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krisluke
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10-May-2013 18:47      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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U.S. STOCK INDEXES

The June NASDAQ 100 closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off April's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the aforementioned rally, weekly resistance crossing at 3084.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2856.32 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 2978.25. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing near 3084.00. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2909.82. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2856.32.

The June S& P 500 closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off November's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1581.73 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1621.60. Second resistance is will be hard to project with June extending this year's rally into uncharted territory. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1602.75. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1581.73.

The Dow closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off November's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. If the Dow extends the rally off November's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14,786 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 15,144. Second resistance will be hard to project with the Dow trading into uncharted territory. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 14,913. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 14,786.




NYMEX CRUDE OIL

June crude oil closed lower on Thursday as it consolidates some of the rally off April's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the aforementioned rally, April's high crossing at 98.06 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 92.11 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 97.17. Second resistance is April's high crossing at 98.06. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 94.60. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 92.11.

June heating oil closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off April's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off April's low, the 50% retracement level of the February-April decline crossing at 298.06 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 284.27 would confirm that a top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the February-April decline crossing at 298.06. Second resistance is 62% retracement level of the February-April decline crossing at 304.20. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 284.27. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 275.97.

June unleaded gas closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off last Wednesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off May's low, the 38% retracement level of the February-May decline crossing at 290.15 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 279.10 would signal that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the February-May decline crossing at 290.15. Second resistance is 50% retracement level of the February-May decline crossing at 296.67. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 279.10. Second support is May's low crossing at 268.79.

June Henry natural gas closed slightly higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-term. If June extends this month's decline, the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 3.831 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.197 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 4.123. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.197. First support is the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 3.831. Second support is the 62% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 3.683.
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krisluke
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10-May-2013 09:41      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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U.S. Stocks Close Lower, Breaking Record Streak



--Shares close broadly lower after turbulent afternoon trading

--Jobless claims fall unexpectedly

--DJIA down 22.50 S& P 500 declines 6.02
 
   By Alexandra Scaggs 
 


NEW YORK--Stocks closed lower amid choppy trading Thursday, as investors took a breather after the latest string of record-setting gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 22.50 points, or 0.1%, to 15082.62. The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index declined 6.02 points, or 0.4% to 1626.67, with eight of 10 sectors lower. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 4.10 points, or 0.1%, to 3409.17.

The Dow closed at an all-time high above 15000 for a second-straight session Wednesday, while the S& P 500 extended its streak of record-high closes to five sessions.

" Typically when the market moves this fast, a lot of weak hands enter," said Jason Pride, director of investment strategy with Glenmede Investment and Wealth Management, which oversees $23 billion. " They are the players that come in on the expectation of near-term gains without a long-term underpinning, so when there's any kind of crack they tend to bail quickly."

Helping support stocks was another better-than-expected reading on the labor market. Initial jobless claims made a surprise decline in the latest week, and the four-week average of claims fell to prerecession levels for the first time. That report came after last week's employment report showed that job creation in April beat expectations.

European markets were mixed. The Stoxx Europe 600 was mostly flat following the recent rally to near five-year highs, but solid demand at a Spanish government-bond auction helped provide some support.

Meanwhile, the Bank of England kept its monetary policy unchanged, as was expected.

Asian markets traded mostly lower after data showing consumer prices in China rose more than expected, which reduced hopes for further stimulus. China's Shanghai Composite lost 0.6% and Japan's Nikkei Stock Average gave up 0.7%. South Korea's Kospi Composite bucked the region's trend by rallying 1.2% after the Bank of Korea surprised investors by becoming the latest central bank to boost stimulus by cutting interest rates.

Crude-oil futures eased 0.2% to settle at $96.39 a barrel, while gold futures slipped 0.3% to $1,468.80 a troy ounce. The dollar rose against the euro and rallied strongly against the yen, with the dollar rising above the key threshold of Y100 for the first time in four years. Demand fell for the 10-year U.S. Treasury, pushing yields up to settle at 1.813%.

Groupon gained 11% after reporting stronger-than-expected first-quarter revenue and improving margins, while earnings matched analysts' forecasts.

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters surged 28% after the company said it extended its agreement with Starbucks for at least five years to make and sell Starbucks- and Tazo-branded beverage pods to be used in Green Mountain's Keurig brewing systems. Green Mountain also reported better-than-expected fiscal-second-quarter earnings.

Data-center operator Rackspace Hosting took a 25% dive after it reported after the close Wednesday that price cuts and weaker-than-expected demand hurt its revenue. Four bank analysts downgraded its stock.

Write to Alexandra Scaggs at alexandra.scaggs@dowjones.com

 
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krisluke
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08-May-2013 17:06      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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Here Are The Odds On Who Will Replace Alex Ferguson As The Coach Of Manchester United


The big news in sports this morning: Sir Alex Ferguson, the legendary coach of Manchester United Football Club in the UK, is retiring after 26 years.

Ferguson is considered to be without paralallel in UK soccer, and for the moment, perhaps global professional sports. Everyone agrees he is the best.

People are already wondering whether publicily traded ManU will fall when trading opens today in New York.

So obviously the big question is: Who will replace him?

Via betting site Paddy Power, here are the odds right now.

Current favorite is Real Madrid coach José Mourinho.

