate trust also almost die thanks to us low interest rate, all come back, this time, I see how many real estate trust can survive.

alexchew ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:30) Posted:

superman can take back this 70% shares at a discount today and still have net cash earned from this counter. Then relist in other parts of the world few years later.

earlybird14 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:25) Posted:

What are the facts?

Ipo price 1.01sgd. Converted ipo to use at 1.22( that time usd low) 82.5 usd

Today 39

2013 net profit 1.7bil hkd

2014 fox tails come out impairment 19bil hkd loss, if exclude the impairment loss, 1.7bil hkd

2015 net profit 1.7 bil hkd

2016 net profit 1.7 bil hkd.

Price down from 82.5 to 39. Net profit never down, why? Dividend down year by year due to 3 year commitment of constant distribution in iPo and some statutory rules for trust.

Good management always be rational and realistic, adjust it to around 20 hk cents which is in line with their 4 year net profit, earn how much distribute how much to achieve cash flow positive from 2017. 6% low? No really, if compared to top 30 blue chips, it is not low.

Compared to other trust? Why you compare with other trust who issue more than what they earn? You know one day they will burn you from backside when they need to pay debt and no money to pay.

So support a rational dividend payment trust at historical low 38-38.5 and we have super man Mr Li who sold you at 82.5 usd but still holding 30% shares(biggest winner of hph trust ipo)

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The winners always have deep pocket.😁 😁 😁 .

A rational dividend, price drop till 38-38.5 and supported.

So may be someone can call Mr Li now his Previous unwanted baby has discounted 50% percent, whether he want to take it back with 6% annual income? Stable one 😁 😁 😁

earlybird14 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:25) Posted:

What are the facts?

Ipo price 1.01sgd. Converted ipo to use at 1.22( that time usd low) 82.5 usd

Today 39

2013 net profit 1.7bil hkd

2014 fox tails come out impairment 19bil hkd loss, if exclude the impairment loss, 1.7bil hkd

2015 net profit 1.7 bil hkd

2016 net profit 1.7 bil hkd.

Price down from 82.5 to 39. Net profit never down, why? Dividend down year by year due to 3 year commitment of constant distribution in iPo and some statutory rules for trust.

Good management always be rational and realistic, adjust it to around 20 hk cents which is in line with their 4 year net profit, earn how much distribute how much to achieve cash flow positive from 2017. 6% low? No really, if compared to top 30 blue chips, it is not low.

Compared to other trust? Why you compare with other trust who issue more than what they earn? You know one day they will burn you from backside when they need to pay debt and no money to pay.

So support a rational dividend payment trust at historical low 38-38.5 and we have super man Mr Li who sold you at 82.5 usd but still holding 30% shares(biggest winner of hph trust ipo)

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What are the facts?

Ipo price 1.01sgd. Converted ipo to use at 1.22( that time usd low) 82.5 usd

Today 39

2013 net profit 1.7bil hkd

2014 fox tails come out impairment 19bil hkd loss, if exclude the impairment loss, 1.7bil hkd

2015 net profit 1.7 bil hkd

2016 net profit 1.7 bil hkd.

Price down from 82.5 to 39. Net profit never down, why? Dividend down year by year due to 3 year commitment of constant distribution in iPo and some statutory rules for trust.

Good management always be rational and realistic, adjust it to around 20 hk cents which is in line with their 4 year net profit, earn how much distribute how much to achieve cash flow positive from 2017. 6% low? No really, if compared to top 30 blue chips, it is not low.

Compared to other trust? Why you compare with other trust who issue more than what they earn? You know one day they will burn you from backside when they need to pay debt and no money to pay.

So support a rational dividend payment trust at historical low 38-38.5 and we have super man Mr Li who sold you at 82.5 usd but still holding 30% shares(biggest winner of hph trust ipo)

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Chart at 9am at Monday open( bring in upfront better picture.) based on price at 38.5-39(if still at this price)

Support 38.5-39(4hr midbollinger), 38-38.5(historical low with 11-12 day support)

Resistance 40( day mid bollinger) and 42(week mid bollinger and potential day upper bollinger if the bounce is fast enough) 56(month mid bollinger)

Trend line: 15mins and 30mins, 1hr uptrend, 2hr, 4hr sideline line.

Next action: safeguard the 38.5-39 support level against the day downtrend from 40 and swing with the trend line up in next week.

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Temasek purchase has made the floating share in market become very low.

So chance of speculation is low, price movement won't be roller coaster. So who buy it must be very patient. Price seem like support at 2 but in sideline mode.

I will give credit to all Agri counters except golden Agri who disappointed me on latest result.

I believe Agri commodity (soft commodity) will slowly appreciate up.

ehclim ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:08) Posted:

Unlike Noble, Olam has solid agri assets and also strong backing from Temasek and bankers.

newbie24 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:56) Posted:

Hmm... what about Olam?

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Finally 1pips up. Hopefully more to come. Slowly step by step.

earlybird14 ( Date: 05-Mar-2017 14:25) Posted:

Chart at 9am at Monday open( bring in upfront better picture.) based on price at 38.5-39(if still at this price)

Support 38.5-39(4hr midbollinger), 38-38.5(historical low with 11-12 day support)

Resistance 40( day mid bollinger) and 42(week mid bollinger and potential day upper bollinger if the bounce is fast enough) 56(month mid bollinger)

Trend line: 15mins and 30mins, 1hr uptrend, 2hr, 4hr sideline line.

