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Latest Posts By better - Elite      About better
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25-Oct-2020 18:01 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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yesyes  Exactly!

Longtermer      ( Date: 25-Oct-2020 14:25) Posted:


The 2 companies should be treated different post demerger.
The only connection is they have same Ah gong, TH holding close to 50% each.
By now, most of the SCI shareholders would have probably sold their SCM shares if they are not keeping for mid to long term while the rest will hold v long till TH made their next move to see better rewards.
I believe SCM will be revived v soon with new projects wins announcement and trading at 46% of NAV is deeply below value.
Cataylsts will be projects announcements, TH plan for SCM including privatisation, buying Keppel OM biz etc.. 
Patience is key. Dyodd. 
 

St.Maximus      ( Date: 25-Oct-2020 13:57) Posted:

Good observation. There may be some people buying SCI using SMM sales. Not a bad idea at all


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25-Oct-2020 18:00 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Spot on observation.

4.9*0.138 + 1.44 = $2.12

The most important equation for SMM share price in recent weeks.cool

alwayshopeful      ( Date: 25-Oct-2020 13:55) Posted:

Notice that each time SCI goes up, SCM goes down.

So those that sell their SCI shares are more willing to let go of their SCM shares at a lower price.

So for SCM to go up, maybe SCI has to go down.



 

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23-Oct-2020 11:47 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Just got it at 13.8    laugh

Thankfully. 




 
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23-Oct-2020 11:42 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Being queuing for the past 2 hours at 13.8    only 4mil shares ahead but still waiting to be filled.

It is as if no one is selling, so quiet. See how in the afternoon.... may be forced to buy at 13.9
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23-Oct-2020 11:36 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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yesyesyes  spot on!

I would place the probability of above $0.20 in 3-6mths at 95%.

5. $2 billion in cash after rights issue. Equivalent to about 16 cents per share of cash.
6. Natural gas prices have rallied substantially over the past month. Offshore energy investment is the trend
7. Offshore wind investment going to sky rocket
 

Alson18      ( Date: 23-Oct-2020 07:01) Posted:

Good morning everyone !

Just my thoughts..

what is the probability of the price at current level 0.139 
3 to 6 mths from now

1.  Falling to 0.10 or below            5% chance
2. Rising to 0.20 n above              80 % chance
 
Reasons

1. Believe in TH 
2. Believe in SCM management
3. Believe in this sector potential for next year
4. Believe that at this attractive low price level that has already factor in 
  most of the negatives

am sure there are many other reasons you can think off

Will stay vested  !  And add if necessary


 

redbull888      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 22:34) Posted:

but how low is low


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22-Oct-2020 22:54 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Today, queue whole day at 13.8, cannot get. Tomo will try to buy again at 13.8/ 13.9
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22-Oct-2020 21:16 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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I am glad that Trader1987 finally understand the difference between same and different.

$0.138 to $0.001 is a 99.3% drop
$1.38 to $0.001 is a 99.93% drop

So yes, obviously they are different. Finally.......

Trader1987      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 16:59) Posted:

$0.138 (10K share) --> $0.001 and
$1.380 (1K share) --> $0.001 got difference?

Answer: yes, there' s a difference --> do your math

better      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 16:10) Posted:

A pretty nonsensical statement, to say the least. Whether SMM does a 10:1 or 100:1 shares consolidation, it does not affect how much the share would drop or rise, percentage wise.

The chances of it dropping to zero or gaining 1000% is exactly the same, shares consolidation or not


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22-Oct-2020 16:32 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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For the benefit of Trader1987, my 12 month target is $4.50 to $6.00 if they have a 10:1 share consolidation.
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22-Oct-2020 16:30 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Chill bro,  SMM' s share will do what it wants to do at the time it decides to do, regardless of any positive or negative comments on this forum.

Just lock up your SMM shares for 2 years and throw away the key.

My 12 month target is 45-60 cents, with a bit of help from the east wind or offshore wind.

danger      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 16:11) Posted:

bro better are you paper trader ?

my SCM 15.1c ... i very angry now already

better      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 16:03) Posted:

Still waiting for my 13.8 buy order to clear. The queue was 18+mil when I placed my order this morning,  now about 10 mil.....


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22-Oct-2020 16:10 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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A pretty nonsensical statement, to say the least. Whether SMM does a 10:1 or 100:1 shares consolidation, it does not affect how much the share would drop or rise, percentage wise.

The chances of it dropping to zero or gaining 1000% is exactly the same, shares consolidation or not.