Screen Shot 2013 05 08 at 4.56.51 AM

PaddyPower.com



 

(Via Max)
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krisluke
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08-May-2013 17:00      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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Legendary Manchester United Coach Sir Alex Ferguson Retires
alex ferguson


Legendary coach of UK football club Manchester United, Sir Alex Ferguson, has retired.

 

There were rumors of this in recent days, and now it's official.

Ferguson stood alone as the greatest coach in the league. Twitter is absolutely exploding with the hashtag #ThankYouSirAlex.

From the ManU site:

-----------------------------

  Sir Alex retires 

• Thirteenth league title in 26 years will be his last

• Most successful manager in English football history to become a director of Manchester United FC 

NYSE: MANU.  Manchester, UK. Sir Alex Ferguson will retire at the end of the season, Manchester United announced today.  The most successful manager in English football history will bow out after the West Bromwich Albion game on 19 May and join the football club board. 

Announcing his decision to retire, Sir Alex Ferguson said:  “The decision to retire is one that I have thought a great deal about and one that I have not taken lightly. It is the right time.  “It was important to me to leave an organisation in the strongest possible shape and I believe I have done so. The quality of this league winning squad, and the balance of ages within it, bodes well for continued success at the highest level whilst the structure of the youth set-up will ensure that the long-term future of the club remains a bright one. 

“Our training facilities are amongst the finest in global sport and our home Old Trafford is rightfully regarded as one of the leading venues in the world.  “Going forward, I am delighted to take on the roles of both Director and Ambassador for the club. With these activities, along with my many other interests, I am looking forward to the future.  “I must pay tribute to my family, their love and support has been essential. My wife Cathy has been the key figure throughout my career, providing a bedrock of both stability and encouragement. Words are not enough to express what this has meant to me.

“As for my players and staff, past and present, I would like to thank them all for a staggering level of professional conduct and dedication that has helped to deliver so many memorable triumphs. Without their contribution the history of this great club would not be as rich.

“In my early years, the backing of the board, and Sir Bobby Charlton in particular, gave me the confidence and time to build a football club, rather than just a football team.

“Over the past decade, the Glazer family have provided me with the platform to manage Manchester United to the best of my ability and I have been extremely fortunate to have worked with a talented and trustworthy Chief Executive in David Gill. I am truly grateful to all of them.

“To the fans, thank you. The support you have provided over the years has been truly humbling. It has been an honour and an enormous privilege to have had the opportunity to lead your club and I have treasured my time as manager of Manchester United.”

Joel Glazer said:

“Alex has proven time and time again what a fantastic manager he is but he’s also a wonderful person. His determination to succeed and dedication to the Club have been truly remarkable.  I will always cherish the wonderful memories he has given us, like that magical night in Moscow."

Avie Glazer said:

“I am delighted to announce that Alex has agreed to stay with the Club as a director.  His contributions to Manchester United over the last 26 years have been extraordinary and, like all United fans, I want him to be a part of its future.”

David Gill said:

“I’ve had the tremendous pleasure of working very closely with Alex for 16 unforgettable years – through the Treble, the double, countless trophy wins and numerous signings.

“We knew that his retirement would come one day and we both have been planning for it by ensuring the quality of the squad and club structures are in first class condition.

“Alex’s vision, energy and ability have built teams – both on and off the pitch – that his successor can count on as among the best and most loyal in world sport.

“The way he cares for this club, his staff and for the football family in general is something that I admire. It is a side to him that is often hidden from public view but it is something that I have been privileged to witness in the last 16 years.

“What he has done for this club and for the game in general will never be forgotten. It has been the greatest experience of my working life being alongside Alex and a great honour to be able to call him a friend.”

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louis_leecs
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07-May-2013 18:50      About louis_leecs      Contact       Quote this Post!           Mood: peace
Yells: "dont carry over night trading day"
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More and more evident that fund flow to Asia ,china restricted limited the rise of rmb give chance of Asia country like Hong Kong and Singapore currency and stock market second stage of rally, I'm strong believe that the bull will benefit all counter blue and small cap, so happy bull is forming and get ready for milti long long bull Alan datang,wealth fortune coming with hot money coming
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krisluke
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07-May-2013 18:23      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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It's going to be a very slow week for economic data, which is exactly the opposite of how last week was.

 

But the most interesting datapoint will be coming out later today.

Consumer Credit for March will be released at 3 PM ET. Analysts expect $16.3 billion in new consumer credit, down slightly from February's $18 billion.

One of the big questions in the economy is how aggressively the consumer sector is willing to releverage following the enormous blow to household balance sheets following the housing collapse.

If the leverage cycle really picks up, that will go a long way towards offsetting other drags on the economy.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/consumer-credit-preview-2013-5#ixzz2SbKMNe6Z
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krisluke
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07-May-2013 15:20      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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China shares end slightly up ahead of April data flurry 3d map of China overlaid with the Chinese flag HONG KONG, May 7 (Reuters) - China shares lingered at two-week highs on Tuesday, as investors rotated out of recent outperformers ahead of a slew of economic data that could offer fresh clues on the recovery in the world's second-largest economy. The Shanghai Composite Index ended a choppy session up 0.2 percent at 2,235.6 points, and the CSI300 of the leading Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listings inched up 0.2 percent to 2,529.9 points. Both indexes hovered around two-week highs. China is set to release economic figures for April, starting with trade on Wednesday and inflation on Thursday, with money supply and loan growth expected from Friday. (Reporting by Yimou Lee Editing by Jacqueline Wong)
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krisluke
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Brent slips below $105 after gains, supply worries stem losses
* Israel says 'no winds of war' despite Syria air strikes

  * Asian shares inch up after S& P's 500 index closes at record

  * U.S. crude stocks forecast higher on imports -poll

  * Brent to form top around $105.50 -technicals

  * Coming Up: ICSC weekly chain store sales 1145 GMT (Updates prices)

  By Manash Goswami

  SINGAPORE, May 7 (Reuters) - Brent futures slipped below $105 a barrel on Tuesday, as investors saw the recent surge in prices as an opportunity to book profits, with concerns of an escalation in tensions in the Middle East helping to stem losses.