Next action: safeguard the 38.5-39 support level against the day downtrend from 40 and swing with the trend line up in next week.

earlybird14 ( Date: 04-Mar-2017 19:15) Posted:

Hph trust usd (6 March 2017)

support: 38-38.5

resistance level: 42-43 and 56-57

Suggestion: long buy

First target within 2 weeks: 42-43

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Below 100mio market cap.

No dividend payment.

Price lower than 20.

Their financial result is flat flat flat. Profit and loss flat, revenue flat, go into cash flow also flat. Because all flat, they never die,

Sgx don't bother so long as got trading volume, they earned commission, willing buyer willing seller basic. They also know all these penny won't bankrupt like Swiber and etc, because a non functioning company with all flat, how bankrupt?

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:52) Posted:

i guess you define penny as less than 20cts? or 10cts?

earlybird14 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:49) Posted:

No penny for FA 😁 😁 😁

Because they are shell company. The only can say is they are 'kosong'.

TA with such a small cap company 70 plus mio market cap., and 508mio stock, it is very easy manipulated by single or few bbs. When manipulation with such less bbs involved, you only can play with them with your luck.

My easy access chart tools are from IG platform and they don't cover all these penny and low cap stock since too high rich involved for cfd and their customers will be burnt badly in short time, ig also will have bad debt for dealing with this kind of customers.

So you can see how bad is penny stock. There are pure casino machine like those in casino, many weeks, they will open 1 jackpot with very high percentage rally in short term pump to attract you, once you buy, put in money, you may be the one gonna dumped by them.

So do you score jackpot with casino machine? If not, your luck may not be so good. There are many many many penny stock, so you pick one and wait for jackpot? Or choose the stock with good fundamental which can provide you financial analysis and at the same time got a lot of big players involved and some of them will know how to appreciate the company and support you and the price at support level and then you buy together with them.

So think properly

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No penny for FA 😁 😁 😁

Because they are shell company. The only can say is they are 'kosong'.

TA with such a small cap company 70 plus mio market cap., and 508mio stock, it is very easy manipulated by single or few bbs. When manipulation with such less bbs involved, you only can play with them with your luck.

My easy access chart tools are from IG platform and they don't cover all these penny and low cap stock since too high rich involved for cfd and their customers will be burnt badly in short time, ig also will have bad debt for dealing with this kind of customers.

So you can see how bad is penny stock. There are pure casino machine like those in casino, many weeks, they will open 1 jackpot with very high percentage rally in short term pump to attract you, once you buy, put in money, you may be the one gonna dumped by them.

So do you score jackpot with casino machine? If not, your luck may not be so good. There are many many many penny stock, so you pick one and wait for jackpot? Or choose the stock with good fundamental which can provide you financial analysis and at the same time got a lot of big players involved and some of them will know how to appreciate the company and support you and the price at support level and then you buy together with them.

So think properly.

newbie24 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:38) Posted:

Any suggestions about Trendlines? Seems to have corrected well

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sharing is for fun and interest at the same time hope to bring some value to others.

So just be relax and do what we want to do will do.

Nobody can be 100% right in stock market. So we only share our opinion. In term of trading or buy sell, individual shall do own due diligence since at the end individuals are the one to bear the consequences of the trades.

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:12) Posted:

Then EB no time to sleep already....

Sharemaker ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:51) Posted:

EB, definitely this thread is good for general discussion and also kudo to you to share your thoughts and opinion even though it can be biased toward your vested or direct interest. But who would not since they want to earn $$ from the stock market. Just a thought. For those, who like to discuss with you and if they are in your interest, maybe you should consider to create a new thread under the topic " Early Bird view on xxxx" - xxx mean a counter name and let them join you in that thread. By doing so, you could also avoid and taunt those who may not agree with your view. I saw Willisow who adopt this approach and frankly it is very well done effort and recognised. It is just an opinion and probably this thread maybe flooded soon. Having said that, I am not a full-time trader/investor due to time-constraint on other commitment. Agreed with EHLim, it is well-done.

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Basic rules of buying selling. Long buy at support, short and sell at resistance and never chase high and low for buying and selling respectively

earlybird14 ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 10:05) Posted:

Agree 2 of them up too fast support level still at low levels

anthonykwong ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:52) Posted:

Yzj will drop sharply soon....
Rose too much " too fast "

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Agree 2 of them up too fast support level still at low levels

anthonykwong ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:52) Posted:

Yzj will drop sharply soon....
Rose too much " too fast "

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:41) Posted:

list to you for yangzijiang... will sell all when hit 1.18-1.24.

No greedy...

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Possible resistance

Keppel 7.3-7.4.

Sembmarine 2.3-2.4

Yangzijiang 1.18-1.24

Last 2 market red up, market green up. I think die die want to hit month upper bollinger line.

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:31) Posted:

just sold some more.

My target price of 112-115 has been hit (as mentioned in Yangzijiang' s a few days ago......

TechnicalTrader ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:27) Posted:

Yes!,, Yangzijiang up-up-and-up. More than 20% in five days.... and still moving...