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Latest Posts By earlybird14 - Supreme      About earlybird14
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09-Mar-2017 11:28 Global Logistic   /   Global Logistic       Go to Message
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Gic reduce stake from 50plus to 39% at 2.6 in 2013.

So GIC was willing to sell at 2.6 why she don't sell higher than 2.6? So de meh?

GLP really so great when price at 2.72? Let's look at financial result. Operating income, 590, 507, 451 and 633 mio for operating income from 2013-2016

Look at 1 time gain from property assets gain. 250, 359, 411, 673mio from 2013-2016.

2017, all above figure reach peak. assets gain (non cash) + operating income produce eps 0.19, pe 14. But dividend 0.06 and 2.3% lower than cpf.

GLP almost purchase whatever can purchase in China Japan Brazil become leader in market, U.S. 2nd leader in market.

What else can purchase? What else can record 1 times assets gain?

With 2.3% dividend, cpf demand 2.5% and 4%, no enough.

2017, all are in peak with property gain (1time) at peak. Don't sell now to receive best valuation when to sell?

Or wait till those palm counters record all the 1 times biological assets gain then no more to record, profit drop, PE drop, price free fall?

Remove one time profit gain from assets gain what is PE? Above 25 plus.

GIC is doing smartest way to sell her investment in GLP at best time. So give her a 👍 👍 👍 and hope bid price can be as high as possible to fill up the loses done in other investment for our cpf money.

earlybird14      ( Date: 08-Mar-2017 19:14) Posted:

Touch 2.8 come down. So houses are asked to buy no more than 2.8. So 2.8x10% = 3.08 around.😁 😁 😁

A lot think too much lah. If you are bidders and want to buy glp for sure. You definitely has asked houses to accumulate at early stage. even you lose in bidding, the share accumulated still can sell to the higher bidders with better price. So a quick recovery at 2.65 till 2.8 sell down. So mean one of the bidders bid are around this range plus certain percentage 5-10%?

Counter offer? Price will move up.

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 16:18) Posted:

The magic number is 2.7 x 10% so around 3 dollars????

The bidders may has commanded houses to collect from them at open market now.

So the house try to buy 10% cheaper than offered price. any price higher say no. So explain why price at 2.65-2.7???

May be bidders will adjust in next round counter offer? Who knows but based on price seem like is around 3 dollars


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09-Mar-2017 11:10 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
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42 resistance some will take profit. Now 40, why sell? After 42, it can support 40, May see 53-56.


seanpent      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 11:08) Posted:



hmmm ..... no 42 no sell ?

possibly potential higher than 42 ?

 

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:54) Posted:

No 42 no sell. After 42 consolidation 53-5


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09-Mar-2017 11:04 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
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Those board 38-38.5 may take their 1 way ticket and will never return since hph don't need the return ticket at all.

Wait till mr Li take it back bah.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 11:02) Posted:

No no. Asia pay TV will fall. This one won't fall.

Asia pay TV no money still insist to pay through raising debt for dividend. This time to cut? Next time will cut. Leave uncertainty to market

Hph trust pay rational dividend. Pay with what they earned. Dividend won't cut further. No uncertainty. Uncertainty was created by our "genius" Ocbc brokers by saying this one has problem.

Look at result since Ipo? 1.7bil every year profit same till this year. But price from 82.5-38. Cheap cheap cheap one way bottom up.

seanpent      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:57) Posted:



another Asia Pay TV kind of rally ?


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09-Mar-2017 11:02 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
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No no. Asia pay TV will fall. This one won't fall.

Asia pay TV no money still insist to pay through raising debt for dividend. This time to cut? Next time will cut. Leave uncertainty to market

Hph trust pay rational dividend. Pay with what they earned. Dividend won't cut further. No uncertainty. Uncertainty was created by our "genius" Ocbc brokers by saying this one has problem.

Look at result since Ipo? 1.7bil every year profit same till this year. But price from 82.5-38. Cheap cheap cheap one way bottom up.

seanpent      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:57) Posted:



another Asia Pay TV kind of rally ?

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09-Mar-2017 10:54 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
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No 42 no sell. After 42 consolidation 53-56

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:29) Posted:

2nd day try to break 39.5 but fail and sell queue built up at 39.

Be prepared 3rd time retest 38-38.5. If break, we may see 36. Hopefully continue to support 38.5-39 and retest 39-39.5 tomorrow.