  The benchmark hit its highest in nearly a month above $105 in the previous session as supply worries following Israeli air strikes on Syria trumped concern of weak global demand. Oil also drew support from a record close of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index on hopes of a steady U.S. recovery.

  Brent crude dropped 56 cents to $104.90 a barrel by 0639 GMT, after settling up at $105.46, its highest finish since April 10. Brent has rebounded more than $6 a barrel since falling below $99 last Wednesday. U.S. oil fell 78 cents to $95.38, after ending 55 cents higher.

  " There is some profit-taking coming in after the sharp rise in prices we saw in the recent days," said Tetsu Emori, a commodities sales manager at Astmax Investments in Tokyo. " The current fundamentals are very weak, with China slowing down and with U.S. demand not so strong."

  China's crude oil imports last month are expected to have held near March levels, which were 2.1 percent lower than a year earlier, as some refineries have continued with maintenance programmes amid high fuel stocks. China's preliminary April trade data is due on Wednesday.

  Expectations of a further build in U.S. commercial crude stocks, after hitting a record high, are also weighing on prices.

  A preliminary Reuters poll, taken ahead of weekly inventory reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration (EIA), forecast on average that crude stocks increased by 1.8 million barrels in the week ended May 3.

  Israel played down weekend air strikes close to Damascus reported to have killed dozens of Syrian soldiers, saying the raids were not aimed at influencing its neighbour's civil war, but only at stopping Iranian missiles reaching Lebanese Hezbollah militants.

  Brent looks like forming a top around $105.50 per barrel and is due for a deep correction, while U.S. oil is expected to re-test support at $94.65, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

  PRICE OUTLOOK

  Brent may find strong support at $100 a barrel and the U.S. benchmark at $90, Emori said. Prices are unlikely to break below those levels, as many producing and exporting countries need oil to hold near there to support annual budgets, Emori said.

  " The option to influence prices is more with producers than with the demand side," said Emori. " If prices fall sharply, producers will just lower output and exports."

  Analysts at ANZ expect Brent to trade " near the $100 per barrel floor this month," as Europe's prolonged debt crisis and uncertainty over China's growth weigh on the market.

  " Even though supply-side factors should be supportive, we believe the market has largely priced in the ongoing Middle East tensions and Saudi Arabia's production declines during the seasonally softer demand period," ANZ said in a note.

  But prices may rise in the second half of 2013, Morgan Stanley said in a research note. The bank said the global oil balance looked much tighter this summer, with Brent likely to trade up to $110 to $115 in the second half.

  In the week to April 30, hedge funds and other large speculators increased bets on higher Brent prices, upping net long positions by 9,614 contracts to 108,741, data from the IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) show. (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
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krisluke
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06-May-2013 17:40      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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Oil hits one-month high above $105 as Israel strikes Syria
* UN warns against escalation in Syria tension

  * Brent gains 9 percent since year low of $96.75 a barrel

  * Euro zone business downturn points to deeper recession in Q2 (Updates prices, adds quote, previous SEOUL/SINGAPORE)

  LONDON, May 6 (Reuters) - Oil rose above $105 a barrel on Monday to its highest in nearly a month as an Israeli air strike on a Syrian military facility refocused attention on Middle East supply risks, although prices pared gains after weak European economic data.

  Israeli jets hit Syrian targets near Damascus on Sunday in an air raid that Western and Israeli officials called a new strike on Iranian missiles bound for Lebanon's Hezbollah. Iran denied the attack was on armaments for Lebanon and urged the region to unite against Israel.

  Brent crude touched $105.49 a barrel, the highest since April 11, and was up 53 cents at $104.72 by 0935 GMT. U.S. oil rose to a high of $97.17 and traded up 67 cents at $96.28.

  " Rising geopolitical worries have increased the risk premium on oil and the fear is that the Israeli attack is going to lead to a wider involvement of other nations in the Syrian conflict," said Victor Shum, an oil consultant at IHS in Singapore.

  " That's allowing oil to extend gains made on the back of strong jobs data in the United States."

  Friday's U.S. employment report showed payrolls rose more than expected in April, pushing the unemployment rate to a four-year low of 7.5 percent, easing concerns about a sharp slowdown in the economy.

  Brent has gained as much as 9 percent in less than three weeks since reaching a 2013 low of $96.75 on April 18. Its high for the year is $119.17 reached on Feb. 8.

  Morgan Stanley cited signs of a stronger physical market for Brent, such as a drop in expected Nigerian crude exports and supply of North Sea crude Ekofisk in June.

  " Crude oil fundamentals continue to tighten, with supply disappointing yet again," the bank said in a report on Monday. " The key risk remains weak demand."

