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Latest Posts By Lucky03
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| 01-Jan-2014 15:27 |
Wilmar Intl
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Wilmar - Watch for a Strong Rally to Come!
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The world is trying to reduce poverty or lower the wealth gap with some level of social support or wealth redistribution. Generally, this should raise basic consumption which will go towards improvement in commodity prices and helpful to companies such as Wilmar. Will monitor for good entry points. Perhaps metal trader posting will help make my entry points lower :) | ||||
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| 30-Dec-2013 16:38 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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Hitting 1.13
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| 30-Dec-2013 15:51 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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I thought volume quite healthy based on last few months stats. Yep, important to enjoy CNY so selling some that I collected around 1.04-1.05 into the current strength.
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| 30-Dec-2013 15:04 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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Very strong. May hit 1.12 today. | ||||
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| 28-Dec-2013 16:53 |
Renaissance United
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Neglected, Illiquid, Undervalue, Recovery counter
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Not many look at the fundamental of IPCO now. It is sentimental play so technical chart may give a better reflection. If IPCO can't clear 0.02 at its 50D MA on Monday, then it should fall back to 0.016-0.018 range hopefully supported by its 20D MA which is flattening at that level. It it clears 0.02 then it should resume to challenge 0.025 at its 100D MA.
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| 28-Dec-2013 15:00 |
Renaissance United
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Neglected, Illiquid, Undervalue, Recovery counter
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Not sure if IPCO may pull back briefly to 0.016-0.018 range again before rallying again. | ||||
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| 28-Dec-2013 14:58 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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Fundamental aside, the daily chart has shot past the 200D MA last seen when the price shot up to 1.35 and briefly in Sep when it jumped to 1.15. Both times, the MACD rises above 0. The pattern is similar now and let's see if NOL will have some steam pushing it up to either 1.15 or 1.35 or even higher ! | ||||
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| 27-Dec-2013 12:29 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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Will NOL repeats the same pattern when it shot from 1.13 to 1.35 during the period from 26 Dec 2012 to 11 Jan 2013 ?
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| 27-Dec-2013 12:18 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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The chart is looking very positive now with most indicators turning positive in the short term. Should see it breaking above 1.12 but see likely resistance around 1.14-1.16 in the short term before going for 1.30. May not double so quickly unless the financial results impressed the market or indeed global trade recovers strongly and propelled the freight rate.
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| 26-Dec-2013 20:11 |
Renaissance United
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Neglected, Illiquid, Undervalue, Recovery counter
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Its daily chart has crossed the 20D MA but it may be restrained by the 50D MA. If stays above 0.02 tomorrow, will see it testing 0.025 at its 100D MA. If BBs push, 0.03 is also possible.
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| 26-Dec-2013 19:29 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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TA also very bullish with its daily MA now above 100D MA while the 20D MA cutting above the 50D MA. Looking forward to see it passing the 1.12 that it hit in its recent run up.
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| 26-Dec-2013 01:58 |
Renaissance United
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Neglected, Illiquid, Undervalue, Recovery counter
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IPCO US subsidiary in property development and sales should be expected to do better.
Sales of New Homes in U.S. Exceeded Forecasts in November By Michelle Jamrisko December 24, 2013 10:12 AM EST 15 Comments Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Save Home Construction Purchases of new U.S. homes exceeded projections in November, holding near a five-year high and showing the housing recovery was gaining momentum even as mortgage rates climbed. Sales declined 2.1 percent to a 464,000 annualized pace, following a revised 474,000 rate in October that was the strongest since July 2008, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 75 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for 440,000. Home purchases are strengthening as builders respond to pent-up demand unleashed by employment gains and record-high stock prices. Applications for building permits held near a five-year high in October, signaling a pickup in new-home construction will be maintained through the start of 2014. ?You did have a rise in mortgage rates, but house prices are still about 20 percent below the peak, affordability is high, and the labor market is improving,? said Gennadiy Goldberg, an economist at TD Securities USA LLC in New York. ?There?s a natural demand for more housing.? Economists? estimates in the Bloomberg survey ranged from 390,000 to 475,000. October sales were originally reported as a 444,000 pace. The Commerce Department revised up data for each month back to August. The market is on pace to reach 435,100 new homes sold this year, the most since 2008, according to Bloomberg calculations. Durables Orders Another report today showed orders for durable goods climbed more than forecast in November, reflecting broad-based gains that signal business investment is rebounding after a third-quarter lull. Bookings (DGNOCHNG) for goods meant to last at least three years rose 3.5 percent after a 0.7 percent drop the prior month, according to Commerce Department data. The median estimate of 75 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 2 percent advance. Excluding demand for transportation equipment, which is often