Trader1987      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 16:03) Posted:

If SMM do a 10:1 shares consolidation, you 10 shares = 1, theoretical share price = $1.38 now. Please let me now : how much more can it drop 😂 😂

TigerPlay      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 15:11) Posted:

Wow that is both scary and painful, but our case most enter around 15cts to 18 cts, not as painful. How much more can it drop? Unlike entry at $6....although we got entry at 20cts from those SCI bonus give away...quite absurb to offer pp at 20cts price and let it fall to now 13cts plus..


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22-Oct-2020 16:03 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Still waiting for my 13.8 buy order to clear. The queue was 18+mil when I placed my order this morning,  now about 10 mil.....
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22-Oct-2020 16:00 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Estimated about S$2 billion cash after rights issue. Should be enough to tong for about 20+years if they do not do any major capital expenditure.

godizion      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 13:25) Posted:

after right issue how much cash does smm has ? enough to tong ?

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22-Oct-2020 11:33 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Thanks danger once again for your concern about my financial health.

As mentioned before, my average purchase price is in the low 20s. Trying to bring the average closer to the 20 cents mark if time permits.

While looking at a substantial loss currently from my SMM position, I am very far from being bankrupted even if SMM goes to zero as I am holding my position without any leverage.

Trade safe.coolyes
 

danger      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 11:09) Posted:

from day 1 , we can see brother better posting queing from 8x cents , to 7x cents , to rights 20 cents , to XR 24c , to 21cents , to 17c , to 16c to 15c , to 14.7c , to 14.1 to 13.8 c !!!!

BANKRUPT BIG TIME UNLESS PAPER TRADE ??

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22-Oct-2020 11:26 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Rystad Energy  is a global independent energy research and business intelligence company:

From next year, Rystad Energy expects offshore oil and gas investments to rebound, but there will be a tectonic shift, with nearly half of that investment going to floating production and storage.  In fact, Rystad&rsquo s analysts said that over the next five years, 40 percent of newbuilds for the energy industry would be FPSOs. 

SMM and Keppel O& M should be able get a good slice of the pie with the trend of more energy investment moving offshore.
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22-Oct-2020 11:04 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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That' s a good realisation Tigerplay, that the BB is always aiming at extracting money from retail investors like people on these forums. That' s the first step in making good money from the stock market.

It is well documented that while the long term return of the stock market is about 7-8 p.a., retail investors only make about 2%p.a. on the average. The key then is, can we not be in the herd?



Queuing at 13.8 to buy some. See whether can get.  cool


 

TigerPlay      ( Date: 22-Oct-2020 08:20) Posted:

Hahahaha, no steal yr line, I OSO noticed their pattern of play. Yesterday,why the sudden push to 14.4 then let it fall again. Their purpose I supposed is oso not to let pp gave up this counter and dissappear from it. So, once in a while they will come in, push it up abit for no good reason, only reason is to get pp to stay hopeful that this counter can go up and continue to play it.Otherwise if they accumulate a huge amount of it and nobody interested in it anymore if this fella dun once in a while shot up a few bids. Thats their plan I supposed. just like covid 19 purpose is to spread not to kill everybody. IF everyone kenna died, then they got no more host to live ON.Same same, if everyone gave up on this counter, then the BB find who to suck money?

better      ( Date: 21-Oct-2020 17:55) Posted:

Hey TigerPlay, why you steal my lines?


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21-Oct-2020 17:55 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Hey TigerPlay, why you steal my lines?
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20-Oct-2020 17:28 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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And St.Maximus, you right to say that TH only give capital to deserving companies and make sure that these companies work hard to multiple it.

That' s why they gave $1.7 billion to SMM, largely through SCI. Another $400mil from minority shareholders making up the $2.1 billion raised from the rights exercise.

You can rest assured that TH will whip SMM hard to deliver and make every cent counts to maximise shareholders value.
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20-Oct-2020 17:19 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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No offence taken St.Maximus.

But if you would like to comment, at least get the facts right. TH owns 42.6% of SMM, not 30%.

However you are right, TH is not in the biz of looking after anyone but its own interest. It is a purely a commercial entity whose only interest is Singapore.

By looking after its own interest, it is looking after Singapore' s interest.
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20-Oct-2020 13:11 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Actually St.Maximus, all these conspiracy theories about who is trying to doi what on this forum is quite pointless.

SMM' s share will do what it wants to do at the time it decides to do, irregardless of any positive or negative comments on this forum.

For me, I am here just to kill time where waiting for SMM' s turnaround story to unfold, which may take many months.
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20-Oct-2020 09:59 Seatrium   /   SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED       Go to Message
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Hope to buy a few more bunches at or below 14 before the Q3 Biz update in 2-3 weeks time.    yesheart
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