  Weak economic data from the world's second-biggest oil consumer, China, and Europe's prolonged debt crisis, have helped oil fall from its 2013 high near $120 a barrel.

  On Monday, surveys showed the euro zone's business downturn dragged on in April, suggesting the region may be falling deeper into recession this quarter.

  And the official China Securities Journal reported on Monday China's export growth was expected to slow to around 10 percent in the second quarter from 18 percent in the first. (Reporting by Meeyoung Cho in SEOUL, Manash Goswami in SINGAPORE and Alex Lawler in London editing by James Jukwey)
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krisluke
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06-May-2013 17:35      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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The great oil and gold booms are over.

That's according to Ruchir Sharma of Morgan Stanley, writing at Bloomberg View.

Sharma, an emerging markets specialist, blames the slowdown in China.

The wreckage caused by China’s great, juddering slowdown continues to spread far beyond the country’s shores. Although most commodities enjoyed a bounce on May 3, after better-than-expected U.S. employment data, the plunge in their prices over the past few months suggests the past decade’s rally is truly broken.

After walking through what happened during the period of 2000-2011 (which saw a surge in prices and talk about " peak oil" ) Sharma says the opposite discussion is now occurring, that we have perhaps reached peak demand.

Now, as emerging nations begin to embrace energy efficiency as well -- China is working hard on electric cars, for instance, despite continuing to build dozens of coal plants -- global demand might flatten out this decade. The debate over “peak oil” scenarios may shift from the threat of dwindling supply to the threat of peaking demand.

Certainly, the world is no longer terrified of running out of important commodities. High prices have drawn investment to copper mines, aluminum smelters and other basic sources of supply. In the past decade, the amount of capital invested in the energy and materials sector, which includes most nonfarm commodities, has risen 600 percent, compared with an average increase of 200 percent in other sectors.

The idea that peak oil is now decisively a concept of the past has been getting a lot of play lately. Part of it is due to the fall in commodity demand growth. Part of it is due to the huge expansion of potential US supply, and what that means for global trade balances.

Meanwhile, the Australian economy is starting to crack, as its highly exposed to Chinese demand, and a strong market for commodities.

(Via Derek Brower)

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krisluke
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06-May-2013 17:32      About krisluke      Contact       Quote this Post!          
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April jobless figures make grim reading for Spain's unemployed
(Adds non-seasonally adjusted figures, analyst quote, detail)

  MADRID, May 6 (Reuters) - Almost 5 million Spaniards were registered as unemployed in April, data showed, as their prospects of finding work in the country with the European Union's second highest jobless rate deteriorated further.

  The number of registered jobless fell by 0.91 percent, or 46,050 people. But those gains were mainly down to restaurants and hotels gearing up for the holiday season, and in seasonally adjusted terms the number rose by 17,663 from March, Monday's labour ministry data showed.

  " The figure shows the continued weakness of the labour market and of the Spanish economy. It's not compatible with the (government's forecast) of a stronger economy in the second quarter of the year," Jose Luis Martinez, a strategist at Citi in Madrid, said.

  Last month's quarterly National Statistics Institute survey, which polls registered and non-registered unemployed, showed that 27 percent, or 6.2 million people, were out of work in the first quarter.

  Spain's jobless rate - the second highest in the EU behind Greece - has risen every quarter since mid-2011 as the economy struggles to exit its second recession since the end of 2009.

  April's figures show the biggest falls in registered unemployed were in the services sector and in construction, from which millions have already lost their jobs after the bubble burst in 2008.

  But a survey showed on Monday that Spain's services sector shrank in April at its fastest rate this year, with employment conditions worsening every month since March 2008.

  The labour ministry figures also do not include the long-term unemployed who no longer register as out of work. Almost two million people have been out of work for more than two years, according to official data.

  The government expects the unemployment rate to remain above 24 percent until 2016. (Reporting By Clare Kane and Manuel Maria Ruiz Writing by Paul Day Editing by John Stonestreet)
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krisluke
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Clash resumes on contested Afghan, Pakistan border area - officials
Afghan President Hamid Karzai speaks during a news conference in Kabul
JALALABAD, Afghanistan, May 6 (Reuters) - Afghan and Pakistan troops exchanged fire on Monday at a contested border area in eastern Afghanistan days after an Afghan border policeman was killed, Afghan officials said.

  Two senior officials from Nangarhar province where the clash took place told Reuters that fighting resumed after Pakistani troops attempted to repair a gate damaged in the previous clash.

  The clash on Thursday, in the border district of Goshta, drew nationwide condemnation in Afghanistan, and saw protests in the east and in the capital, Kabul.

  (Reporting by Rafiq Sherzad Editing by Robert Birsel)
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krisluke
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Hong Kong shares to open up 1.2 pct, commodities sectors lead
Hong Kong night skyline
HONG KONG, May 6 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares were poised to start at their highest in almost two months on Monday, helped by strong gains for commodities-related counters as Friday's strong U.S. jobs report eased global growth jitters.

  The Hang Seng Index was set to open up 1.2 percent at 22,967.8, its highest since March 12. The China Enterprises Index of the leading Chinese listings in Hong Kong was indicated to start up 1.5 percent.

 

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krisluke
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No early warning for U.S. on Israeli strikes in Syria
By Tabassum Zakaria and Deborah Charles

  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States was not given any warning before air strikes in Syria against what Western and Israeli officials say were weapons headed for Hezbollah militants, a U.S. intelligence official said on Sunday.