volatile, orders also beat projections. Stocks rose after the reports, with the Standard & Poor?s 500 Index climbing 0.1 percent to 1,830.14 at 10:11 a.m. in New York. The median sales price for a new home climbed 10.6 percent from November 2012 to $270,900, today?s report on sales showed. Purchases cooled in two of four U.S. regions in November, led by a 26.6 percent drop in the Midwest. Sales jumped 31.1 percent in the West and 15.2 in the Northeast. Less Supply The supply of homes dropped to 4.3 months, the lowest since June, from 4.5 months in October. There were 167,000 new houses on the market at the end of November, down from 179,000 the prior month. New-home sales, tabulated when contracts are signed, are considered a timelier barometer than purchases of previously owned dwellings, which are calculated when a contract closes. New construction accounted for about 7 percent of the residential market in 2012. Building permits fell 3.1 percent in November from the prior month to a 1.01 million rate, Commerce Department data showed last week. October?s 1.04 million level was the highest since June 2008. At the same time, sales of previously owned homes declined for the third consecutive month in November to the lowest level of the year as rising mortgage rates and a limited supply of properties discouraged buyers. Existing Homes Purchases dropped 4.3 percent to a 4.9 million annual rate, the National Association of Realtors reported last week. The median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg survey called for the pace to slow to 5.02 million. Still, the group projects 2013 will be the best year for the industry in seven years, with an estimated 5.1 million properties sold. The average rate on a 30-year mortgage was 4.47 percent in the week ended Dec. 19, according to McLean, Virginia-based Freddie Mac. The rate reached a record low of 3.31 percent a year ago and was at 3.35 percent as recently as May. Homebuilders such as Los Angeles-based KB Home (KBH) see the rise in interest rates as a short-term ?pause? for buyer demand that won?t crimp an acceleration in the housing recovery next year. ?Higher mortgage rates, higher home prices and lower consumer confidence due to uncertainty in Washington triggered a pause among homebuyers who are now being more cautious,? Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Mezger said on a Dec. 19 earnings call. ?Affordability is at attractive levels, demographics remain strong and there?s pent-up demand due to delayed household formation? that will support the market in 2014. |
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| 23-Dec-2013 17:57 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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I like the momentum. Slow and steady it inches upwards. Good that it closed 1.07, breaking away from the stubborn 1.065 resistance with respectable volume. Sail strongly into 2014 ! | ||||
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| 23-Dec-2013 16:26 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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I had similar experience. Many of them are quite young and inexperienced these days. If they have not experienced market clashes, they can only advise on theories.
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| 23-Dec-2013 16:21 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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I believed NOL should see better than decent return in 2014 as more positive signs emerge :) Good luck to all of us !
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| 23-Dec-2013 16:15 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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Indeed. I queued last fri 1.05 after market closed and was pleasantly surprised and glad that I got it this morning when it suddenly sold down :)
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| 22-Dec-2013 13:08 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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What is 'outsized losses' and will it wipe out NOL profit for 2013 ?
Ship Ahoy: NOL veers towards profits recovery in 2014 The worst may be over. According to CIMB, despite the likelihood of outsized losses in 4Q13 following a dramatic fall in spot rates over the past few months, the worst may be over for Neptune Orient Lines and a brighter year lies ahead in 2014. Here's more from CIMB: By end-2014, NOL would have completed the vast majority of its vessel charters that were entered into in the pre-GFC days. As a result, we believe the group will largely achieve its desired cost base next year, and we expect it to turn a small profit of less than 1% net margin. Despite expectations of better earnings in 2014, its near-term share price upside will likely be capped by the possibility of outsized losses in 4Q13. We recommend investors stay on the sidelines for now. |
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| 22-Dec-2013 01:46 |
Renaissance United
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Neglected, Illiquid, Undervalue, Recovery counter
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Not 1 lot. 1 trade of 15 lots and that's because hardly any seller to 0.017 for 1.5 hrs since last traded price of 0.017 at 3:53pm. Building up base from 0.015, 0.016 and now possibly 0.017. Slow but steady ....
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| 21-Dec-2013 16:45 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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SCFI: Shanghai-to-US Spot Rates Rise on GRI
JOC Staff | Dec 20, 2013 1:15PM EST Spot container rates from Asia to the U.S. East and West coasts measured by the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index rose in the week ending Dec. 20, in response to the first round of the two-stage rate increase proposed by the Transpacific Stabilization Agreement. Carriers such as Hapag-Lloyd, OOCL, US Lines and Cosco announced general rate increases of $200 per 40-foot container, effective Dec. 20. |
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| 21-Dec-2013 16:43 |
Neptune Orient L Rg
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NOL
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SCFI: Asia-to-Europe Spot Container Rates Slip
JOC Staff | Dec 20, 2013 12:21PM EST Spot container rates from Asia to northern European and Mediterranean ports measured by the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index experienced declines of roughly $60 in the week ending Dec. 20, only one week after jumping more than $500 per 20-foot-equivalent unit in each lane last week. Carriers such as Mediterranean Shipping Co., Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk Line and CMA CGM had called for increases of between $750 and $775 per TEU. |
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