Individual do own due diligence.

earlybird14      ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:15) Posted:

Chart at 9am at Monday open( bring in upfront better picture.) based on price at 38.5-39(if still at this price)

Support 38.5-39(4hr midbollinger), 38-38.5(historical low with 11-12 day support)

Resistance 40( day mid bollinger) and 42(week mid bollinger and potential day upper bollinger if the bounce is fast enough) 56(month mid bollinger)

Trend line: 15mins and 30mins, 1hr uptrend, 2hr, 4hr sideline line.

Next action: safeguard the 38.5-39 support level against the day downtrend from 40 and swing with the trend line up in next week.


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09-Mar-2017 10:48 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
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Green in red sea
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09-Mar-2017 10:36 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Lose making still a lose making, revenue double but more losses is worse

yagami      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:32) Posted:

SIIC environment, china water related thing, did consolidation before in 2015, earning is good, but price seems dropping. Similar like QAF, very weird..

Kris Energy revenue was double in last quarter, hence kinda interesting lol.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:18) Posted:

Siic China ship? Weird chart, did consolidation before? After did, price keep falling. Fundamental good but chart not follow, typical China s chip.

Kris energy? Why you like lose making company? Very risky to hold such stock


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09-Mar-2017 10:20 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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9.55. Mid range and also day chart midbollinger.

davidoch      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:16) Posted:



Wow, OCBC support at 9.49?? Hope it is firm at this price orelse....

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 09:52) Posted:



I also very surprise on the banks... ... guess banks will rebound later

Oil unlikely stay at low


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09-Mar-2017 10:18 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Siic China ship? Weird chart, did consolidation before? After did, price keep falling. Fundamental good but chart not follow, typical China s chip.

Kris energy? Why you like lose making company? Very risky to hold such stock.

yagami      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:11) Posted:



EB, what is your view on SIIC and KrisEnergy? :)

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09-Mar-2017 10:12 Indofood Agri   /   Indofood Agri Resources       Go to Message
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This is why it drop from 57.5 to 51 based on long term chart(week)

Now just hope the short term chart can support the price above 51, also above the midbollinger line.

Sporeguy      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 10:09) Posted:



Short-term is neutral. Long term chart shows RSI and price are convergent.

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09-Mar-2017 09:57 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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It will if based on fundamentals for her last round dumping then swing up. How low? Let's wait and see but not in this summer may be autumn or winter

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 09:52) Posted:



I also very surprise on the banks... ... guess banks will rebound later

Oil unlikely stay at low

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 09:26) Posted:

Impact of oil price to sti is huge. Beside Keppel sembmarine Sembcorp ind yangzijiang, now even banks also gonna pulled in due to their bad debt on offshore assets.

The longer time oil stay at low, the more depreciation for those assets.


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09-Mar-2017 09:43 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
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是 牛 是 熊 , a bear market test will know.
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09-Mar-2017 09:34 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Don't complain lah. Our income tax is one of the lowest in the world.

Let's those can afford to drive car to pay Loh. Gst too much, spend more pay more loh.

Low income contribute little to gov income. Gov all rely on rich. So they take care rich very well.

famouspinky      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 09:30) Posted:

Why fuel tax in sg so high? $.7 is pump px. .7 to the petrol co. $.7 to the gvt. Gvt really number 1.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 09:26) Posted:

Impact of oil price to sti is huge. Beside Keppel sembmarine Sembcorp ind yangzijiang, now even banks also gonna pulled in due to their bad debt on offshore assets.

The longer time oil stay at low, the more depreciation for those assets.


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09-Mar-2017 09:26 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Impact of oil price to sti is huge. Beside Keppel sembmarine Sembcorp ind yangzijiang, now even banks also gonna pulled in due to their bad debt on offshore assets.

The longer time oil stay at low, the more depreciation for those assets.
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09-Mar-2017 08:59 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Economic is -2-2%. So just a bit down means a lot to stock market. I am not saying under trump us will be gone. I just foresee under him stock market will not be in bull mode anymore.

Obama? Since 2009, the month chart trend is all the way up. This reflects Obama policy work on economic boosting. Trump period will be reversed especially Nasdaq where Pharma and green stock listing.

Trump is another bush, the old bush. They are eagerly to expand us influence to the world, the way he attack Germany as EU is Germany puppet. I really cannot tahan. Obama make me feel so great in past 8 years, only his war on coal make me lose money on coal stock. But bush period, everyday listen his speech feel like vomit.

Now trump turn. I have to switch off TV and don't see his shhiiitt face and speech.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:50) Posted:



Actually, I' ve no intention to suggest how good Trump' s overall policy is... I don' t like him also..

I am just positive on the US economy with/without his interference..

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:29) Posted:

Let's time prove to you. how many economic cycle u went through?