  Without confirming that Israel was behind the attacks, the intelligence official said that the United States was essentially told of the air raids " after the fact" and was notified as the bombs went off.

  Israeli jets bombed Syria on Sunday for the second time in 48 hours. Israel does not confirm such missions explicitly - a policy it says is intended to avoid provoking reprisals. But an Israeli official acknowledged that the strikes were carried out by its forces.

  " It would not be unusual for them to take aggressive steps when there was some chance that some sophisticated weapons system would fall into the hands of people like Hezbollah," the U.S. intelligence official told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity.

  While the air raids raised fears that America's main ally in the Middle East could be sucked into the Syrian conflict, Israel typically does not feel it has to ask for a green light from Washington for such attacks.

  Officials have indicated in the past that Israel sees a need only to inform the United States once such a mission is under way.

  U.S. President Barack Obama said on Saturday that Israel has the right to guard against the transfer of advanced weapons to Hezbollah, an ally of both Syria and Iran.

  Rather than an attempt to tip the scales against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Israel's action is seen more as part of its own conflict with Iran, which it fears is sending missiles to Hezbollah in Lebanon through Syria. Those missiles might hit Tel Aviv if Israel makes good on threats to attack Tehran's nuclear program.

  Another Western intelligence source told Reuters the latest attack, like the previous one, was directed against stores of Fateh-110 missiles in transit from Iran to Hezbollah.

  People were woken in the Syrian capital by explosions that shook the ground like an earthquake and sent pillars of flames high into the night sky. Syrian state television said bombing at a military research facility at Jamraya and two other sites caused " many civilian casualties and widespread damage," but it gave no details. The Jamraya compound was also a target for Israel on January 30.

  The U.S. intelligence official said additional strikes in the future could not be ruled out.

  " Any sophisticated weaponry that finds its way there (Syria)that looks to be destined to fall in the hands of bad actors, I think there is a likelihood that those could be targets as well," the second official said.

  ADDED PRESSURE

  Obama has repeatedly shied away from deep U.S. involvement in the Syrian conflict, which erupted in 2011 and has killed an estimated 70,000 people and created more than 1.2 million refugees.

  Hours after the Israeli attacks, several U.S. lawmakers voiced concern over the mounting uncertainty in the Middle East.

  Influential Republican lawmaker John McCain said Israel's air strikes on Syria could add pressure on the Obama administration to intervene, but the U.S. government faces tough questions on how it can help without adding to the conflict.

  " We need to have a game-changing action, and that is no American boots on the ground, establish a safe zone and to protect it and to supply weapons to the right people in Syria who are fighting, obviously, for the things we believe," McCain said on " Fox News Sunday."

  " Every day that goes by, Hezbollah increases their influence and the radical jihadists flow into Syria and the situation becomes more and more tenuous," he said.

  U.S. Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel said last week that Washington was rethinking its opposition to arming the Syrian rebels. He cautioned that giving weapons to the forces fighting Assad was only one option, which carried the risk of arms finding their way into the hands of anti-American extremists among the insurgents.

  The United States has said it has " varying degrees of confidence" that chemical weapons have been used in Syria on a limited scale, but is seeking more evidence to determine who used them, how they were used and when.

  (Additional reporting by Caren Bohan, Roberta Rampton and Eric Beech Editing by Alistair Bell and David Brunnstrom)
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Hong Kong shares may start week higher
view of Hong Kong CBD from the sea with One International Finance Centre clearly visible
HONG KONG, May 6 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares could start the week stronger on Monday, tracking Wall Street gains after a positive U.S. April jobs report eased growth jitters.

  A unit of Sinopec Group and brokerage China Galaxy Securities are launching Hong Kong IPOs on Monday in which they will seek to raise up to $3.5 billion in total, injecting life into Asia's moribund IPO markets where deal values more than halved in the first quarter of the year.

  Last Friday, the Hang Seng Index closed up 0.1 percent at 22,690 points. The China Enterprises Index of the top Chinese listings in Hong Kong rose 0.2 percent. They gained 0.6 and 0.1 percent last week, respectively.

  Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea's KOSPI was up 0.7 percent at 0100 GMT. Japan is shut for a public holiday.

  FACTORS TO WATCH:

  * Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd said on Sunday it would buy assets in Macau's Cotai from hotel operator and casino marketing firm Get Nice Holdings Ltd for HK$3.25 billion ($419 million).

  * At least six energy traders and additional support staff have recently resigned from PetroChina's oil trading operation in Houston, a manager for the company said on Friday.

  * Telecom Italia has asked state financing body CDP to buy a stake in its fixed-line network, a source with knowledge of the deal said, in a move that could smooth a tie-up between the Italian firm and Hong Kong's Hutchison Whampoa .

  * Hopewell Holdings said its property unit Hopewell Hong Kong Properties Ltd aims to raise HK$6.4 billion net proceeds in global offering to fund capital expenditures of development of Hopewell Centre II and for acquisition and development of property projects.

  * Greentown China Holdings Ltd said it planned to issue yuan denominated senior notes raising proceeds to refinance short term debts and to fund capital expenditures.

  * Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd said its same stores sales grew 17 percent in Hong Kong and Macau during Labour Day holiday from April 29 to May 1 while retail sales rose 25 percent.

  * Peak Sport Products Co Ltd said its same store sales for certain retail outlets for the quarter ended in March remained flat compared with the same quarter in 2012, and the total number of authorised retail outlets in China was 6,358, a net decrease of 125 outlets from the end of 2012.(Reporting by Clement Tan and Donny Kwok Editing by Daniel Magnowski)
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Malaysia coalition extends rule despite worst electoral showing
Malaysia's opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim prepares to cast his vote during the general elections in Permatang Pauh
* Ruling coalition wins 133 of 222 parliamentary seats

  * Opposition leader Anwar says result was " fraudulent"

  * Support for coalition from ethnic Malays solid, although Chinese shift away (Updates vote count, adds markets reaction, adds analyst quotes, paragraphs 1, 3-4, 15-16)

  By Stuart Grudgings and Al-Zaquan Amer Hamzah

  KUALA LUMPUR, May 6 (Reuters) - Malaysia's governing coalition extended its half-century rule despite its worst-ever performance in a general election, potentially undermining Prime Minister Najib Razak and exposing growing racial polarisation in the Southeast Asian nation.

  Najib, 59, could come under pressure from conservatives in his ruling party for not delivering a stronger majority in Sunday's election despite a robust economy and a $2.6 billion deluge of social handouts to poor families.

  The National Front won 133 seats in the 222-member parliament, down from 140 in 2008 and well short of the two-thirds majority that Najib had aimed to capture. The opposition won 89 seats, up from 82 last time.

  Kuala Lumpur's stock market could gain on Monday on investor relief that the untested opposition failed to take power, but any optimism could be tempered by the prospect of political uncertainty due to the weak win. The Malaysian ringgit surged to a 10-month high early on Monday.

  While support for the ruling coalition from majority ethnic Malays remained solid, ethnic Chinese who make up a quarter of Malaysians continued to desert the National Front, accelerating a trend seen in the previous election.

  Ethnic Chinese have turned to the opposition, attracted by its pledge to tackle corruption and end race-based policies favouring ethnic Malays in business, education and housing.

  " We will work towards more moderate and accommodative policies for the country," a grim-faced Najib told a news conference after the majority was confirmed. " We have tried our best but other factors have happened ... We didn't get much support from the Chinese for our development plans."

  Former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, still a powerful figure in the dominant United Malays National Organisation (UMNO), told Reuters in an interview last year that Najib must improve on the 140 seats won in 2008. Najib could face a leadership challenge from within UMNO later this year as a result of falling short.

  ANWAR CRIES FOUL

  The National Front also failed to win back the crucial industrial state of Selangor near the capital Kuala Lumpur, which Najib had vowed to achieve.

  The three-party opposition alliance led by former deputy prime minister Anwar Ibrahim had been optimistic of a historic victory, buoyed by huge crowds at recent rallies.

  But as counting went late into Sunday night, it became clear that the fractious opposition would be unable to unseat one of the world's longest-serving governments and pull off what would have been the biggest election upset in Malaysia's history.

  After claiming an improbable early victory, Anwar later said he rejected the result because the Election Commission (EC) had failed to investigate evidence of widespread voter fraud.

  " It is an election we consider fraudulent and the EC has failed," he said.

  The National Front has significant advantages, including its deep pockets, control of mainstream media, and an electoral system skewed in its favour.

  " The new government does have a credibility deficit at the very moment due to the very tenacious and contentious election process," said Oh Ei Sun, a senior fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore.

  " I think they have to redouble their efforts in rebuilding their trust among the people."

  Anwar had accused the coalition of flying up to 40,000 " dubious" voters, including foreigners, across the country to vote in close races. The government says it was merely helping voters get to home towns to vote.

  The opposition also lost control of the northern state of Kedah, one of four it had taken over in the 2008 success.

  The 2008 result signalled a breakdown in traditional politics as minority ethnic Chinese and ethnic Indians, as well as many majority Malays, rejected the National Front's brand of race-based patronage that has ensured stability but led to corruption and widening inequality.

  Ethnic Chinese parties affiliated with the National Front suffered heavy losses in 2008 and were punished by voters again on Sunday. The National Front's ethnic Chinese MCA party won just five seats, down from 15 in 2008, according to the latest count.

  That leaves the National Front dominated more than ever by ethnic Malays, who make up about 60 percent of the population, increasing a trend of racial polarisation in the country.

  " There needs to be an effort to look back at racial harmony," said Khairy Jamaluddin, the head of UMNO's youth wing and a member of parliament. " We don't want the results to be looked at through a racial lens." (Additional reporting by the Reuters Kuala Lumpur bureau Writing by Stuart Grudgings and Niluksi Koswanage Editing by Jason Szep and Paul Tait)
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Malaysian stocks seen gaining as ruling coalition wins in tight vote
By Yantoultra Ngui

  KUALA LUMPUR, May 6 (Reuters) - Malaysian stocks could rise on Monday after the National Front coalition extended its 56-year rule, seeing off a strong challenge by an opposition alliance that had unnerved investors because of the potential for political instability.

  The National Front, or Barisan National (BN), won 133 seats in the 222-member parliament in Sunday's election, although it failed to regain the two-thirds majority it lost for the first time in 2008.

  " The market should rally strongly as Barisan National won more than expected. Many had forecast 120 to 125 (seats) as a base case," said Chris Eng, head of research at Etiqa Insurance& Takaful Bhd.