Obama not doing good job? For certain thing but economic is fantastic, his budget and policy very focusing on economic boosting。

Trump? Do u know military do least contributions to economic? Trump increase it. Build Great Wall ? Other than China build Great Wall in 春 秋 战 国 时 代 . In history who build Great Wall? Trump. Do you don't feel this is sibeh funny me


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09-Mar-2017 08:37 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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His focus? Military and immigration.

Infrastructure? Obama doesn't have meh? Of course have budget for it. But trump had to dig from some where.

And infrastructure is very expensive. How much gov spend mrt and infrastructure in Singapore, go to do some research and you compare the land area with the land area in U.S. Of course not all but city and area with human.

You will know it is not a budget can get within 1 year. Is more than decade.

Anyway. Do your own due diligence. Sometimes I get a bit nervous when I see the post which is my mistake in early stage. So I just try share what I think is right now after years of experience learning.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:29) Posted:

Let's time prove to you. how many economic cycle u went through?

Obama not doing good job? For certain thing but economic is fantastic, his budget and policy very focusing on economic boosting。

Trump? Do u know military do least contributions to economic? Trump increase it. Build Great Wall ? Other than China build Great Wall in 春 秋 战 国 时 代 . In history who build Great Wall? Trump. Do you don't feel this is sibeh funny meh

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:14) Posted:



USA economy up/down got nothing much to do with who is in-charge. Don' t think Obama has done a good job also.

My opinion has nothing to do with democrat or republican running the country...

I just look at what are on the table at this point of time.


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09-Mar-2017 08:29 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Let's time prove to you. how many economic cycle u went through?

Obama not doing good job? For certain thing but economic is fantastic, his budget and policy very focusing on economic boosting。

Trump? Do u know military do least contributions to economic? Trump increase it. Build Great Wall ? Other than China build Great Wall in 春 秋 战 国 时 代 . In history who build Great Wall? Trump. Do you don't feel this is sibeh funny meh

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:14) Posted:



USA economy up/down got nothing much to do with who is in-charge. Don' t think Obama has done a good job also.

My opinion has nothing to do with democrat or republican running the country...

I just look at what are on the table at this point of time.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:00) Posted:

Today USA economic is Obama and his team 8 years results.

Bush? First term dot com bubble. 2nd term properly bubble.

So let's see what bubble trump blow in his first term. Green and Pharma bubbles


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09-Mar-2017 08:18 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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21170 Dow peak in March. This is our bet😁 😁 😁 💪 💪 💪

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 07:58) Posted:



Agree. So now you describe more precisely... DJI will likely up again and peak in March and maybe April... Then likely there is a correction in May.. 

Provided Oil will not go down much more from here. 

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 07:45) Posted:

March hit peak, down for first correction, price settle down at week support, go up in April or May, cannot break March high.

Sell in May and go away. April or May. Catalyst very obvious U.S. budget, a disappointing budget which cannot meet trump bbss for his election promis


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09-Mar-2017 08:04 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Don't over positive when price at peak. This is where you will kill yourselves badly.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 08:00) Posted:

Today USA economic is Obama and his team 8 years results.

Bush? First term dot com bubble. 2nd term properly bubble.

So let's see what bubble trump blow in his first term. Green and Pharma bubbles?

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 07:52) Posted:

He want to boost GDP to more than 2%. In his dream, only democrat president know how to boost economic. Republican only know how to destroy.

Why simple. Republican and democrat tradition. States support the parties and companies support the parties.

First trump has destroyed is military expenses, same this is republican support industry. Obama cut cut cut and boost economic some where.

Very obvious trump is not different with bush. He is under pressure of republican and his teams and hands behind


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09-Mar-2017 08:00 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
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Today USA economic is Obama and his team 8 years results.

Bush? First term dot com bubble. 2nd term properly bubble.

So let's see what bubble trump blow in his first term. Green and Pharma bubbles?

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 07:52) Posted:

He want to boost GDP to more than 2%. In his dream, only democrat president know how to boost economic. Republican only know how to destroy.

Why simple. Republican and democrat tradition. States support the parties and companies support the parties.

First trump has destroyed is military expenses, same this is republican support industry. Obama cut cut cut and boost economic some where.

Very obvious trump is not different with bush. He is under pressure of republican and his teams and hands behind.

earlybird14      ( Date: 09-Mar-2017 07:45) Posted:

March hit peak, down for first correction, price settle down at week support, go up in April or May, cannot break March high.

Sell in May and go away. April or May. Catalyst very obvious U.S. budget, a disappointing budget which cannot meet trump bbss for his election promis


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