  Following the opposition's unexpectedly strong gains at the last general election in 2008, the Kuala Lumpur benchmark stock index fell more than 10 percent in a single day. Some polls had shown the opposition gaining on the National Front in recent weeks, raising the prospect of a hung parliament or even an opposition victory.

  " The stock market doesn't like uncertainty," Pong Teng Siew, head of research at Kuala Lumpur-based Inter-Pacific Securities, said before the election results. " If BN wins or gets the two-thirds majority, I think the market will rally."

  The main index fell 1.1 percent on Friday to its lowest close since April 9 on fears the ruling coalition could lose its majority, suggesting that there could be a relief rally when trading resumes on Monday. The benchmark index hit an all-time high of 1,718.44 points on April 30, helped by gains in blue-chips amid continued foreign inflows.

  The National Front's performance, however, was lacklustre, which could limit gains in stocks.

  Although the governing coalition extended its half-century rule, it suffered its worst-ever performance, exposing growing racial polarisation in the Southeast Asian nation and potentially undermining Prime Minister Najib Razak.

  The 59-year-old prime minister could now come under pressure from conservatives in his own ruling party for not delivering a stronger majority despite a robust economy and a $2.6 billion deluge of social handouts to poor families.

  While support for the ruling coalition from the country's majority ethnic Malays remained solid, ethnic Chinese who make up a quarter of Malaysians continued to desert the National Front, accelerating a trend seen in the last election.

  Ethnic Chinese have turned to the opposition, attracted by its pledge to tackle corruption and end race-based policies favouring ethnic Malays in business, education and housing.

  The three-party opposition alliance led by former deputy prime minister Anwar Ibrahim won 89 seats. It had been optimistic of a historic victory, buoyed by huge crowds at recent rallies. Anwar said he rejected the result because the country's Election Commission (EC) had failed to investigate evidence of widespread voter fraud.

  Companies that could benefit from the National Front's win include the country's second-largest lender by assets, CIMB Group Holdings Bhd.

  CIMB's chief executive officer Nazir Razak is the brother of Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak. The stock has risen 1.05 percent this year, underperforming the Bursa Malaysia Financial Index's 3.8 percent rise.

  Shares in Australian-listed Lynas Corp Ltd, a rare earths minerals developer, could also gain. The opposition had pledged to shut down Lynas' plant in Malaysia if it came to power, citing environmental concerns. (Reporting By Yantoultra Ngui Additional Reporting By Angie Teo Editing by Jason Szep)
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The Chinese Are Freaking Out About A Sudden Drop In Housing Prices

ASK ordinary people about their own Chinese dream, and you find owning a home is high on the list.

 

But years of rising house prices have put that dream out of reach of many. A slowing economy appeared to take some of the heat out.

Now, alas, the residential property market is soaring again (see chart). A new survey of developers and property firms on May 2nd showed average house prices up more than 5% in April on a year earlier.

Taking the long view, rising property values seem defensible. The country is undergoing the largest wave of urbanisation in human history and homes must be built for all of those new city dwellers.

The existing housing stock is poor, so people upgrade to modern homes as soon as they can afford them. Local governments earn a lot of money from land sales to developers and investors have few other places to park their money. All that suggests upward pressure on prices is not going away.

But even if you accept those long-term arguments, says Alistair Thornton of IHS, a consultancy, the market right now looks increasingly as if it is becoming detached from the fundamentals, as speculators looking for an investment swamp buyers looking for somewhere to live. Many flats sit vacant despite legions of prospective buyers desperately seeking affordable housing. Capital Economics, a research firm, estimates that investment in residential property accounted for 8.8% of China’s GDP in 2012.

the economist

The Economist

The alarm bells are being rung in unexpected quarters. Wang Shi, the charismatic boss of Vanke, China’s biggest property developer, would seem to have more to gain than most from further price rises, yet he too warns of a looming " disaster." The plunge in prices that would result from a pricking of this bubble, he declared on " 60 Minutes" , an American television programme, could lead to popular protests on the scale of the recent Arab uprisings.

 

China’s new leaders are keenly attuned to such concerns and are trying hard to head off the danger. The ruling State Council and the country’s central bank have issued numerous decrees in recent weeks designed to dampen the market and to crack down on speculation. Among these are larger down-payments and higher mortgage rates for people buying second homes and a reminder to local governments that a 20% capital-gains tax on second-home sales must be enforced.

But plenty of central-government edicts are ignored. The capital-gains tax on resales, for example, was only rarely levied in the past. Ren Zhiqiang, boss of Hua Yuan Real Estate Group, another property giant, recently denounced the country’s policies. The central government’s message to local officials, he claimed, could be described as: " We hope prices won’t continue rising you go and fix them and if you don’t fix them, we will punish you."

Most local officials do not want to implement such curbs with any rigour. On the contrary, encouraging a property boom keeps much-needed tax revenues flowing and puffs up the local economic growth figures on which their chances of promotion hang. This misalignment of incentives, argues Mr Thornton, explains why " it’s always a cat-and-mouse game between local and central authorities" .

Clearing up this mess will be difficult, but not impossible. A good start would be to introduce a property tax, imposed annually, that is based on the market value of a home. That would reduce speculation, discourage owners from holding empty flats and provide a fresh source of funding for cash-strapped local governments. That should reassure officials whose path to the senior ranks of the party is connected to their ability to enrich their districts (and perhaps themselves) along the way.

The perverse incentives the party clings to and the absence of policies to discourage speculation often end up crushing the dreams of would-be home owners. The solution probably starts with the central government recognising that local officials have their dreams, too.
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Oil rallies to three-week high on strong US jobs data
* U.S. unemployment rate falls to four-year low in April

  * Brent, U.S. crude rise for second day

  * U.S. equities hit intraday record highs (Adds CFTC Commitment of Traders information)

  By Anna Louie Sussman

  NEW YORK, May 3 (Reuters) - Oil jumped more than $1 to the highest in at least three weeks on Friday, spurred on by better-than-expected job growth in the United States that raised the prospect of stronger demand in the world's top oil consumer.

  U.S. payrolls rose more than expected in April, pushing the unemployment rate to a four-year low of 7.5 percent, easing concerns about a sharp slowdown in the economy.

  Brent crude rose $1.34, or 1.3 percent, to settle at $104.19 a barrel after a high of nearly $105. The contract jumped 2.9 percent on Thursday after the European Central Bank cut interest rates to record lows. It has risen by more than 4 percent in two days, the best such gain since early November.

  U.S. crude settled up $1.62, or 1.7 percent, at $95.61, its highest close since April 3.

  " I think the tone for the day was set by the employment numbers, and certainly the new highs in the S& P 500 helped to generate a wider risk-on trade flow," said Tim Evans, an energy analyst with Citi Futures Perspective.

  Other riskier assets also pressed higher, with U.S. equity markets reaching intraday record highs. Copper jumped more than 6 percent and the S& P 500 stock index closed 1 percent higher.

  Evans said bullish traders were vulnerable to a swing in market sentiment, since U.S. crude stocks are at an all-time high and he has not seen sustained evidence of rising demand.

  U.S. crude has outperformed Brent crude for the second straight day, narrowing the spread between the two benchmarks to $8.58 at settlement, its lowest since June 2012.

  The U.S. employment report outweighed bearish data showing weak manufacturing activity in the United States and China. The U.S. Commerce Department on Friday said orders for manufactured goods dropped 4 percent in March.

  Weak manufacturing news from China, the world's No. 2 oil consumer, is still clouding the outlook for global demand.

  " I think the PMIs (purchasing manager indexes) which we've seen this week still remind us that in China we need to see further evidence of stabilization. And in the United States we want to see signs that are a little less stop-start," said Ben Taylor of Sydney-based CMC Markets.

  Money managers raised their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions in the week to April 30, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.

  The speculator group raise its combined futures and options position in New York and London by 13,108 contracts to 243,927 during the period. (Additional reporting by Peg Mackey in London and Luke Pachymuthu in Singapore: editing by John Wallace and Bob Burgdorfer)
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Big revisions help brighten monthly US jobs report



By CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER
AP Economics Writer

(AP:WASHINGTON) The 165,000 jobs the U.S. economy added in April weren't the only reason to be cheered by Friday's employment report.

Nearly as significant were the Labor Department's revised estimates of how many jobs employers added in the previous two months. Whenever the government issues its employment report for the past month, it also revises the job totals for the previous two.

It turns out, the department said Friday, that many more jobs were created in February and March than first thought.

Initially, a severe slowdown seemed to have occurred in March: The government had estimated that just 88,000 jobs were added. That would have been the fewest in nine months.

That was then. Now, March looks much stronger. On Friday, the department said its revised estimate is that employers added 138,000 jobs in March.

The revisions for February were even better. The government now says employers added 332,000 jobs in February, compared with the 236,000 initially reported. Among private companies, 319,000 jobs were added _ the best monthly figure in nearly eight years.

Combined, the job gains from the February and March revisions totaled 114,000. Add them to April's hiring, and the economy has 279,000 more jobs than it did before Friday's report.

Over the past 12 months, the department's revisions have added a total of 309,000 jobs to the nation's payrolls.

The department revises each month's figures over the subsequent two months by reviewing further data from the companies and government agencies it surveys. Typically, about 75 percent of the 145,000 employers it surveys respond in time for each month's initial report. The response rate usually rises to about 95 percent two months later, when the third estimate is released.

The department also revises five years' worth of data each year in what it calls its " benchmark" annual revision. For those updates, it uses actual job counts from unemployment insurance tax records.

The revisions usually aren't as large as they were this time. After two revisions, February's total is now 96,000 higher than it was initially. Since 1979, the revisions have averaged about 57,000, up or down, per month.

Most of the revisions since the recession have been upward. Economists say that's a good sign because it points to an underlying trend. An upward revision suggests that the late-responding companies added more jobs than the department had expected. It also implies that any corrections submitted by companies were also larger.

By contrast, during the recession, most of the revisions were downward. In 2008, the average revision was 73,000 lower.

And in 2009, some months were much worse: the department initially thought 598,000 jobs were cut in January of that year. That has since been revised to a whopping 821,000.

Some numbers that were initially eye-catching became more ho-hum.

For example, the August 2011 employment report was depressing. With the unemployment rate at 9 percent, the government said the struggling economy had added precisely zero jobs that month.

The zero figure had a political impact: Some Republicans dubbed President Barack Obama " President Zero."

The critics should have waited for the revisions: The department now estimates that 132,000 jobs were added in August 2011. That's still not healthy. But it's a lot better than zero.

April's gain of 165,000 jobs, meanwhile, is a solid increase.

But then it hasn't been revised yet.

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